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A Gates reality check
March 9, 2005 -
Microsoft turns to Elixir for Office boost
January 24, 2005 -
Microsoft offers subscription Outlook
January 19, 2005
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delivered in large measure by way of paid upgrades and, to a lesser extent, via smaller patches.
In recent months, though, Microsoft has shown that it's willing to experiment.
In January, for example, it debuted Microsoft Office Outlook Live, which takes the company's Outlook software and offers it to consumers along with storage space as part of a monthly or annual subscription.
Gates verbatim
"Well, software as a service was a theme of the company meeting I think nine or 10 years ago where we heralded the idea that packaged software was done and now it was all just going to be shipped over the Internet. In fact, like many things around the Internet that were predicted to happen quickly, they're not wrong, they're simply things that take more time.
"So there will be more of a mix of on-premise and off-premise software, and these Web services standards that we've promoted and built the tools for more than any company in the industry are very key enabling technologies to make that possible--so that you could even at some point run some custom logic on premise, even if the main application is hosted somewhere else. Or you could have one application (on site) and another application (off site) and still be able to get that kind of rich integration. So Web services are very powerful in this environment.
Sheryl Kingstone, an industry analyst with the Yankee Group, points out that just because Microsoft hasn't offered many products this way doesn't mean the company is opposed to the idea. In fact, she gives Microsoft credit for spotting back in the mid-1990s that the Internet could be used as a mechanism to deliver games and other software.
As for the business side, she says, it's "just not something that they have put a stake in the ground yet and said that they want to go after."
Ultimately, though, analysts say, the trend is headed toward a greater use of hosted software, particularly for small and midsize businesses that are looking to avoid the complexities and upgrade hassles that come with running their own software. What such customers really want is software that's functional, easy to use and has a low total cost--needs, Kingstone said, that the hosted software approach is well-suited to meet.
Such a move, though, presents more than technical hurdles for the world's largest software seller. One of the key issues is how Microsoft will price such offerings.
Gates agreed that pricing remains a big challenge. It's relatively straightforward for truly generic applications, but it quickly grows thorny as companies want to run their own unique business processes. Meeting the business needs of one customer could ultimately interrupt or slow work for another company.
"It's very hard to do service-level agreements and resource pricing when things get arbitrary," Gates said.
For Microsoft and other traditional software vendors, though, service-based pricing requires a broader shift in economics. Such companies
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Bill Gates, software-as-a-service, Salesforce.com Inc., business application, Microsoft Corp.







Microsoft: instead of forcing users to pay over and over for the same crappy software, maybe you should think about bringing down your prices a little. Why will I pay over $300 for MS Office when OpenOffice is free, is a one-time download and does basically everything else MS Office does. And even the HTML it generates is much better than Microsoft Office's propietary "Save as Web Page" feature.
Yea, piracy, virii, & crackers are a problem, but is this the way to solve the problem ? NOOOOO!
If you want to see a mass exodus by the mass market constituancy switch to open source code, and OS X & the Tux on top of the dogpile, then by all means do this! It would be like committing corporate hara-kiri!
Everybody wants the convenience of download, but I know that I will NOT pay $2-$300 annually for this software! Omar's right! Somebody in the boardroom must be smoking somethin'!
It seems evident that Microsoft will simply roll out Longhorn, whose functionality will be browser indifferent and .NET subscription centric. That is, the .NET platform will be the communications vehicle for desk-to-host, obsoleting Firefox et al, and making things such that all software has to be developed on the .NET paradigm to work meaningfully on the C Sharp Looooooong Horn.
Once software makers are compelled to developed along the .NET lines, which originally specified that even developer tools and code libraries might go subscription, the market will all go subscription just to support the cost of developing .NET wares.
There is the simple fact that once software firms are forced to invest in .NET they shall need to recoup the investment, by adopting the subscription paradigm as well.
This was the stratgey with the move from VB6 to VB .NET--one had to buy the whole Visual Studio package to update to VB.NET in a way that allowed code distribution. Once one has paid for all of Visual Studio, the incentive is to go to the pure .NET language as one has bought it all.
OOPS!!! MAJOR MISTAKE!!! UNDO! UNDO!
matter is this Microsofts attempt to gain more control over the
market place. We already being forced to use .Net and follow
microsofts "best practices". Networked computing is already
here. But do you want to do it the way microsoft dictactes it?
Do you want them to think for you? They seem to have a great
:-P track record so far in that category. Guess that's why they
have such a plethora of successful business apps. Oopps they
didn't buy Siebel, PeopleSoft, JDEdwards, Intuit, and a ton of
others yet. Hmmmm ... oh yeah they have great development
tools. Darn.
The enduser pays for the grid network box, instead of the ADSL or cable modem.
The rest of money is spent on sophisticated human interface devices. Software will probably be free.
Because the network is the computer and managed by the telco, the possibilty of illegal activies would be restricted.
I don't see the MS model fitting in to this architecture, but maybe the XBox is their grid machine.
- Terminal & Mainframe...again...
- by Below Meigh March 19, 2005 7:55 PM PST
- Hmmm, let me see...run programs remotely...hmmm...big iron
- Like this Reply to this comment
-
(18 Comments)at one end and client/terminal/desktop/console at other end.
And this is new?? This is Bill Gates brainstorm? Puh-lease is
right!
Cyclical.
Bill...get your head out of the sweater dumpster and just walk
away. You have enough money now. Stick with Melinda and just
donate to those that need it. Let the real people that actually
NEED, USE and WRITE software do their thing. Enough with
putting ideas in Adobe's head what WE need versus what you
THINK we NEED.
"Hmm, not only are the sheeple buying a license to even power
on their computers, they also fork over $50/month just to
connect to the net! And now, we can nickel-dime them for
content, xbox goodies and the subscriptions to even launch and
run something that isn't even there! Brilliant!"
(I should have my own (insert magazine, blog, article, tv show)
on predicting the future of computing...)