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Comments on: E-mails indicate EPA suppressed report skeptical of global warming

A series of e-mail messages from the Environmental Protection Agency shows manager told a researcher his 98-page report on climate change would not be disseminated. The EPA says it acted properly.

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by xavierhaurie June 28, 2009 1:19 AM PDT
Did anyone read the paper published by Carlin last year? McCullagh links to it in his article above. In it Carlin argues that a tipping point in climate change probably has already or will soon have occurred and that we should forget about controlling greenhouse gases, and instead use climate geoengineering to stop global warming immediately. He also simplifies things in a grotesque way by promoting the control of ocean levels as an alternative to controlling greenhouse gas emissions. As far as I know reducing GHG is a method for controlling climate, whereas controlling ocean levels is a desired end result of such control. Carlin (and McCullagh by if he's read Carlin's 2008 paper) talks about systems and control, but he confuses inputs and outputs, dependent and independent variables, sensors and actuators...

Thank God the EPA is suppressing this guy. Not for his views, but because the rest of the world would be laughing so hard.
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by pentest June 28, 2009 1:47 AM PDT
""My personal view is that there is not currently any reason to regulate (carbon dioxide)," he said. "There may be in the future."

No way this guy is credible.

Let's wait until it is too late to fix the problem.
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by notonthegrid June 28, 2009 9:06 AM PDT
I just took a brief look at the EPA's Endangerment document and the Federal Register notice that rules the 6 gases are "air pollution". The FedReg Doc does appear to have some logic errors in it. He goes from "water vapour 'can' be a contributor", to "water vapour 'isn't' a contributor" with no support. The supporting docs say that water vapour IS a contributor, and can cause the temps to go down, if the vapours appear as low flying clouds, or make the temps go up if the vapours appear as high flying clouds. If you just look at the court's logic, it appears they have an agenda.
by Lerianis3 June 28, 2009 9:06 AM PDT
There isn't going to be any 'too late' because carbon dioxide is still a VERY SMALL amount of gas in our atmosphere and since 1900 has only increased a VERY LITTLE.

Listen, I am all for making cars more fuel efficient, put out less emissions, etc..... but I am getting REAL FREAKING TIRED (I would use the other F word there!) of being feared into doing those things with misrepresented data and blunt LIES.
by capn_insano July 26, 2009 1:29 AM PDT
One major problem comes when a tipping point is reached such that many more hectares of permafrost tundra thaw resulting increased methane release [which, as I understand it, is ~20 times more potent as a greenhouse gas]. There are also massive deposits of methane hydrate. a relatively small amount of this releasing methane would be very bad.
by jack5092 June 28, 2009 1:50 AM PDT
This article is appalling for CNET to have published. Lets turn it around a bit so we can judge it more clearly. "An environmentalist has tried to get an article published with the finance department stating that the US economy is the result of central state controlled planning, and not open markets. He's now outraged that his article was rejected and is claiming suppression from authorities who are simply protecting their previously held position." Had this been the story you all would have laughed that someone with no expertise was shocked his article wasn't published. When you turn it around it looks exactly like it is. Some crap article written by someone with no knowledge claiming suppression when he gets rejected. Shame on you CNET. Feed the fires of stupidity.
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by Kwasiowusu June 28, 2009 5:33 PM PDT
@ jack5092 :"This article is appalling for CNET to have published"

Au contraire. Its the best artice CNET have published all year. It proves they at least have some guts, and are not totally 100% in the tank for the Obummer regime.

