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July 13, 2006 4:00 AM PDT

Newsmaker: The tech industry's newest power player

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Maybe you don't need to be a rocket scientist to head one of the nation's first scientific and computing societies, but it doesn't hurt.

Stuart Feldman, the newly installed president of the Association for Computing Machinery, studied astrophysics and applied mathematics en route to a doctoral degree at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. But as he takes the helm of an organization with 78,000-plus members, maybe a minor in diplomacy would be just as helpful.

Feldman steps into a two-year position where he will find himself increasingly dealing with overseas members. In fact, about 30 percent of ACM's membership already consists of non-North Americans.

That should make for some interesting policy deliberations as the U.S. IT industry wrestles with the question of outsourcing and its discontents. Feldman, whose day job is vice president of computer science research at IBM, is careful not to step into that minefield. And he is hardly unaware of the political and technology issues that are front and center for so many people in the computer industry. CNET News.com recently spoke with Feldman after he was voted into office.

Q: Where do you want ACM to side up on the issue of outsourcing?
Feldman: We are very careful to not comment on that issue. ACM put out a very careful report on global job migration, and basically there will be a migration of certain types of jobs. There will be an increasing number of jobs of course in countries where there weren't a lot. There is no question about that.

The number of IT jobs in the U.S. is not shrinking and there is an incipient shortage of high skills.

This is simply a clear result of growth happening in both the obvious places--India and China--but also many other places. So this is not a shrinkage of either opportunity or of activity in the U.S., Canada or the EU; it's a case of growth elsewhere.

And the IT jobs outlook in the U.S.?
Feldman: When you take a look at the numbers, the number of IT jobs in the U.S. is not shrinking and there is an incipient shortage of high skills. All of my West Coast colleagues are complaining about how hard it is to get the people they want.

There was a report by a professor out at the University of Chicago in conjunction with WashTech in which they actually argued that the situation is the opposite of what you described. What do you think?
Feldman: Well, the data doesn't actually support them at this moment, and for better or for worse, the Bureau of Labor Statistics data seems to support a considerable job need in the United States with a possible risk on the supply side.

What about some of the other issues relating to job skills? Under your direction, will ACM be prevailing upon the federal government to do anything with regards to a change in perhaps tax codes, research and development, or something along those lines?
Feldman: ACM's policy activities have tended to be of a more technical nature on the assumption that ACM honestly has the credibility with respect to technical issues rather than simple financial ones.

Where would you size up the state of technical education right now in this country?
Feldman: I just came back from a conference of heads of computer science departments, and all of the attendees were concerned actually about the number and quality of students that they're seeing at the advanced levels and the continued fall in the U.S. The ongoing decrease in both interest and, in some cases, quality is a very significant concern. There are also issues, such as the number of women in the pipeline to relatively low numbers, after some very considerable improvement a few years ago. These are very real concerns because the pipeline of people takes four or eight years before people who think they want to go into a field come out educated in it.

There's the question of how do you restore the level of excitement, how do you restore the realization that IT is in essence a leading technology for students to consider?

Is this something that can be affected with the help of tweaking federal policies, or is there something at a more organic level that needs to happen? Is this something where the industry needs to take the lead?
Feldman: Partly it's organic, partly it's inward. The people in the field are refocusing on what's important for the future. Partly they are looking for federal and state improvements on funding...It is at best a few billion over a long period of time.

There's now the big question of which country will be the real engine of growth. Is it China, which has a far more developed infrastructure, or India where, besides outsourcing, you have a very literate and large middle class as well as a liberal capitalist system that perhaps helps foster more growth?
Feldman: To be honest, I'm not wise enough to come down with a bet on that. Who knows how the political systems in those countries will honestly evolve over two decades? The Chinese have made some very large education investments. In IT education at the lower levels in India it is quite phenomenal.

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CONTINUED: Fast computers ahead...
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) (5 Comments)
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Jobs
by qwerty75 July 13, 2006 9:22 AM PDT
There will always be plenty of jobs for those with the desire to get the right sort of education. A broad base in Computer Science/Engineering, along with a good physics and mathematical ecucation, and then a solid specialization.

From my experience the people having trouble in the IT job market are those that are severly undertrained and therefore lack the solid background that a good CS degree provides. These people often learn a single language, without learning the underpinnings, call themselves programmers and then wonder why they are not in high demand. Or are simply in relatively easy jobs where a CS degree is not necessary(support, web design, ect).

For those who can't go to school, join the ACM. There are tons of great training programs to help you out.
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College level interest
by User Information Private July 13, 2006 9:47 AM PDT
I keep hearing the academics going on about declining computer science enrollment etc, but it just seems to me everybody is missing a fundamental point here.

I didn't become interested in a technology career because of potential jobs when I finished school or anything of the sort. I grew up with this country landing men on the moon, the original 69 Star Trek episodes on TV, and as a result it was graphically demonstrated how fascinating technology could be, not to mention just downright cool.
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It is interesting
by Tui Pohutukawa July 13, 2006 10:24 AM PDT
that you mention the moon landings and Star Trek in the same
sentence. Both were impressive works of fiction. However, if
you take a close look at photos and film footage from Star Trek
and Apollo, and you will undoubtedly notice how limited the
special effects capabilities were back then (no stars visible in
zero atmosphere? How embarrassing. Diverging shadows? Oh,
no!)
Clearly, he propaganda in the 60s was better than it is
nowadays. It was easier to feel good about technology, and the
promises it held for the future of humanity.
Plenty of People
by waynehapp July 16, 2006 8:31 AM PDT
I think that there are plenty of people out there for jobs. But
employers have these huge laundry lists of skills they want
before they'll even talk to you. Last time I had an interview I was
turned down because while I do have (C++, Java, UNIX) and a
zillion other things, they really want someone who knows C# as
well.
Reply to this comment
Qualified technicians
by toddsw July 19, 2006 1:23 PM PDT
As an IT service provider I would love to see qualified technical support folks and systems engineers coming out of college. They seem to have alot of theory, but are about puddle deep in any one discipline, which is fine if they are staying in college, but I know we need competent folks to hire, and the colleges just aren't turning them out. They require a year or two before they are proficient in basic support tasks. We've hired a few of them and most didn't know what a switch or router were, yet they were "coding" network applications (basic though they may be.) One guy said he had seen a switch once prior to coming to work for us. I'm not sure how we are supposed to hire unqualified folks. they don't have to be experts, but give us a little knowledge of the average networked environment. The Indians have much the same problem, most of their fresly minted college grads are about as clueless IT-wise.
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