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November 19, 2009 1:14 PM PST

AMD upgraded as 'Fusion,' 16-core chip future looms

by Brooke Crothers
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Advanced Micro Devices stock was upgraded Thursday by Broadpoint AmTech analyst Doug Freedman, citing a solid product road map and debt restructuring efforts.

AMD was trading above $7 midday on Thursday, high above the $3.50 (approximate) lows seen back in July of this year.

Freedman said in a research note Thursday that he is upgrading AMD to "buy" from "neutral" and raising the price target to $10 from $5.80.

"Positive events...lead us to believe that AMD's risk/reward is now compelling," he said. One of the biggest positives was AMD's move on Wednesday to pay off $1 billion in debt using part of its $1.25 billion settlement income from Intel and a new $500 million bond offering. "We believe AMD's debt of $3.7B will be reduced by 25 percent," Freedman said.

And Future "Fusion" chips point toward a more competitive AMD. Fusion silicon--which combines the main CPU processor with the graphics chip or GPU--is due in 2011. "We believe Fusion (CPU+GPU) will deliver discrete-like performance on an integrated chip," Freedman said, referring to high-performance standalone "discrete" graphics processors. "Fusion will likely be a low-cost product--targeting mainstream and lower-end," according to Freedman.

Chips that go into servers are also likely set for market share gains, Freedman said. "We estimate that server share could grow from ~8 percent currently, by our own forecast, to ~12 percent by FY10 year-end," he wrote. High-end "Maranello" chips boasting as many as 12 processing cores are due in the first half of next year and 16-core processors are coming in 2011.

Graphics chips that are compatible with Windows 7 DirectX 11 technology for accelerating games and general multimedia tasks are also expected to do well, such as the company's HD 5000 series of graphics chips.

Originally posted at Nanotech - The Circuits Blog
Brooke Crothers has served as an editor at large at CNET News, an editor at Dow Jones' Asian Wall Street Journal Weekly, and a senior editor at InfoWorld. His CNET blog covers chip technology and computer systems, and how they define the computing experience. He also contributes to The New York Times' Bits and Technology sections. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. Follow Brooke on Twitter @mbrookec.
November 11, 2009 11:29 AM PST

AMD talks 'Hemlock' graphics, next ultra-thin laptops

by Brooke Crothers
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Advanced Micro Devices discussed the Hemlock high-end graphics card due next week and third-generation ultra-thin laptop technology, among other topics, at the AMD Financial Analyst Day on Wednesday.

AMD Vice President Rick Bergman holds up the 'Hemlock' graphics card at AMD Financial Analyst Day on Wednesday. The product is due next week.

(Credit: AMD)

"Hemlock will get launched next week," said AMD Senior Vice President Rick Bergman, speaking Wednesday morning at the conference which was streamed live. "It's in production. You'll be able to buy it at e-tailers around the world. You can see there are two GPUs. Five Teraflops out of this baby," he said. (GPU stands for graphics processing unit. A teraflop is a trillion floating point operations per second, a key indicator of graphics performance.)

Hemlock is expected to be appear as an HD 5900 series product--what some reports have called the HD 5970.

Bergman also addressed AMD's third-generation "Nile" ultra-thin laptop platform. "Bring the real PC experience into the ultra-thin. Battery life well north of seven hours," Bergman said. This is due ... Read more

Originally posted at Nanotech - The Circuits Blog
Brooke Crothers has served as an editor at large at CNET News, an editor at Dow Jones' Asian Wall Street Journal Weekly, and a senior editor at InfoWorld. His CNET blog covers chip technology and computer systems, and how they define the computing experience. He also contributes to The New York Times' Bits and Technology sections. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. Follow Brooke on Twitter @mbrookec.
April 29, 2009 4:00 AM PDT

More apathy for a Dell smartphone

by Erica Ogg
  • 36 comments

It's hard to tell if anyone is as enthused about the possibilities of Dell making a smartphone as Michael Dell.

He's been making periodic references to his company making "small screen" devices in the near future at public appearances for the last year. But the people who watch his stock and analyze his company's every move, appear incredibly underwhelmed by the idea of a Dell handset. Their apathy is notable since a) Dell's last handheld device was very popular with consumers and b) Dell hasn't formally announced anything specific.

While getting into the smartphone-making business is not a terrible idea, seeing as how the PC market is pretty pitiful right now and smartphone sales are soaring, how Dell goes about manufacturing, selling, and marketing such a device is important. Even the slightest misstep could undo the progress the company has made in turning around its business.

Again, Dell has not made any official announcement of a specific product. But the frequency or rumors about such a device is increasing. The latest appraisal came Tuesday from Bernstein Research analyst Toni Sacconaghi Jr., who said that while there's potential for Dell to make some decent profits from a good handset--which could arrive "in the next six months"--he's not convinced Dell's execution will be all that graceful.