@ jack5092 :"Lets turn it around a bit so we can judge it more clearly. "An environmentalist has tried to get an article published with the finance department stating that the US economy is the result of central state controlled planning, and not open markets. He's now outraged that his article was rejected and is claiming suppression from authorities who are simply protecting their previously held position." Had this been the story you all would have laughed that someone with no expertise was shocked his article wasn't published "

Hey, we had the mainstream media, CBS, ABC, NBC, The New York Times etc, reagularly publish wakadoo, crazy theories and invite lunatics from the Bush-hating left wing crazies brigade on to TV, to come spew about how it was the Bush adminstratiion that actually planted bombs in the WTC buildings. This was despite ME personally seeing the second plane drive into the WTC building. I didn't see you demand that those lunatics be shut up did I? You are the same liberals who were cheering these crazies on, then, because your guy was not in the White House.
by capn_insano July 26, 2009 1:33 AM PDT
'Hey, we had the mainstream media, CBS, ABC, NBC, The New York Times etc, reagularly publish wakadoo, crazy theories and invite lunatics from the Bush-hating left wing crazies brigade on to TV, to come spew about how it was the Bush adminstratiion that actually planted bombs in the WTC buildings. This was despite ME personally seeing the second plane drive into the WTC building. I didn't see you demand that those lunatics be shut up did I? You are the same liberals who were cheering these crazies on, then, because your guy was not in the White House.'

Are you denying that Dubya was illegitimate and incompetent?
Sure the plane flew into the tower. From what I've heard and read it still looked an awful lot like a controlled demolition [this is from people that blew stuff up as a vocation]. Also, what say you to the purported presence of thermite? Why was the investigation stalled for two years?
by pentest June 28, 2009 1:55 AM PDT
Once again Declan, you prove you are nothing more then a tabloid writer.

If you can take the scientific claims of an economist, them I suppose you ask your cable guy to give you a physical?
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by Kwasiowusu June 28, 2009 3:13 PM PDT
@ pentest:"Once again Declan, you prove you are nothing more then a tabloid writer"

Once again " pentest" is proving to be a mnindless Obamamot, terrorist foot soldier, who brooks no dissent in opinion, and moves to terrorise and oppress anyone with any dissenting views. This is not Stalinist Soviet Union..yet


@ pentest."If you can take the scientific claims of an economist"

The guy has a physics degree from CalTech in addition to being a PHD in economics. He is NOT pretending to be a scientist. He IS a scientist. What scientific credentials do YOU have, mate?
by oldmanangry July 1, 2009 1:53 PM PDT
Um, the guy is not actually employed by the EPA as a scientist. He is a employed as an economist and none of his work is related to climate studies. He does this as a side hobby and has been doing it for the last few years. Also, his Caltech BS came about 46 years ago. I suspect he's a little out of date.

There is also this thing about actually working in the field that you study for 45 years, versus working in another field. As I understand it, he doesn't deny that climate change is happening nor what is causing it, but feels there are other routes to address it.
by MLE June 28, 2009 6:19 AM PDT
So we are supposed to trust an economist's opinion on climate change when they can't even figure out the financial mess we are in?
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by steve_52 June 28, 2009 6:30 AM PDT
Read the report. The author supports his contention that sunspot cycles and cosmic rays affect Earth's climate by citing one or two, non-peer-reviewed postings to web sites. He also claims the Greenland ice sheet isn't melting at the predicted rate.

The most recent peer-reviewed findings regarding all of these items indicate that a) sunspot cycles have nothing to do with global mean temperatures; b) cosmic rays have nothing to do with global mean temperatures; c) Greenland's ice sheet continues to melt at a fairly good clip. He even asserts that rising global temps are somehow responsible for the increase in human lifespan we have seen in the last century.

