February 16, 2005 12:42 PM PST

Study: Net phones key to WiMax success

The wireless broadband standard called WiMax won't be ready for prime time for a couple of years, but when it does come out, Internet phone service could be the cash cow for providers, according to a study.

WiMax, a technology standard that will provide broadband Internet access over many miles of coverage, is expected to make a big splash when services emerge in 2006 or 2007. That's because WiMax could become a third option for broadband access, challenging cable companies and DSL providers.

While high-speed data access is considered a driving force behind WiMax's consumer appeal, service providers must bundle features such as VoIP--voice over Internet Protocol--to make enough money for survival, according to a study conducted by market researcher In-Stat/MDR.

"The industry is focused on WiMax from a data standpoint, but the reality of the industry today is that you need to have voice to be financially viable," said Keith Nissen, an analyst at In-Stat/MDR.

WiMax's promise lies in its ability to deliver broadband to large areas without wires stretched into homes by local phone and cable companies. Proponents of the technology add that WiMax will bring broadband to rural areas that phone and cable companies do not reach.

While there are currently many "fixed" wireless providers dotting the globe, WiMax efforts have resulted in a standard, known as 802.16-2004, that allows equipment makers to operate in a common language. New versions of WiMax in the works are expected to allow mobility, letting users travel freely between locations and service providers.

WiMax is not expected to enter the mainstream until 2007, since testing among equipment makers is still six months off. But by 2009, WiMax services will have amassed 8.5 million subscribers, or 3 percent of the total broadband market, and more than half of them will subscribe to VoIP services bundled into their WiMax plans, according to In-Stat/MDR.

"When you get full mobility under WiMax, you will be able to drive around town and do VoIP the same as you would over a cell phone," said In-Stat MDR's Nissen.


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Wimax will ravage the cell phone industry
I predict that Wimax will capture a big chunk of cell phone market share. Wimax is both a fixed and moibless wireless broadband technology. Some people estimate that Wimax will capture from 40%-70% of the GSM market (<a class="jive-link-external" href="http://www.3g.co.uk/PR/Jan2005/8890.htm" target="_newWindow">http://www.3g.co.uk/PR/Jan2005/8890.htm</a>)

Wimax also operates on the public and private spectrum. Intel is giving Wimax a lift now that they have announced plan's to support it on Centrino.

Now sume people argue that there is no market because the cell phone industry can't make any money. Well cell phone companies can make Wimax phonea and people will use them to communicate locally. Let's remember that Wimax has a range from 30 to 50 miles. For a lot of people that range is enough.

Posted by rshimizu12 (98 comments )
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Thought the same..
You can imagine in a few years, small handheld devices with apps such as skype on them. Why would anyone pay for cell-phone service when you can download software for free and use your existing wireless internet service to make cell-phone calls. Good times are comming, baby!:)
Posted by bit-looter (51 comments )
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