Comments on: Why an IBM purchase of Sun would make sense
Server market positioning and open-source resources, says ZDNet's Larry Dignan, are just a couple of the reasons to like a $6.5 billion takeover reportedly in the works.
Server market positioning and open-source resources, says ZDNet's Larry Dignan, are just a couple of the reasons to like a $6.5 billion takeover reportedly in the works.
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Buying Sun for $6.5b is not realistic when they have annual revenues of $13b. Most companies sell for a multiplier of revenue. A 3x multiplier would mean that $30+B could be required in cash or equity to buy Sun. A 0.5 multiplier when the company has cash on hand of about $3b, half the proposed buy-out price? I don't think so.
How many investors who bought Sun for more than $10/share will take this loss rather than holding on for the next wave?
By the way, what's IBM's cash/debit position?
On the other hand, stories like this make for great short selling ....
Yes companies sell for a multiple of revenue. It's also true they sell for their percieved value (which as it happens is normally a multiple of revenue).
Sun's stock is down. Sun though is a viable company. Stock price doesn't always reflect a companys real worth. Merely the latest trend resulting from trading.
MySQL is important, too, in its own way. But Oracle platforms are clearly in the center of IBM's target markets. Here is a way they could participate without competing head to head with Oracle versus their DB2 (at least initially).
And, there goes the JAVAOS (IBM's OS/2 + Sun's Java) being an 800lb Gorilla in the "Cloud" Space!
This deal will impact NetApp since IBM OEMs their products and will not make sense to do that anymore after the merger ....
This deal will impact Redhat too, since IBM would make more money selling Solaris than Linux on X86...
I see no major problems in AIX and Solaris integration, the future will be definitely be Solaris, and AIX customers need not to worry about migration since Solaris will have AIX Branded Zones to run their apps without any change... They could even brand the Power version as SolaiX :-)
This is a good deal for IBM if it goes through... The price is quite low, 0.5 times revenue, however another bidder could show up... or the deal might fall, it's not like IBM did not tried to purchase sun before ...
To begin with all this -- What is IBM lacking (to some extent) which its competition has a upper hand on ?
Hardware and OS(platform). Now please don't say that IBM is a hardware company and AIX is just brilliant.
We all know this, and the author also pointed out -- IBM is a software and services company.
With Sun, IBM will gain into its SMB clients and that's where IBM can sell its software and services.
Internal in IBM, this deal might cause strife between a SOLIX and a LINUX group, and they might do a balancing act on this.
SUN has been a shame on the name of opensource and Java. They just have it and don't do much productive. IBM can change that. IBM is a big player in moving Opensource and transforming it as a business, real business.
The deal will impact many -- RedHat, NetApp, Oracle, ... to name few.
And then there will be layoff's and we will see some golden parachute's tooo :) Funny none of this is mentioned anywhere.
- by JCPayne March 18, 2009 10:53 AM PDT
- Dell's stock is like $09.00 a share... . Apple's is like $101.00 a share right now... Apple buyout dell!!!! Then grab Yahoo and voilla instantly you'd be in the search engine business too and can compete against Microsoft in almost everyway.
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- by idfubar March 22, 2009 3:36 PM PDT
- Pooling-of-interest acquisitions have been banned in the US since 2001... Nice dream though - maybe you can convince Apple to dilute common shareholder equity by issuing some shares or by taking on a massive amount of debt?
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