The report is ridiculous. Read it. It's no wonder they ignored this guy. He's an idiot.
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by consag June 28, 2009 7:16 AM PDT
A lot of people are questioning credentials here. How about questioning Al Gore's, a political science major????
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by Kwasiowusu June 28, 2009 5:42 PM PDT
Exactly!
The same liberals, who are questioning Dr.Carlin's scientific credentials, despite him having a bachelor's degree in Physics from CalTech, are the very same people, who kept cheering on Algore and all the hundreds of lies he told in his joke of a movie " An Inconvenient Truth"
Folks, let;s consider Algore here for a minute shall we? This is a guy who not only has ZERO scientific credentials, whatsoever, Algore actually FLUNKED even out of Divnity school!
Is this the kind of guy that should be lecturing anyone on "global warming", especially since he was using nearly 200 times as much carbon based electricity as the average American does to power his house? NO!
Yet the liberals cheerfully accepted his lies as gospel. Yet today, the same libearls question a guy with a heck of a lot more scientific credentials than Algore. Go figure!
by oldmanangry July 1, 2009 1:56 PM PDT
I think there's a big difference. Al Gore is not a scientist. He is the public face of a movement to address climate change. He is the spokesman for his cause. He does not claim to have done the research at all.

The right here, such as Mr. Declan, are saying that this guy is a scientist. He is not. He is someone who has worked as an EPA economist for decades. None of his work is peer reviewed.

Again, Al Gore not a scientist. Al Gore does not claim to be a scientist.

You guys all say Carlin is a scientist yet has not worked in that field. Ever. Nor had any peer reviewed work. Ever.

Also, http://sethf.com/gore/
by mutualin4mation June 28, 2009 7:33 AM PDT
This is impossible because a republican is not in the white house and Obama is a God Rock Star who can only do good and never does wrong.
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by Lerianis3 June 28, 2009 9:08 AM PDT
Nope. Sorry, but I voted for him, and I don't think that in the slightest. Most other people also don't think that he can 'do not wrong' but that he is doing more RIGHT than wrong right now, except in the minds of the Repukians and conservacreeps.
by kbellve June 28, 2009 9:31 AM PDT
I like how people are dismissive of this guy because he is an economist.

He received his physics under graduate degree from Cal Tech and his Ph.D. from MIT. He is a very smart guy.

You need to drop the economist argument because it doesn't prove anything other than how you appear making such an argument.
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by oldmanangry July 1, 2009 2:01 PM PDT
People are dismissive because of how this is being manipulated by the right wingers such as the author of this story.

No one said he is not smart. But try to imagine this:

You work at your company in the accounting department of a tech company. You also have a CS degree that you got 40 years ago. Suddenly, you demand that the tech company include your report on the new product that is being introduced. The engineers, execs and the like look at your report. They decide, that umm, you work in accounting, but say thanks. Your view is not included.
by ipswich14 June 28, 2009 9:36 AM PDT
i personaly think this planet is a mess and is not getting any better. who cares weather that report was suppressed or not or is a lie or anything else. clean up this sphere, you and i live here.
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by DamonDMEC June 28, 2009 10:08 AM PDT
More CO2 means a warmer atmosphere. Why are people afraid to regulate the amount of CO2 we put into the air? What is the big fear? That it will cost more money to take care of the issue?

At some point the methane will start pouring out of the frozen hinterlands of Siberia unabated. Then we're toast, methane is far worse than CO2.

We've known about global warming since the 1950's, it's time to act on it.
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by ggoodknight June 28, 2009 2:40 PM PDT
The 1950's was about when our sun doubled its magnetic field and solar wind output, to a level not seen for 8 to 12 thousand years, and it has recently stopped and is now at low level not seen for a century. One of Danish physicist Eigil Friis-Christensen's first papers on the subject (circa 1990) noted a curious correlation between the length of solar cycles and world temperatures... the shorter the cycle, the hotter. Cycle 23, expected to end a couple years ago, is now over two years overdue and the sun is at a minimum not seen before since our space age gave us the tools to study it.

