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Yale Braunstein, professor in the School of Information at UC Berkeley, analyzed data from the U.S. Government Accountability Office and the Federal Communications Commission and calculated that cable television subscription prices would drop 15 percent to 22 percent in California if cable companies competed directly with another wireline paid-TV provider, such as a telephone company.
Braunstein's report, which was commissioned and paid for by AT&T, is one of the first studies to quantify how much consumers could save if phone companies competed directly against cable operators in the video market.
AT&T and Verizon Communications have already begun offering TV service in certain parts of the country.
If telephone companies compete on a wider scale throughout California, Braunstein anticipates average prices falling about $56.40 per month to between $43.99 and $47.94 per month. With more than 60 percent of California's 11.5 million households signed up for cable service, that's a savings of between $690 million and $1 billion, he said.
Despite the entrance of satellite service in the 1990s, cable still dominates the paid television market not only in California but throughout the U.S. Without much competition in the market, prices have soared. According to a report published by the Federal Communications Commission last year, cable rates increased 7.8 percent in the five years before the end of 2004.
"Over the last five years, cable rate increases have far outpaced inflation and the Consumer Price Index," Braunstein said. "But when faced with competitive television providers, cable rates have actually gone down in many markets while services increase."
Other parts of the country could see savings similar to those found in California, Braunstein said. But the majority of consumers won't see the benefits of competition overnight. The phone companies argue that outdated laws that require them to obtain franchise agreements from individual cities and towns are slowing their deployments.
AT&T and Verizon are currently lobbying in state houses and on Capitol Hill to change these laws making it easier and faster for them to obtain franchise agreements. Texas, Virginia and most recently Kansas have passed legislation allowing new entrants to get a statewide franchise.
"There is nothing wrong with phone companies paying franchise fees," said Braunstein. "But they shouldn't be used as some kind of barrier to keep competition out of a market. The process made sense 20 or 30 years ago when cable TV service was new. But now that the infrastructure is deployed in these communities, the whole process has lost reasonableness."
Cable companies argue that phone companies should not be given special treatment regarding franchise requirements.
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cable television, AT&T Corp., California, cable company, telephone company




These companies are terrified of free markets.
AT&T should be required to take lie tests.
But alas they only misstate when their moths are moving.
What the esteemed Berkeley professor did not tell you is that in order to get these sub-cable TV rates you will have to subscribe to a boatload of other AT&T products: basic phone service (for DSL), DSL, and cellular to name a few. They are not content to sell you just one service, they want the whole enchilada. Of course, once you have succumbed to their pitch, just try unbundling. Sorry, but you signed a 3 year term commitment. If still want to unbundle, after paying all the penalty fees, then everything is going to break because it is all tied together with scotch tape.
There is no competition for either in this area, so Comcast can do as they please.
http://channelchanger.typepad.com/my_weblog/2006/04/study_competiti.html
- History shows otherwise
- by Razzl April 18, 2006 9:19 AM PDT
- The history and structure of the telecom industry would suggest that any savings will be short.
- Like this Reply to this comment
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(7 Comments)Firstly, you have a government in the hands of pro-business anti-government radicals who don't believe in limits on big business. They don't believe in using anti-trust laws to foster competition; notice how the reconstitution of ATT is actually a violation of the original court order that busted up the bell system back in the late '70's? Sooner or later phone and cable companies will attempt to merge, and, in the present climate, nobody will stop them.
Secondly, when you look at the technical side you see a limited number of wires hanging off those telephone poles: expect it to be a zero-sum game as phone/cable/internet providers charge the opposition for access to their hardware or have to pay for their own. If your phone bill goes up to get the cable bill to go down, you haven't gotten anywhere.
Thirdly, it's axiomatic that the companies will siphon savings to the shareholders before the customers. Customers will only see price reductions if the company is making windfall profits. True price reduction is a sign that the company is bankrupt and ready to fold...