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December 10, 2009 11:21 AM PST

Trend Micro forecasts future threats

by Lance Whitney
  • 14 comments

Cloud computing and virtualization are just two technologies that cybercriminals are anxious to exploit, forecasts a report released Wednesday by security vendor Trend Micro.

The year ahead offers new opportunities for cybercrooks as they hunt for more targets and new challenges as people try to protect themselves, says Trend Micro's 2010 Future Threat Report (PDF).

Cloud computing and virtualization can be cost effective. But since they're beyond the confines of a company's own firewall, they could be potentially open areas for cybercriminals to attack. October's Sidekick data outage highlighted the vulnerabilities of the cloud, which cybercrooks are likely to abuse, according to Trend Micro.

Social networks have proved to be an appealing area for bad guys, a shift that Trend Micro thinks will increase through the use of social engineering. Cybercrooks will try to enter people's communities and circles of friends at sites like Facebook in an attempt to steal personal information.

Malware outbreaks will shift from the global landscape to more local, targeted attacks, similar to the strategy employed by Conficker, which Trend Micro calls a "carefully orchestrated and architected attack."

Trend Micro also believes the move toward international domain names orchestrated by ICANN will open up the playing field for more phishing attacks as crooks create look-alike domains names using the Cyrillic alphabet instead of Latin characters.

A few other trends for 2010 and beyond to keep us all on the alert:

  • Windows 7 will have an impact since it is less secure than Vista in the default configuration (presumably because User Access Control (UAC) in Win 7 is not set to its most restrictive level by default).
  • Drive-by infections are the norm--one Web visit is enough to get infected.
  • Malware is changing its shape--every few hours.

To protect yourself, Trend Micro dispenses the usual advice we've all heard before. But it bears repeating--keep your PC patched and updated, don't click on strange e-mail attachments, make sure the online stores you shop at are secure (https vs http), and don't use the same password for all Web sites.

October 28, 2009 7:59 AM PDT

More security breaches hit midsize companies

by Lance Whitney
  • 6 comments

More midsize companies are being attacked by cybercriminals at the same time they're spending less on security, says a McAfee report released Wednesday.

Across the world, more than half of the 900 midsize businesses (51 to 1,000 employees) surveyed by McAfee for its report, The Security Paradox, said they've seen an increase in security breaches over the past year. Despite the threat, the recession has caused most of these companies to freeze their IT security budgets.

Midsize organizations have seen an increase in cyberthreats in 2009. (Credit: McAfee)

McAfee found that the costs of dealing with a security attack can be high. Over the last year, one of five midsize companies surveyed lost $41,000 in sales on average as a result of a breach. In China alone, 38 percent of the businesses questioned lost an average of $85,000 due to an attack. And more than 70 percent believe a serious data breach could put them out of business, noted the report.

Organizations think a breach could put them out of business. (Credit: McAfee)

But as the recession has grown, IT budgets have dropped. Almost 40 percent of the companies trimming their IT security budget plan to limit the purchase of new security products. And more than a third are switching to cheaper security software to cut expenses, even though they realize that may put them at greater risk.

"An organization's level of worry and awareness about increasing threats has not overcome the downward pressure on budgets and resources," said Darrell Rodenbaugh, senior vice president of global midmarket for McAfee, in a statement. "But this creates a vicious cycle of breach and repair that costs far more than prevention."

Midsize companies also may underestimate their risk, according to McAfee. Among companies with fewer than 500 employees, more than 90 percent believe they're protected from cybercriminals and feel they don't face the same threats that larger firms do.

But McAfee discovered that businesses with 101 to 500 people had on average 24 security breaches over the past three years, compared to 15 breaches for those with 501 to 1,000 employees.

In the long run, dealing with the aftermath of a security attack eats up a company's time and expenses. The study found that 65 percent of firms spend less than four hours a week on IT security, but around the same percentage have spent more than a day recovering from security breaches.

"Our research shows that organizations that put more effort on preventing attacks can end up spending less than a third as much as those that allow themselves to be at risk," said Rodenbaugh.

The study was conducted by research firm MSI International, which surveyed 100 midsize businesses in each of the following countries: U.S., U.K., Australia, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, and Spain. The results were compared with prior studies done in North America and Europe.

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