Comments on: Comcast's usage cap: Is the sky really falling?
Go easy on the overreactions to Comcast's recently announced usage caps. Run the numbers, and you'll see why the cap probably doesn't matter to most users.
Go easy on the overreactions to Comcast's recently announced usage caps. Run the numbers, and you'll see why the cap probably doesn't matter to most users.
Web sites launch all the time, but they also shut their doors. We highlight 15 that bit the dust this year.
Let the debate begin: Was the iPhone more important than iTunes? Was anything bigger than Google finding a great business model? CNET offers its list of the 10 most important stories of the '00s.
Silicon Valley-based computer architect and chip analyst Peter N. Glaskowsky attends a variety of industry conferences throughout the year to meet with industry thought leaders and dig into the future of computing technology. In Speeds and Feeds, he analyzes trends in system architecture and interface design, as well as market and political pressures surrounding those trends. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.
Add this feed to your online news reader
As a consumer you really can't do much in the way of commercial work using your account. They don't give you the tools. You have to host elsewhere and that host caps your data (though I'd rather they capped the bandwidth).
You aren't thinking far enough ahead into the not-too-distant future where we'll be streaming video and audio at higher and higher bit rates more often. Why should I stream an HD video from Hulu or another site if Comcast will count that against me and Comcast OnDemand won't? It's simple a way for ComcASS to get around the net neutrality rules...plain and simple.
We can imagine a world where real-time Internet HDTV distribution is common, but that doesn't mean it's possible yet.
. png
I use a slingbox to watch TV in other rooms around my house, I turned it on and metered it for 4 hours and used almost 5GB's of bandwidth.... So, I can either stop doing the normal "consumer" things I enjoy now, or give in and call Comcast to upgrade my account before I am thrown off of their network. So what you are really saying here is that I should just pay more for a service that constantly drops my VOIP calls, drops my internet connection, sends me TV shows that are garbled 10% of the time, who provides me with the worst possible customer service available.... As far as I'm concerned Comcast is seriously over charging me now, I'm still not sure what I'm paying $150.00 a month for, it certainly isn't for service!
Comcast is clearly thinking ahead, considering they followed up their Managed Network emails with an advertisment encouraging us all to buy a WII system to use with our Comcastic internet service so we can all hit our 250GB limit faster. Bunk you say? Are you sure you don't work for them?
Another question: Why is it that downloading a movie from Netflix counts towards the cap, but ordering a movie through Comcast OnDemand doesn't?
Another still: Why is it that watching a TV show downloaded from a site counts, but not Comcast's video?
The answer: It's a cheap and easy way to slap a tarriff of sorts onto the competition, without having to put up with an antitrust investigation (yet).
Add in gaming, hobbies which use a ton of bandwidth (3D/CG hobbyist art, for instance, where an .obj file or content package can very easily weigh in at hundreds of MB each), and it all adds up very quickly.
Yes, there was once a time when Internet usage was metered. I remember paying $10/mo for 200 hours of modem time, with $1 for every 10MB over that... in 1995. AOL once charged $5/hr. In the US, those days were supposed to be dead.
The nanosecond that Comcast sends me any sort of warning, I will happily call Verizon and give them a new customer. Not everyone has that luxury...
/P
How about the fact that Netflix gets the money in one case, and Comcast gets it the other way?
If you buy additional Internet services from Comcast, Comcast gets the money; you're paying them more, so you get more service. What's wrong with that?
If you're a "heavy SOHO user" you probably ought to get a commercial account, right? But seriously, VOIP is never going to approach the usage cap anyway.
And seriously, how many 3D files are you going to download at "hundreds of MB each"? You'd need to download 33 per day at 250MB each in order to hit the cap. Not going to happen.
. png
"But seriously, VOIP is never going to approach the usage cap anyway." Agreed, but it does reduce the effective cap by that amount, whereas using the more expensive Comcast Voice does not. Again, violating Net Neutrality and monopolistic practice (again, the latter depending on market).
"you probably ought to get a commercial account, right?"
Sure - let's pay $$$ more per month for a slower service without the other (e.g. video and channel) features you would otherwise normally get as a home customer. Let's pay for features (e.g. Microsoft commercial products and services) I'll never use. Let's get charged for a high installation fee. Let's get metered for bandwidth. Makes perfect sense from the customer side... oh, wait - it doesn't make any sense at all, especially when Verizon doesn't require that I do any such thing to get faster speeds and no bandwidth cap.
"And seriously, how many 3D files are you going to download at "hundreds of MB each"?"
Depends on the project (and the number of revisions) - it can reach into gigabytes per week in files tossed back and forth for projects of a decent size (not counting the source material acquisition).
