August 18, 2004 6:30 AM PDT
Google slashes IPO price
The changes cut the value of the company by almost 30 percent--to $25.8 billion--compared with the high end of its initial pricing range of $108 to $135 a share.
The initial range was considered high by typical IPO standards.
The IPO would have raised as much as $3.5 billion under the earlier range; that figure is now down to $1.9 billion.
The numbers of shares offered has also dropped to 19.6 million from 25.7 million. Several executives, including company founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin and Chief Executive Eric Schmidt, cut in half the number of shares they will offer. And some insiders, including well-known investors John Doerr and Michael Moritz, have been cut out of the IPO entirely.
Clouds over Google's IPO
Problems add up as market
debut draws near.
Google plans to price the shares in a rare auction-style IPO. The deal promises to put more shares in the hands of ordinary investors rather than wealthy investment banking clients. The auction is also widely seen as a slap at Wall Street and the clubby culture that contributed to investigations into improper IPO trading activities at the height of the dot-com bubble.
Problems of its own
But Google's revolution faces some problems of its own.
Just days before the auction started, Google announced that the Securities and Exchange Commission and state regulators had begun an informal inquiry into how it issued stock options to some insiders. Then, a high-profile interview with the founders appeared in Playboy magazine, threatening to delay the deal.
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Under an auction format, the highest price that results in all shares sold receives IPO shares. Because the format relies on the highest bid, it can, in some cases, temper what would otherwise be a large surge in price once the IPO shares begin trading on the open market.
Technology companies this year averaged first-day gains of 14 percent with their IPOs, while first-day gains for all IPOs averaged about 10 percent. But a number of Wall Street observers said they expect Google's share price to trade down once it hits the market.
That means the people who stand to get the most from the deal will be those selling shares in the IPO itself, rather than in the aftermarket.
Despite predictions that the share price will dip once the stock starts trading, some IPO experts said the deal could still spark a surprise rally in technology stocks if investors drive up the price.
Times have changed
Problems aren't uncommon on the road to an IPO, but Google's may have been magnified because of inordinately high expectations surrounding the deal. Long before the company filed its IPO documents with the SEC, Google's founders and management were frequently peppered with questions of when the search company would go public.
Google's mystique was fueled by an iconoclastic culture that included a mantra to "do no evil," free gourmet meals for staff and a revulsion toward motives of pure profit. Its Prius-driving founders seemed to many to embody all the principles of enlightened scientific consciousness. And its technology worked like no other.
Using a mathematical formula called PageRank, Google analyzes hyperlinks of Web pages to measure popularity relative to similar pages. That would eventually thrust Google ahead of the pack in delivering relevant search results in Web pages.
Google also kept itself sparse and focused. While other search engines were obsessed in "portalizing" their sites and making them "sticky" in the late 1990s, Google stayed focused on serving search results on the Web.
On this backdrop, Google got its first big break when Yahoo licensed its search technology in 2000, snubbing Yahoo's then-partner Inktomi. Google's star rose quickly afterward as people began to migrate to the source of their search results.
Since then, Google has continually introduced new categories of search services over the years from newsgroups in 2001 with the DejaNews' Usenet archives acquisition to shopping search.
Its most important developments relate to online advertising, which comprises 95 percent of its $1 billion revenue. In 2001, the company introduced a pay-per-click advertising system that lets marketers bid for placement adjacent to search results, on the heels of the commercial success of GoTo with the same type of system. Google's ad service differed from those of GoTo--now Yahoo-owned Overture Services--in that it takes into account how often people click on a marketer's text ads in order to determine its placement in sponsored listings.
Google later syndicated the ad program in 2002, allowing companies such as America Online and Ask Jeeves to display its search-related advertisements and share in the profits. With this move, Google and Overture became heated rivals for ad-distribution partners. In 2003, Google introduced contextually based advertising that allows publishers to display text ads related to their content as opposed to search.
From the bottom up
Google was not only able to make these strides, but also did so without the benefit of a stockpile of cash from an IPO. Analysts said the company will likely stick to its roots after the IPO and apply the money to parts of its existing business.
"They are a company that builds things from the bottom up. Also, Yahoo has already bought a lot of the assets out there," said Jim Friedland, an analyst with S.G. Cowen. "I think Google will spend more of its IPO money on marketing and R&D, which is a trend that has already started."
With success have come challenges.
Google has drawn many lawsuits, including complaints that its ad program violates company trademarks. The company only recently settled a long-running lawsuit with Yahoo over patent infringement, and Google expects to take a charge of between $260 million and $290 million in the third quarter.
The company also has a whale of a fight coming from rivals Yahoo and Microsoft. MSN is planning to introduce new search tools next year and eventually plans to make navigating seamless for the Windows operating system, the Web, e-mail and desktop documents.
And recently, researchers conducted studies showing that Google results don't necessarily outperform rivals such as Yahoo or Ask Jeeves' Teoma, but that its "brand halo" tends to sway Web surfers nevertheless.
This year, Google also introduced Gmail, a free Web-based e-mail service with 1GB of storage. The e-mail service was designed to set it apart from the pack, but as Google noted in an SEC filing this month, its competitors are catching up in offering storage.
Google is developing other new services to do battle with competitors. This year, it began working on new local search and personalization services. The company will likely also introduce a searchable book service in the coming year or two, given that it has already started copying and indexing some publishers' works. The company has also set its sights on desktop search.