At the beginning of the each year, I get out my crystal ball and prognosticate on what to expect in the networking and security industries. On the networking side, I predicted that 2008 would be a banner year for the latest Wi-Fi standard, 802.11n. To geek out a bit, the current standard is 802.11g with maximum throughput of 54 megabits per second. In comparison, 802.11n bolsters performance all the way to 248 megabits per second.
So how accurate was my prediction? Judging by the Interop meetings I attended last week with Enterprise Strategy Group networking stud Bob Laliberte, spot on. Aruba Networks, Cisco, Meru, and Trapeze are shipping products and closing big deals. Large universities are installing thousands of new wireless access points providing network access to students and faculty across large geographic campuses. Hospitals are embracing wireless networking for user authentication, network access, and asset tracking. In fact, one of the most intriguing things about this market is that it seems to be driven by business applications rather than technology refresh. Manufacturing companies, insurance agencies, government bureaus, and defense agencies are all using wireless for brand new business processes. Pretty cool stuff.
... Read MoreUpdate at 4:07 a.m. PDT on Wednesday, May 7: This article has been updated to reflect the official announcement.
Sprint Nextel and Clearwire will create a new joint venture that will combine both companies' WiMax assets to create a nationwide broadband wireless network, the companies said Wednesday.
The deal, which will be valued at about $14.5 billion, is being backed by cable operators Comcast and Time Warner, as well as Intel and Google.
News of the deal was earlier reporter in The Wall Street Journal.
The new joint venture has raised a total of $3.2 billion in outside financing from these investors. According to the Journal, Comcast has contributed $1.05 billion; Time Warner Cable is putting in $500 million; Intel is investing $1 billion, and Google is fronting about $500 million. Another smaller cable provider, Bright House Networks, has contributed about $100 million.
The new company will be called Clearwire. The deal calls for a target price of $20 per share of Clearwire's common stock, the companies said. Industry veteran John Stanton would also invest directly in the new company.
Sprint will own the largest stake in the new company, with approximately 51 percent equity ownership. Clearwire investors will own about 27 percent, and the new strategic investors, as a group, will be acquiring approximately 22 percent for their investment of $3.2 billion.
Investors were hammering out the final details on Tuesday, the Journal reported. Rumors of the deal were reported in the newspaper in March, just before the big industry trade show CTIA. Sprint's CEO Dan Hesse had hoped to have the deal finished by then to announce at the trade show.
Sprint is expected to have a majority ownership in the new joint venture, since it owns most of the 2.5GHz spectrum that is being used to the build the network. The new venture will be called Clearwire and will be run by Clearwire CEO Ben Wolff. Craig McCaw, the cell phone pioneer and Clearwire founder, will remain chairman.
The new company will offer both traditional voice service and new wireless broadband services. The cable operators involved in the joint venture will be able to use the new network to sell wireless service.
Comcast and Time Warner recently stopped marketing service through a joint venture called Pivot, which they had formed with Sprint Nextel. Pivot, which allowed the cable companies to bundle wireless service with their own broadband, TV, and home phone service, was not selling well, and integrating new features and services with their own services proved to be too complicated.
Sprint's decision to spin off the WiMax technology comes as the company continues to lose customers in its core business. Sprint has been losing customers ever since its 2005 merger with Nextel. The company's stock price has plummeted over the past year, and Wall Street has been pressuring the company to refocus its efforts on its traditional cell phone business.
If the deal is complete, and Sprint is able to spin off the WiMax network, it will free up resources for the company to focus on what to do next with its traditional cell phone business. Rumors have circulated this week that the company is also considering selling its Nextel assets.
Meanwhile, Clearwire, which went public last year, has also been struggling to come up with the necessary cash to finish the nationwide build-out of its WiMax network. The companies had talked about a partnership for several months. And combining forces seemed like the most logical plan.
