Comments on: Computing grid hunts for bird flu cure
Grid of 2,000 computers looks for a potential virus inhibitor among known compounds.
Grid of 2,000 computers looks for a potential virus inhibitor among known compounds.
December 2, 2009 5:21 PM PST
December 2, 2009 4:37 PM PST
December 2, 2009 4:14 PM PST
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I am curious as to how these things die out. We obviously have had extreme advanced detection compared to other eras. How is this effecting the flues half-life.
Are we creating a supervirus by not allowing it to take its toll in the bird population by culling birds. Allot of questions. Obviously it hasn't really spred to humans yet. But it probably wont if we can contain the birbs like were doing. Will it die out though without evelutionary means.
Not sure if it is possible to actually kill out viruses?
Logically but inhumanely and unrealistically speaking, a way to fight HIV would be to isolate all HIV patient and let them die out without contact with non infected people. Well unfortunately it cannot be done.
I'm going to be careful to not sound like a conspirisist(someone who like conspiracies).
First, I want to know if any "cures" or anything useful has come from doing what the general public sees as generic "research" from these computing grids. Computing grids have been around for a long time and I haven't heard of any new cures or antiviral meds from doing "research" using a computing grid...or computers at all for that matter.
Second, why the stupid Avian Flu anyway? It hasn't even mutated to infect humans yet! It may never either. Why don't these people focus this effort on AIDS research? Or any other disease that is ALREADY affecting humans. Combined with already 30 years or so of research and information gathered on AIDS, the computing grid may be better used researching a cure for AIDS.
However, it's not as if you throw something on
the grid and "poof" a cure pops out the other
end.
These grids are performing various docking and
annealing simulations to find inhibitors (in
this case, anyway). Once you've ranked the pool
of best hits, you'd need to screen them for
cross-reactivity and specificity, then you need
to start conducting wet-lab experiments, and
finally produce a drug from it. Clinical trials
alone would take years.
Avian flu *HAS* infected humans (a little over
200 dead so far). In its current forms its not
virulent (easily passed between people), though
human mortality is quite high (about 55%).
Passage is principally from animal to human via
transfer of bodily fluids (namely, during the
slaughter or handling of infected birds or
objects contaminated by them).
The problem is that of virulence. It's highly
virulent among birds -- which move around a lot
-- thus it is being globally seeded. Being an
RNA virus, it also mutates pretty quickly making
it a difficult target for drug or vaccine
development, and also indicating that the
virulence among humans has a good potential to
develop. If it becomes virulent in humans,
there's not much that can be done medically
about it at this point. To make things worse,
the symptoms are quite different than that of
conventional flu, meaning the earliest cases may
go unrecognized.
AIDS already has a VERY big research base behind
it and it's etiology is pretty well
characterized. While there's no "cure" for AIDS,
there are some very good treatments. HIV is
still far less virulent (it's hard to transmit
casually), though people tend to carry it for a
long time (many people are living 10-20 years
with treatment today). HIV works in an entirely
manner too.
Anyway, it's true that about 350,000 people die
of flu each year, as opposed to about 10x as
many for AIDS -- world-wide, but in the US, AIDS
is not even in the top 10 as far as diseases
causing death go, and outside the US,
tuberculosis and malaria beat out AIDS hands
down.
But, to put it into perspective, if this
particular strain of flu becomes as virulent as
regular flu and doesn't loose it's lethality, it
would easily kill more people globally than
everyone that's died of AIDS to date, assuming
you don't have a good protocol for treatment
when it happens (and flu pandemics happen every
50 years or so; just that this one has carriers
that fly rather than scurry and its demonstrably
more deadly in the few cases where people have
gotten it).
http://www.antivirals.com/
oops, sorry... that's YOUR fanstasy.
- Pandemic Bird Flu Preparedness Guide
- by mrjohna May 16, 2007 12:26 PM PDT
- A free Pandemic Bird Flu Preparedness Guide is available at: http://www.pandemicinfosite.com
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