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September 14, 2009 10:13 AM PDT

Trend Tracker sees emerging Twitter trends

by Josh Lowensohn
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Finding the hot conversation keeps getting easier, but predicting what the next big trend will be continues to be a crapshoot. Palm and Federated Media have teamed up to create a new tool called Trend Tracker that does its best to figure out, what in fact the next top trend will be by analyzing items that are gathering buzz.

The system is a mix of tools that can help spot popular URLs and trending topics before they hit it big. But it's more about organizing that data in a simple-to-parse format.

Included are the current top 30 trending topics on Twitter, which can be stacked up against each other to see what's pulling in the highest percentage of tweets. Each trend is represented over a 24-hour time line, where you can see how each particular trend has gone up or down in popularity.

Trend Tracker can give you a visual analysis of when each trend became popular, as well as its decline.

(Credit: CNET)

But 24 hours doesn't tell the full story, which is why the tool will soon expand to keep an archive that covers the last 10 or 30 days.

Along with the top 30 trends, Trend Tracker includes a "Pre Trend Watch" (emphasis mine) which tracks five up-and-coming trends that are about to break into the top 10 based on their velocity--the speed in which tweets on that particular topic are gaining in popularity. These are also marked in the trend archive with a little blue flag.

When I was looking at the tool last week, one of the most interesting things this picked up on was the cyclical nature of trending. Words like "sleep" and "night" picked up speed and prominence depending on the time of day. Using Trend Tracker's frequency graph, you're able to look at the last 24 hours, and see what time of day they began to rise or fall in use--that's not something you can see through Twitter proper.


The map view gives you an hourly playback of the popularity of multiple trends at once.

(Credit: CNET)

To add to that, there's also a map layer that shows you an animated view of where tweets in any particular trend originated. Again, in the case of "sleep" and "night" you could play back an entire day of activity and see a huge cluster of when the word or phrase gained its prominence.

For most people I'm guessing Trend Tracker will be something they play with a few times and forget, but there's some real value here over Twitter's own trend highlighting offerings. If you want to see when and where something originated, as well as how popular it was at any given time of day, this offers both sets of data and in a very easy to use format; you don't even need to do any detective work in Twitter's search engine to find that out.

Related: Sites that help you find hot topics across the Web

Josh Lowensohn writes for Webware.com, CNET's blog about Web applications and services. E-mail Josh, or follow him on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/Josh.
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About Web Crawler

As the son of a Palm programmer, Josh Lowensohn grew up in a household full of technology. From a young age he was taking apart computers, finding hot new bulletin board systems, and re-programming video games. Josh currently covers the latest and greatest Web apps and services for CNET's Webware blog. Prior to that he covered news, and wrote reviews for GamersReports.com. For this blog Josh is exploring the latest Web apps and technologies, and trends in consumer entertainment devices.

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