The company's track record in making devices other than PCs is "uninspiring," he wrote in a research note. "From an investment perspective, we do not believe it is appropriate to give Dell any credit (nor deduct any value) for its smartphone business. We'd rather take a wait-and-see approach."

In other words, Dell investors aren't ready to toast Michael Dell's smartphone just yet. There are plenty of reasons for them to be skeptical, chief among them being the company's ongoing restructuring and realignment of its core business. Sacconaghi points out that the smartphone business could be a "distraction" from the company's larger goal of improving its costs and establishing itself as a global PC brand and supplier of enterprise hardware and services.

But there's also the possibility that the phone will be just fine. Not a standout in its category along the lines of the iPhone, BlackBerry, or G1, but something that is based on brand name recognition could sell well in markets the company is targeting heavily right now: India and China. No matter what, it's really important for Dell to make decent margins. If it does manage to do that while snagging a small slice of the mobile handset market, something akin to what HTC has right now, it could result in decent revenue--Sacconaghi throws out the figure of $4.5 billion for fiscal year 2010.

There are rumors, however, that what Dell has come up with so far is not very exciting. Ashok Kumar, an analyst with Collins Stewart, panned the handset earlier this month--without seeing it, mind you--but based on feedback he heard from wireless carriers.

"The carriers, who see products from all the leading handset vendors, have decided to pass on Dell's handset," he said. "Some carriers are citing a noncompelling product with a road map that lags competition."

And a few weeks before that, Shaw Wu, an analyst at Kaufman Bros., also said in a research note that Dell showed devices running Android and Windows Mobile to carriers who were ultimately uninterested in the product.

Despite all the negative feedback on a product that isn't even official, it's actually not a terrible idea for the company to try this. Because, here's the thing: the PC industry isn't what it used to be. During the first quarter of 2009, the industry saw a 7.1 percent decline in shipments from a year ago, to 63.5 million units, according to IDC. Every major vendor is struggling to sell what are increasingly similar devices that bring in very thin profits. Though companies like Hewlett-Packard are making it look easy to sell laptops, most of the company's strength comes from its services and printing businesses. So Dell getting into advanced handsets that offer Web access, e-mail, and GPS features, one of the faster growing consumer electronics categories--IDC says sales climbed 22.5 percent over the previous year at the end of 2008--could be, well, smart.

If it is trying to compete with the likes of Apple, Nokia, RIM, Palm, or even HTC, timing is key. By the time Dell releases this thing, whatever it may be, to make a decent impact in markets like the U.S., Japan, South Korea, and Europe, it would need to be a significant jump forward in what those guys are offering. Consumers aren't dumb and they're not just going to buy something because there's a Dell sticker on it, especially if it really is as far behind what's currently on the market as some are saying.

So what would would make you buy a Dell smartphone? Make sure to take our poll or let us know in the comments.

August 18, 2008 7:56 AM PDT

What recession? Gartner predicts IT spending growth

by Margaret Kane
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Worldwide IT spending should top $3.4 trillion in 2008, up 8 percent from 2007, research firm Gartner is predicting.

But much of that growth is due to the decline in the U.S. dollar. When adjusted for currency issues, worldwide spending is predicted to grow only 4.5 percent.

Software spending and IT services are expected to see the biggest gain, up 10 percent and 9.4 percent respectively in 2008.

Analysts attributed some of the software growth to replacement cycles, but noted that "the replacement of systems does not automatically equate to new software market growth."

"Software as a service/cloud computing, service-oriented architecture/Web 2.0, and open-source software are causing huge changes to the software market," wrote Joanne Correia, managing vice president at Gartner in a research note. "Many of these factors are impacting market growth as enterprises replace assets with per-use services."

Hardware spending is expected to rise 7 percent in 2008, thanks to strong Asia/Pacific and Western Europe sales and a global shift to mobile computers.

July 31, 2008 11:02 AM PDT

Forrester acquires JupiterResearch for $23 million

by Holly Jackson
  • 1 comment

Tech analyst heavyweight Forrester Research just got a little bigger.

The Cambridge, Mass., company said Thursday that it acquired smaller rival JupiterResearch and its parent company JUPR Holdings for $23 million. The JupiterResearch brand will begin to serve Forrester's "Marketing and Strategy" client group.

JupiterResearch, considerably smaller than Forrester, had 83 employees and made $14 million in 2007, while Forrester Research, which has more than 1,000 employees, made $212 million.

Forrester also announced its second quarter earnings Thursday. The company had a $8.6 million profit on $63.5 million in revenue for the quarter ending June 30. Including the acquisition of JupiterResearch, the company predicts 2008 revenue between $246 million and $252 million, according to MarketWatch.

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