That said, nitpicking at individual filetypes is not the point - it's the aggregate 'nickel-and-dime' approach you take that, in toto, pushes the user into either buying Comcast-only services to make room for the cap (and avoid disconnection), or consistently worry about hitting it (if not now, then eventually as files get larger and/or use gets higher).
Like I said before: I live in an area where I can give my money to a competitor if it makes more sense to (and this cap is making much more sense to IMHO), but in many markets, Comcast is the monopoly. I fully expect more than a few lawyers (probably egged on by Vonage, Netflix, et al) pushing for the DOJ to eyeball the way Comcast handled this one...
The worst part of FIOS is they block port 80 unless you have a business account. A blanket statement in the TOS states that you cannot run any kind of server on their internet.
I don't run servers from my house... and it wouldn't make sense to (I don't have my computers latched to a UPS, having a 24/7 service eating bandwidth would interfere with my own downloads, etc.) So that part doesn't bother me.
OTOH, I agree with you that pretty much any large ISP has at least a bit of evil in them... it's a question of preferring to patronize the lesser evil whenever possible (sort of like voting for a political candidate, really...)
If you pay Comcast to download a video, you're paying Comcast for the bandwidth you use to download the video.
If you pay someone else for the video, Comcast has to pay for the bandwidth on its network, but it doesn't get a share of the revenue from the video. So someone else is making money at Comcast's expense.
That's wrong.
And I'm glad to see you've backed down from those silly claims about VOIP and 3D model files using up 250 GB/month.
But you still need to follow the link I provided to Comcast's commercial Internet services, where you can see for yourself that you're completely wrong about the other services they support with a commercial account. Why not look up the facts before posting, huh?
. png
In any case, where is my usage meter? I hate the term bandwidth here because bandwidth is measured in Gb or Mb or Kb/s (I know you know) so where is this 250Gb? Temp files on a server in the midle of nowhere? Where? If I use 5Gb or 250Gb/month how do they know that I did it? If that is the case, I can I be a good little customer and stop at 249Gb if I don't know how much I am using.
Wait - I know. Like the Comcast Customer Service Manager I talked to last week -
Me "My phone service and internet has been going in and out."
Them "Sir, we sho your modem online and processing"
Me - "Really, because the modem says it has an upstream on 55db/mv, not good"
Them "Right sir, but next your phone goes out, call us so we can monitor it"
Me "How can I if my phone isn't wokring?"
Them "Don't you have a cell phone?"
Me "No. I don't. I have a home phone."
Them "You should ask someone to use their phone so we can monitor what is going on with your phone'
Me "can't you just send someone to check it"
Them "Sure, but it will cost $35"
Haha. Charge me for using the internet I pay a charge for then charge me for the mess up you made with your stuff.
I love America!!
new customer soon.
Yes, I'm fully aware that I'm paying Comcast for the video, but no, I'm not paying for any extra TCP/IP bandwidth to do it - OnDemand is packed solid with free movies, shows, and other bits and bobs. I can watch those to my hearts' content and not have to be "paying for the bandwidth" to deliver them.
QED: You are not correct when you say that I'm paying Comcast for additional bandwidth to deliver something to me using OnDemand. (In this case, perhaps it is you who should have learned the facts and backed them up before pontificating, eh? ;) ).
"So someone else is making money at Comcast's expense."
Err, what?
Comcast provides a network connection with their ISP service. That's all they do. That's all they should do. What I do with that connection (as long as it's legal) is my business, not theirs. What I do with others while I use that connection is my business, not Comcast's. I'm already paying them for the bandwidth I use - it's implicit in the contract that I'm paying them for this. How much I use or do not use is the only quibbling point, but for some odd reason they neglected to add that language to it.
I find it funny that in spite of their changing the terms of the contract radically (e.g. inserting capacity-limiting language), I doubt that the contract would become null and void in their estimation.
"And I'm glad to see you've backed down from those silly claims about VOIP and 3D model files using up 250 GB/month."
I don't know how else to tell you this, but you missed the point entirely, or are being deliberately obtuse: I never claimed that individually, they would break the cap. However, taken in total, they very well can. That's was the point - that they all add up.
Mis-characterizing what I wrote in order to score debating points is rather unprofessional on your part. Please stop doing that.
Please stop your ridiculous argument. When you pay comcast for the video that you download on OnDemand (free videos are covered in the cost of your cable so dont bother bringing that up.) the cost of the video includes the cost of the extra bandwidth required to download it. Same for the phone service. The cost of a Comcast phone service covers the cost of the additional bandwidth not just the phone. I have used Comcast for the last 4 years and have my own gripes with them, but this is not even a mild concern for me.
@ Peter,
Great article, too many people getting upset over no reason. I am a very heavy Internet user. I have 4 computers, XBOX 360, Wii all connected and most of them switched on all the time. I also use VOIP+ Netflix Streams+ XBOX Live+ XBOX HD Movie Downloads etc. My usage is still at about the 100 GB per month range.