It's the sun, not CO2. We as mammals evolved in a garden with orders of magnitude more CO2 than we have now, or could ever put into the atmosphere from fossil fuel use. Since our fossil fuels are arguably the result of the terraforming by visible life consuming CO2 over the past 500 million years, it's probably an impossibility for us ever to extract enough coal and oil to put more than a fraction back into the air, or do it much faster than existing plants can take it back out.
by capn_insano July 26, 2009 1:54 AM PDT
'the shorter the cycle, the hotter. Cycle 23, expected to end a couple years ago, is now over two years overdue'

Hang on, so what you're saying is that cycle 23 is going longer than expected? Perhaps I've misread this but it does look like this to me which would suggest that the first part of this quote is incorrect.
Regarding solar forcing, this is what I have found thus far on this notion;
'The most commonly cited study by skeptics -- by Usokin, Schussler, Solanki and Mursula -- also found that the correlation between solar activity and temperature ended around 1975. At that point, temperatures rose while solar activity stayed level. This led them to conclude that, ?during these last 30 years the solar total irradiance, solar UV irradiance and cosmic ray flux has not shown any significant secular trend, so that at least this most recent warming episode must have another source.?[7]

According to Skeptical Science[8] -- a website by John Cook which reviews specific arguments used by the sceptics -- this is also confirmed by direct satellite measurements that find no rising trend since 1978[9], sunspot numbers which have leveled out since 1950[10], the Max Planck Institute reconstruction that shows irradience has been steady since 1960[11], and solar radio flux or flare activity which shows no rising trend over the past 30 years.[12]

The GCC's own scientists noted that "Direct measures of the intensity of solar radiation over the past 15 years indicate a maximum variability of less than 0.1%, sufficient to account for no more than 0.1°C temperature change. This period of direct measurement included one complete 11 year sun spot cycle, which allowed the development of a correlation between solar intensity and the fraction of the Sun's surface covered by sun spots. Applying this correlation to sun spot data for the past 120 years indicates a maximum variability on solar intensity of 0.1%, corresponding to a maximum temperature change of 0.1°C, one-fifth of the temperature change observed during that period. If solar variability has accounted for 0.1°C temperature increase in the last 120 years, it is an interesting finding, but it does not allay concerns about future warming which could result from greenhouse gas emissions. Whatever contribution solar variability makes to climate change should be additive to the effect of greenhouse gas emissions. The Tinsley and Heelis proposed mechanism may revive the debate about the role of solar variability. To date is has not entered the climate change debate."'
by hankthedwarf June 28, 2009 12:26 PM PDT
I like how protecting the environment has become a partisan fight. Those arguing against conservation (strange how those against conservation invariably label themselves "conservatives") should really take a look at themselves in the mirror and wonder if they really believe in the pro-industry/anti-science stances or are just regurgitating talking points made by people they happen to be fans of.
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by Kwasiowusu June 28, 2009 5:46 PM PDT
@ hankthedwarf :"should really take a look at themselves in the mirror and wonder if they really believe in the pro-industry/anti-science stances "

Industry in America, is a heck of a lot more PRO science than the scientifically illiterate Algore and his narcissistic Hollywood pals, who use more carbon based electricity to power their luxurious homes, and pilot theirp rivate jets around by far than most Americans do.
by bbell37968 June 28, 2009 6:20 PM PDT
Hank -- yet you've framed the entire argument in a partisan way. This is the peril of rule my majority, which is what our Republic looks lore like every day. Each side pinging back and forth as policies fail, taking the spoils of victory as a signal to take action without respect to individual freedom. Since you've framed the argument as you have, I'll add that I suspect that you and many conservatives have similar aspirations for conservation. If only that could be achieved through personal action, rather than federal hammer, imagine how powerful an effect could be made. As an example, Duck's Unlimited members have done more for meaningful wetlands conservation than much of the politically driven legislation that does more to cater to political donors than much else. That's an organization conservatives and liberals alike can and do support without the partisan rancor.
by ggoodknight June 28, 2009 2:18 PM PDT
To those who would dismiss the EPA's Alan Carlin because he is not a 'scientist', in the eyes of many, a BS in Physics from the California Institute of Technology, perhaps the world's preeminent scientific institutions, and a Ph.D. from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, another on everyone's short list of the bastions of science, makes him far more of a scientist than Dr. Pachauri, the *economist* who shared the Nobel stage with Al Gore. Pachauri's background was industrial engineering before studying economics and driving the IPCC to it's results, and not in institutions as fine as CIT or MIT.

