October 13, 2005 11:14 AM PDT

MP3-player demand to spike in 2009

Demand for portable MP3 players is booming and expected to hit record levels in the next four years, according to an IDC report published on Thursday.

Led by devices such as the Apple iPod, the analyst firm predicts, shipments of MP3 flash memory music players will surge to nearly 124 million units in 2009. That is a 370-percent increase from the 26.4 million units shipped worldwide in 2004.

The report also explored the revenue potential of three other portable devices that play back compressed audio: DVD players, mobile phones such as the Motorola Rokr and gaming devices such as Sony's PSP. This category of "other" portable play-back devices is expected to exceed 700 million units shipped with an estimated $114 billion in revenue in 2009, IDC said.

Combined with the MP3 player category, all compressed audio players are expected to reach 945.5 million units shipped and $145.4 billion in revenue worldwide by 2009.

In addition to the coolness factor of designs from Apple, as well as the new bean-shaped Sony Walkman player and Creative Technology's Zen Vision music-and-video player, IDC pointed to other factors, such as cost and memory capacity, that will contribute to a rise in MP3 player demand.

In the last year, the cost of flash memory has fallen 56 percent to about $50 for a card with 512MB capacity, according to semiconductor research firm iSuppli. The firm projects the price will fall an additional 47 percent by next year and another 33 percent by 2007.

Memory capacity is also improving. Samsung plans to begin mass-producing 16GB flash-memory chips by the end of next year and has pointed to a 32GB prototype on the horizon. IDC predicts capacity for portable flash players will increase from 1GB in 2004 to 8GB in 2006 and 16GB by late 2007.

Despite higher capacities, hard drive-based players are expected to remain priced far above $200 for the next four years, IDC said.

Video support for music-video playback also is expected to drive demand for portable flash-players and hard drive-based portable jukeboxes, IDC said.

Analysts said they expect paid online media services to lead the charge with downloads. Main players are expected to be Apple's iTunes, Napster's subscription service, Yahoo Music and Microsoft, which announced a deal with RealNetworks this week to promote the Rhapsody subscription music service via the MSN Web business.

See more CNET content tagged:
online media, flash memory, capacity, Apple Computer, MP3 player

Add a Comment (Log in or register) 1 comment
I want bigger SD cards.
by Roman12 October 13, 2005 12:55 PM PDT
Yeah! :) The price of flash-memory is falling so quickly! I hope they would make some bigger Secure Digital cards that are affordable.
__________________________________
R.K.
http://www.Remove-All-Spyware.com/
Reply to this comment
Powered by Jive Software
advertisement

Latest tech news headlines

RSS Feeds

Add headlines from CNET News to your homepage or feedreader.

More feeds available in our RSS feed index.

advertisement

Inside CNET News

Scroll Left Scroll Right
  • Nanotech: The Circuits Blog

    Timing rumors surface for AMD plant spin-off

    Rumors persist that Advanced Micro Devices is planning to spin off all or part of its manufacturing operations.

  • Gallery

    Photos: Ron Paul's RNC alternative

    As the Republican convention took place just miles away, a crowd rallied for the former presidential candidate and his message of limited government, ensured civil liberties, lower taxes, and peace.

  • Digital Noise: Music and Tech

    Was 1980s music that bad?

    NPR asks listeners which year featured the best music, and the 1980s emerge as a bleak era. Personally, the '80s figure prominently in my collection, but well behind the 1970s.

  • Beyond Binary

    Microsoft begins big ad push

    Microsoft's multi-year push, estimated at $300 million, begins with a spot featuring Bill Gates and Jerry Seinfeld aired during Thursday's NFL game.

  • Video

    YouTube plays party politics

    During the presidential campaigning four years ago, YouTube didn't even exist. Now it's a tool candidates must master to get their message across. CNET's Kara Tsuboi stops by the YouTube upload booths at the Democratic and Republican conventions to find out why Google's video site has such a big presence in Denver and St. Paul, Minn.

  • News - Digital Media

    Michael Moore plans Net-only film premiere

    Filmmaker plans to premiere his latest documentary exclusively on the Internet for free, forgoing the traditional theatrical release.

  • Video

    Political party playlists

    We know the Democrats and Republicans are split over policy issues, but does their musical taste fall down party lines too? And what kind of gadgets did they bring to the conventions to listen to their music? CNET reporter Kara Tsuboi finds out.

  • News - Politics and Law

    What you can--and can't--find about Palin on the Internet

    John McCain's choice of Sarah Palin as a running mate has inspired a wealth of creativity on the Internet.

  • News - Cutting Edge

    Execs predict next Google-like tech

    On eve of company's 10-year anniversary, researchers and business pundits speculate about what technologies might someday have as much impact as Google.

  • Gallery

    Photos: The brains behind Google Chrome

    Here's a look at some of the engineers and executives who took the stage at the company's headquarters as they unveiled the new browser.

  • Crossfade

    Ying Yang Twins, 'Look Back At It': Free MP3 of the Day

    This amped-up duo gets the party started with a mix of crisp, Southern hip-hop beats and shout-along rhymes. Download a free MP3 of "Look Back At It" courtesy of CNET Download Music.

  • Green Tech

    Clean-tech group forms to support Obama

    "Clean Tech and Green Business for Obama" aims to raise $1 million for the Democratic presidential nominee while elevating issues of climate change and alternative energy.