250 GB is quite a bit people, so get a grip.
I think that Comcast is trying to stick it to their competitors who have to use someone else network for their VOD and VOIP services, making money off this while at the same time trying to get their (Comcast) internet customers to switch to their phone and Cable TV services.
I think that if Comcast is truly concerned that some people are bogging down the bandwidth for others, then maybe they are oversubscribing their Nodes and should stop that practice.
And while we are doing the numbers, is Comcast's claim that the median account uses 3GB a month credible? That?s a 100MB a day, on average. I eat nearly that much in a day just in email and looking at the news. Comcast must have lots of users who log on infrequently and just for email. I wonder what Comcast shows as the mode? I'm sure that it is much higher than 3GB.
But the real significance of the cap is two fold. First, Comcast drops the cap on us while at the same time blithely suggesting that users Google to find software to track their usage. I don't think so. Granted, I live in a moderately affluent community (we have two Hondas or Fords in the drive way but certainly not BMWs) but the norm in our community isn't a single networked computer. We have 3 computers in the house plus a TiVo. Across the street, every member of the family - 2 parents and 3 teens - have an online computer. And so it goes. Run your stats with multiple devices and the cap feels less comfortable. But more importantly, tracking usage with software run on the client computers becomes meaningless. A cap without a reasonable means of tracking usage is unreasonable.
But the real damage of the cap is yet to be seen because it is in how it will affect the future. Comcast, and the other providers that follow suit, will now have a tremendous influence on how innovation plays out. It isn't just a matter of physics - it is in the spin the service provide uses. Just consider this possibility. TimeWarner opens its own online movie store in competition with Apple's iTunes. For about the same price, I can download movies from TimeWarner...and those downloads don't count toward my cap. This is the future I fear.
The first time I get a warning..... that's the instant I file a lawsuit against Comcast.
We currently have 4 computers: 1 server, 1 tv, 1 for the kids, 1 for the wife. Even then are we seldom doing only one thing at a time. My oldest kids may be listening to music while downloading a game and still have youtube going cause she is a goofy kid. We also watch netflix through one computer and soon two computers.
. png
What is unreasonable today...will be blase tomorrow (Please see behavior of LiLo, Brit Spears, etc)...This includes Internet access. When everything in your home is chewing bandwidth phoning into some distant server or downloading today's latest patches or viewing streaming media from some other location...on every family members device...how low will that 250GB be then? Two computers? How about a family of 6 with an almost equal number of PCs... Slippery slope my friends...
as for Lowensohn's "...ridiculous claim that Comcast customers can reach that median monthly usage of 3 gigabytes in 'minutes'." they can, and they have. i know i have, downloading games over steam, for instance. 25 minutes is still minutes, not hours or even days. don't attack someone for using correct measurement comparisons.
the only reason comcast's new cap is "necessary" is so that they will not have to upgrade their infrastructure to support the impending surge in growth of web use, for everything from audio and video up&downloading to system backups to video-conferencing to web apps. it may not seem this way now, but it will end up being a bad business decision that will scare away customers (if their service isn't downright cancelled first) and empower their competition in the broadband market.
And once again, the bottom line here is that Comcast's network isn't designed to provide that kind of bandwidth to every user, and no residential customer is, in fact, paying for that kind of bandwidth.
. png
. png
I feel the main thing users are thinking about is what they will need in the future not now, I can remember when I was told I would never fill up a 40 meg HD!
Now 2 shots from digitial camera would fill that up.
250gigs a month my seem like a lot now but ina few years it will be Nothing!
I just really dislike it when people make crazy, stupid, or (in your case) personally insulting statements without any rational basis for them.
. png
Further, it is ridiculous to matter-of-fact state that VOD for HD barely exists, and therefore is irrelevant. Comcast's own On-Demand service has pay-per-view HD content. That puts it directly in competition with streaming HD content from DailyMotion, Hulu and Netflix, to name a few sites. The criticism is justified that Comcast is trying an end-around to the principles of net-neutrality.
Whereas capacity increases and prices decrease on cellular networks that have direct competition, broadband is barely competitive, if at all, in most markets except for the largest metropolitan areas. For now, 250 GB seems far more reasonable than 25 GB that others are capping at. However, if you believe in Friedman's flat world, this cap portends the further declination of American innovation. Of course, I don't think the cap will last very long. Eventually market pressure (from wireless) will force Comcast and others to renege on their usage caps.
You also seem to be one of these people who believes that "net neutrality" is more important than fair and sustainable business models. Why should video providers on the Internet be allowed to force Comcast to pay for the most expensive part of their services?
. png
I can name plenty!
