Comments on: Green-tech pros eye cash in carbon
Forward-looking green-tech companies are trying to build a business by monetizing greenhouse-gas reductions.
Forward-looking green-tech companies are trying to build a business by monetizing greenhouse-gas reductions.
November 27, 2009 4:00 AM PST
November 26, 2009 4:55 PM PST
November 26, 2009 4:31 PM PST
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If government wants to break windows, we should expect there to be glass makers following the vandals.
- the value of carbon credits, ZEV credits
- by billdale May 10, 2007 12:45 PM PDT
- It's an imperfect system, but nothing in the real world is. In balance, the eco credits help. Here's how and why.
- Like this Reply to this comment
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(5 Comments)Without the credits, there is too much of an uphill battle to create and sell EVs, which is one of the most expensive and risky ventures an entrepreneur can embark on (look what happened to Tucker, DeLorean, Bricklin, et al, ).
With the credit system, the big manufacturers are getting away with creating more pollution, but no manufacturer wants to pay money they do not have to... they will look for ways to reduce their pollution output to reduce those costs. It gives the established automakers like GM an incentive to produce their own EVs.
By being able to sell credits, Phoenix and other clean vehicle manufacturers are not only building clean vehicles. A decade ago the automakers, GM most notably, went to great extremes to dismantle the laws that said they had to produce clean vehicles, and they went a step further to try to completely erase any reminder of EVs... they destroyed everything they made under loud public protest.
GM lied about the real reason they did not want to make them: most EVs only have one moving part in their drive train, are far, far simpler, and require almost no maintenance... no car maker can make much money on EVs once they leave the dealership-- no tune-ups, oil changes, fan belts, catalytic converters, etc. GM was terrified of disrupting the status quo, and they knew that EVs would last much longer before they ended up in the wrecking yards... they wanted to be able to sell you a new car every few years. The oil companies may also have been pressuring the automakers to keep from making EVs, too.
No matter how it starts, so long as practical EVs begin to populate out streets and highways, and people see just how much better they are in every way, they'll overcome their buyer's resistance. Many people today don't want to consider EVs for fear that they'll come to regret it... they would rather play it safe and let someone else take the risk of buying the first EVs.
The use of ZEV and carbon credits will die off without any intervention from anyone-- as soon as EVs begin to sell well and engine-powered car sales plummet, Phoenix and other EV makers will have too many credits and not enough credit buyers to whom they can sell.
The value of the credits will drop gradually at first, and then there will be a steep drop as engine cars lose market share... no one will want them.
The credits have no set dollar value. Phoenix has to negotiate with other companies to sell them. If Phoenix is suddenly selling 100,000 cars a year, the old-guard automakers will not only find it much harder to sell their gas-powered cars, but they'll be in panic mode to produce their own EVs and so will not need to buy credits from anyone else. That's the beauty of eco credits... they'll die a natural death without help from legislators.
When that happens, Phoenix will be a robust and vigorous company with no need for credit crutches, and they will be working to sell not only EVs, but solar panels to install on your roof, and high-speed charging stations to keep you rolling on interstate trips.