Now the companies will combine forces to build a next-generation broadband wireless network that will offer download speeds far greater than what is available today with 3G wireless.
A network such as this will be used to connect a whole slew of devices to the Internet wirelessly. So instead of just cell phones surfing the Web, users might connect cameras, gaming devices, and a number of other consumer electronics to the network via a WiMax network.
Sprint competitors AT&T and Verizon Wireless are also looking at building a next-generation broadband wireless network. But they have decided to use a competing technology known as LTE. Most European carriers have also committed to using LTE for their next-generation network.
Sprint contends that WiMax is at least two to three years ahead of LTE, and the company believes that using WiMax will give it a head-start in the market. That remains to be seen, especially given that the ecosystem, and research and development dollars, will most likely follow the bigger market opportunity, which is LTE.
At this point, it's difficult to say whether the new WiMax joint venture will be a big success. The involvement of Google and Intel are good signs, but it remains to be seen if this network will ever have the legs it needs to compete against networks built by competitors using a technology with a greater following.
Several more companies on Monday agreed to sign their names to the Long Term Evolution (LTE) framework for the next generation of wireless technology.
The largest handset maker in the world, Nokia, was joined by Sony Ericsson, Alcatel-Lucent, NEC, and NextWave Wireless. Part of the agreement on LTE means the companies will agree to license their patents "on fair and reasonable terms," which means keeping royalties for handset patents below 10 percent of the handset sale price.
"Today's announcement is a step towards establishing more predictable and transparent licensing costs in a manner that enables faster adoption of new technologies," Nokia's Ilkka Rahnasto said in a statement.
These five are only the latest to join as the emerging LTE technology gains momentum. In November at the Mobile Asia Congress in Macau, the GSM Association threw its support behind LTE. A few weeks later, Verizon Wireless, the No. 2 wireless operator in the U.S., said it would use LTE for its 4G wireless network. AT&T, the largest mobile operator in the U.S., also has indicated it will use LTE.
News.com's Marguerite Reardon contributed to this report.
We have a lot of geeky labels in our industry, and one of my new favorites is IEEE 802.11n. Just what do these letters and numbers mean? Simply stated, 802.11n is the latest revision of the wireless networking standard. Heck, it's so new that the standard hasn't even been ratified. That hasn't stopped the vendors from getting products to market. Aruba, Cisco Systems, Meru, and Trapeze are already shipping 802.11n-compliant Access Points (APs) and controllers.
Without going into technical detail, 802.11n drastically increases wireless data rates from 54 megabits per second (delivered by the existing 802.11g standard) to 248 megabits per second. Great in itself, but technology always gets better, faster, and cheaper so this isn't earth-shattering. The real news is that 802.11n represents a wireless "perfect storm" in that 802.11n equipment will marry fast wireless networking with quality of service, network identity, security, and application support. What's more, 802.11n will fit neatly with cellular and WiMax to form a seamless mobile WAN architecture. Think secure connectivity from any device, any network, and any location.
This makes 802.11n a potential big deal. Unlike earlier Wi-Fi standards, 802.11n could be a game changer in several ways:
1. The "all wireless network." With 802.11n, there may be no need for wired Ethernet edge switches anymore. This could make pure plays like Aruba, Meru, and Trapeze into very big companies over the next five years.
2. As 802.11n merges with cellular and WiMax networks, it could really create new service provider/enterprise opportunities for vendors like Alcatel-Lucent, Motorola, and Nortel Networks. This is another reason why Cisco grabbed WiMax start-up Navini Networks in October.
3. Margin-hungry service providers like AT&T, Level 3, and Verizon could offer a number of new managed services for a seamless mobile access network in the enterprise. The transition to 802.11n may be their ticket in the enterprise door.
Let me be the first, or at least an early industry insider, to put 802.11n on the list of "technologies to watch in 2008." Yes, mobility and hot spots are great, but 802.11n may be the wireless standard that turns the enterprise networking market on its head.
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