While Alan Carlin may not have the background to perform original climate research, he's well qualified by education and by his nearly four decades as an EPA staffer to read published research and understand the implications of that research.

Also with a BS in Physics (and an MS in Electrical Engineering), when I finally saw a bit of anti-AGW propaganda laying out some of the same arguments, I went searching for the peer reviewed papers by the likes of physicists Svensmark, Friis-Christensen, Shaviv and geochemist Jan Veizer, and found ample evidence that called into doubt the AGW bandwagon. My own epiphany was reading the paper "Celestial driver of the Phanerozoic climate?" by Shaviv and Veizer (cited by the Svensmark Cosmoclimatology paper in Astronomy & Geophysics): whenever you have two completely separate scientific disciplines independently arriving at the same result, one must sit up and take notice.

The only reason the debate on CO2's role in climate change could be declared to be over is that folks such as those in control at the EPA have managed to insure it could never start. Thanks to CBS News and CNET for running with this story by Declan McCullagh.
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by integrity2 June 28, 2009 4:29 PM PDT
Just because someone was smart enough to get a degree in something, does not mean his personal take on the work of others, on something outside his specific field of study, should necessarily be given special consideration so late in a decision making process. I looked at some of your arguments and his, and its sadly amusing to see the varying degree of falseness and ignorance in things being presented as fact.
CEI pushing the debate on this totally undermines its credibility. A few people with degrees can always be bought, or threatened or influenced in some way to promote a given agenda. That's a major reason why peer review analysis on an individuals conclusions is so important. The time for his conclusions to be reviewed by climate specialists in advance of a policy decision had come and gone. If you don't have some sort of cut off date for these things, then those who don't like what you are about to do can just keep bringing something else, and something else, and something else forward, to bog down any actions in never ending delays.
It brings to mind a view of a college student that hands in his term paper after the due date, and cries when the professor rejects it outright because its late. Wasn't there a Bush flunky who took it upon himself to edit a scientific paper of some kind about global warming, got busted, and then went to work for Exxon/Mobile.?
What's to say it wasn't a strategic move by CEI to have him present that report at that time, knowing full well it would be brushed aside, so that then they could scream bloody murder and play the suppression card.
It's a well known tactic, to inhibit any meaningful action from happening in a direction you don't like, you promote a debate on it by ANY means necessary. While people debate and debate and debate, nothing much changes ,and power or profit or whatever you're getting just keeps rolling in. Hey, it worked great for the cigarette companies for decades. Only this time, if the majority view of scientists is true, then we don't have that long to debate and do nothing.
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by Kwasiowusu June 28, 2009 5:13 PM PDT
@integrity2 :"Just because someone was smart enough to get a degree in something, does not mean his personal take on the work of others, on something outside his specific field of study, should necessarily be given special consideration so late in a decision making process"

Way to try and turn it the other way round.
Hey it's the enviro-wacko crazies on this thread who have been calling Alan Carlin's scientific credentials into question in post after post here, despite Alan Carlin having a phyisics degree from one of our best universitites, and having a PHD from MIT to boot.
Not to mention, his physics degree from CalTech alone gives him a heck of a lot more clout scientifically, than the stupid talking heads in the liberal media and the empty heads from Hollywood who have ben shoving this "global warming" nonsense down our throats. Similar viws to his, have been expressed by thousands of the best scientific minds on the planet, despite supression of their views, and outright hostility from the liberal media.
So much for Obummer's loud, oft repeated campaign boasts of running "the most transparent administration ever". Instead, this is the most opaque adminstration ever. Yet another of Obummer's empty campaign promises goes down the drain. This has got to be the most corrupt, sleazy, unprincipled, adminstration this country has ever seen..by far.
by capn_insano July 26, 2009 2:01 AM PDT
What, no comment on this?
'CEI pushing the debate on this totally undermines its credibility.'
by SocraticGadfly June 28, 2009 4:54 PM PDT
Puhleeze. Go to Carlin's website, look at his list of publications. This guy's been flogging cost-benefit analysis as THE answer on global warming, and other stuff, for years. His global warming answer is atmospheric engineering with aerosols, a HUGELY dangerous proposition.