I could provide the illegal file argument (whole series of TV shows etc) from available servers that do provide that speed, however to argue legitimate use, I do need to upload and download original graphics in the area of 3 or 4 gigabytes and even more if I do a bit of video editing. I have easily reached 120 GBs in one day.
But I guess I should mention I don't use Comcast, nor am I currently in the United States, and the price here is 30 dollars a month for unlimited fiberoptic connection with up/download speeds around 6MBytes (not bits) per second and the only thing slowing it down is because my harddrive can't cope with it.
Example:
Child 1: Downloading Music and High Def Movies /Playing WoW
Child 2: Downloading Music and High Def Movies/Playing WII online
Child 3: Downloading Music and High Def Movies/Playing Xbox Live
Parent 1: Downloading Music and Browsing Internet
Parent 2: Uploading Pictures and Web Surfing.
General Use from all computers: Patches/Virus Updates/Weather Updates/Web Surfing/Email/IM
Also, don't forget the fact that a good deal of appliances like Fridges/Toasters/Alarm Clocks are starting to become internet ready.
With that in mind I see these caps being hit very often over the next 1-2 years. No I don't think the sky is falling but I do think that creating a CAP is going to cause heart ache to people who adopt new services.
In the end, its not about the network or usage its about Comcast's continued anti-competitive nature. Since Comcast has a blessed monopoly in many regions, users don't have many alternatives to switch either.
My company that I used to work for had a staff of 40 and our corporate ISP usage was at most 120G/mth. That's with FORTY computers online performing online backups, email attachments constantly plus another 10 servers running 24/7 getting MS updates, Antivirus updates, etc.
I guess, my point is - the 250G is nothing to be worried about for the average home users. 90% of them will never even reach 50G, however, the median stat of 3GB/mth usage by users is preposterous. I call BULL on that one.
But I think you underestimate how many home Internet users are only light users. Lots of people have a life that has almost nothing to do with the Internet.
. png
I have 2 Terrabitys of Storage on my computers at home. A recent crash shows the need for better methods of backing up. The first month of affordable cloud storage...I've blown the cap. The first time I restore a computer after a crash and I've blown the cap. We are just starting the video streaming. More and more schooling is net intensive along with classroom bandwidth needs.
A flat data cap with a growing demand for data transfer is just not going to work in the long run. It's not like conserving water or elecricity.
I'm not able to get Verizon fiber as yet, but the reviews I've seen are glowing. Hopefully that service will become more widely available and provide a welcome alternative to Comcast.
Slingbox "slings" content from one source to another. Do you get your content outside your network? If not, then it never hits your ISP only your internal network. Same with your corporation as most of your backups and email are going through the internal system, and not outside.
250gb is a lot for an average person right now, but that is not for long. AT&T is just rolling out a big IPTV product and others are there as well. I do not think this is a Sky is falling thing: it is more of Comcast "again" making a more to eliminate access to competition to their customers. Remember, Comcast does not currently provide ANY WAY for users to monitor their bandwidth: especially we Comcast not really being straight forward on WHAT bits are counted. Obviously they don't count their own VOIP or video services, so how can a user accurately track their usage.
. png
If they offer an unlimited version that is not too expensive - fine - but if they don't then I would switch to an ISP that does not offer limited service.
. png
To add another twist to this - how are usage caps going to be managed for those who telecommute and/or need to perform MS-Windows, other O/S, and security updates for more than one computer?. I telecommute with VPN connection occasionally and could get to the cap limit within a 7 day period - even though I am not playing any games, or downloading videos or music.
Usage caps is like telling us you can only drive on road so many times per week.
Lastly, its possible that usage caps could also slow Internet / e-commerce growth.
Do you remember 10-15 years ago using dial up? Yes, that's what they want you to go back to. Bandwidth is so cheap these days (and it's going to get cheaper), that whatever their "excuse" might be, just don't justify their actions.
I had commented on another post before, and to me, they are basically saying. "Since we can't block Bittorrent, we will cap everyone". It's their way of getting back at their customers and the FCC...
BTW, I'm don't even use COMCAST!
- by MediaMania247 September 3, 2008 10:44 AM PDT
- I disagree. I'm a comcast subscriber for cable internet. I'm married and we have 2 teenaged sons. On any given day one or both of my sons is playing Halo, COD4 or GTA on xbox live (both sons have their own xbox 360's). My Wife blogs, watches television/ movies on the net as do my sons. I play Tribes 2 on-line using teamspeak or vent to talk to friends.... I betcha that cap will effect me and my family next summer when school is out.
- Like this Reply to this comment
-
-
- by Peter N. Glaskowsky September 3, 2008 12:24 PM PDT
- I betcha it won't. Nothing you've discussed is even remotely capable of threatening the usage cap.
- Like this
-
Showing 1 of 6 pages (198 Comments). png