EPA's only "problem" is that Carlin wasn't smoked out and headed off at the pass six months ago.
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by Kwasiowusu June 28, 2009 5:20 PM PDT
@ SocraticGadfly :". This guy's been flogging cost-benefit analysis as THE answer on global warming, and other stuff, for years."

And that is wrong how?
How would you like millions of jobs to be lost in this country because of some unproven nonsense from enviro-wacko tree huger fanatics, who have made huge contributions to Obummer's presidentail campaign?
by capn_insano July 26, 2009 2:04 AM PDT
I think I'd rather lose a job then suffer the rather negative consequences should global warming come into effect. But hey! Let's just keep making a mess of our room and let the kids a generation or two down the track clean it up.
by bbell37968 June 28, 2009 6:09 PM PDT
The EPA has had a political agenda for ages. No wonder, as the more they regulate, the more power they can gather unto themselves! In the early 90's the WSJ ran a powerful expose on a report that the EPA suppressed on the feasibility of electric vehicles relative to pollutant levels. At the time, the report revealed that there would be a net reduction in pollutants (CO2 was not considered a pollutant then!) only in states in which hydroelectric power predominated. THE EPA issued a statement to the contrary. It was a fairly big deal in terms of revealing the political motivations of the agency back then, and we should all be quite wary of the capricious actions of largely unaccountable administrators under ANY administration.
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by pjk0 June 28, 2009 6:44 PM PDT
Yes, it doesn't look particularly good for the EPA that perhaps "one" specific staff-member's opinion and/or research may have been discounted.

Then again, that says nothing about the (presumably) hundreds of other EPA scientists whose positions never reached the scandal-page, and whose work apparently did not suffer the same fate. Let's get some perspective here.

It's also more than a bit ironic that the global-warming naysayers here are so quick to jump on this, when the previous US administration was probably one of, if not the worst in US history when it came to political meddling in governmental agency affairs, especially when that pertains to suppressing scientific views supported by broad consensus, or appointing highly politicized flacks in high positions who consistently pushed politically-expedient, blatant junk-science. That occurred with many federal agencies under Bush, including the EPA, FDA, Energy Dept, NASA, etc. etc.

Where I come from, that's called situational ethics.
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by AZEngineer June 28, 2009 11:26 PM PDT
All you need to know about Carlin is that he is NOT a scientist.

Every scientist who has seriously studied the subject knows that global warming is real, and that CO2 contributes to that process.
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by txsoldier41 June 29, 2009 7:10 AM PDT
What appears to be missing in the comments, in my opinion, are that the EPA directed that this report created and then didn't like what if found. However, if the conclusions of the writer of this report did further the global warming or climate change agenda the it would be placed in a prominent position in the EPA's decision.

Also if everyone who is concerned that Carlin is not a scientist (and a degree in Physics does make him one), then they should be highly concerned that the EPA directed him to write this report. Because if the EPA is asking the wrong people to create reports for it's decisions, then all of their reports are suspect.

Just throwing that out there.
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by txsoldier41 June 29, 2009 7:11 AM PDT
What appears to be missing in the comments, in my opinion, are that the EPA directed that this report created and then didn't like what it found. However, if the conclusions of the writer of this report did further the global warming or climate change agenda the it would be placed in a prominent position in the EPA's decision.

Also if everyone who is concerned that Carlin is not a scientist (and a degree in Physics does make him one), then they should be highly concerned that the EPA directed him to write this report. Because if the EPA is asking the wrong people to create reports for it's decisions, then all of their reports are suspect.

Just throwing that out there.
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