October 10, 2007 7:30 AM PDT

Predictify pays you to change the future

by Rafe Needleman
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Predictify is a survey engine cleverly masquerading as a prediction market. On the site, users can answer questions that test their predictive abilities in various fields. If they prove to be right, they can win actual real money. Users even get a small payout for answering a question if they end up being wrong.

People and companies wanting to do market research can submit questions to the Predictify audience--for a fee--and the answers that prove to be most accurate split the bulk of "pot" that is attached to the question.

Answer this question right and earn some bucks.

The money is ingenious misdirection. The point of rewarding accuracy is not to actually pay people for being right. The money is there, rather, to ensure that people who answer questions try to be right. Data from a Predictify survey is broken down in many ways for its users who pay for results, and it's that demographic breakdown that Predictify is really selling, not absolute predictions.

For example, suppose a company wants to know how to price a product. It can ask a question, "What do you think the price of this product will be when it hits the market?" The answers will be correlated with demographics, revealing what different groups (gender, age, ZIP code, etc.) think the item is worth. The "winners" who select the right price aren't predicting the price so much as determining it, and the people who select the price point are basing it not on the aggregate wisdom of the crowd but on the pricing level their target demographic has zeroed in on.

It's one of the cleverest Web 2.0 mind games I've seen in a while, and it just might work. Like many prediction markets, though, the community will run out of gas unless there's a strong incentive to keep people engaged. Money is just part of it on this system. Predictify also ranks users, and pays out more to the more accurate ones.

Users also get spiffed for referring their friends--they earn 10 percent of their friends' winnings for the first six months of their activity on the site. (It's not a multilevel scheme--friends of friends don't pay.)

Some questions and their "pots."

People who pay for the wisdom of the Predictify crowd (a dollar an answer, right or wrong) own the data and can hide their identity. There are also free questions on the site. Anyone can ask them, but Predictify staff has to approve them before they're put online. Answers to these questions are public, and the "winners" don't make money from them. But correct answers do increase users' reputations on the service, which ultimately does have value, as explained above.

As an intellectual exercise, it's complicated, but the two boy-genius founders (Parker Barrile and Michael Agnich, both now in the Stanford Graduate School of Business after graduating from Stanford, respectively, in math and computer science) have done a good job of hiding the social and mathematical convolutions in the service. They've made it easy and somewhat fun to play, and certainly when there's the potential of earning some money by answering simple questions that only take a few seconds each, people are going to try a least a little to be right.

The site is in open beta right now and is very young--I counted only about 320 registered users. Growth will likely come from paying marketing departments, who will recruit users from their own sites. The founders hinted at such a deal being set up with an American car company.

More coverage on Mashable and GigaOm. See also: Spigit (review).

Rafe Needleman writes about start-ups, new technologies, and Web 2.0 products, as editor of CNET's Webware. E-mail Rafe.
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Building a Delphi pool?
by Jeff Balvanz October 12, 2007 6:29 AM PDT
I wonder if they realize they're trying to build a Delphi pool like the one in John Brunner's _Shockwave Rider_ (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Shockwave_Rider for more info). In the book the Delphi pools were rigged by the government to manipulate public opinion (and make someone fraudulent money). Will that happen here, do you suppose?

Of course, you actually had to bet money on the Delphi pools.
Reply to this comment
by cderoose September 8, 2009 4:27 AM PDT
http://www.keshetechnologies.com/diamond_layers.html

http://www.keshetechnologies.com/graphene.html

http://www.keshetechnologies.com/special_wires.html

http://www.keshetechnologies.com/keshe_pure_plasma.html

http://www.keshetechnologies.com/keshe_applications.html

http://www.keshetechnologies.com/medical.html




Introduction of a new technology M.T.Keshe Keshefoudation


ITNOTGOG

Stichting "The Keshe Foundation"
Invites
scientific community to
cooperation and collaboration

Is there a future for Boeing and NASA in the newly developed and released gravitational positioning systems, which burns no fuel and uses no propulsion and no rocket technology?

The time of Jet and rocket technology finally has come to its end.


What this new technology has offered to the nations which are developing the technology;

No uncertain take-offs and no uncertain landings, landing from any point on earth, no need for launch-pads,
No weightlessness in space, no re-entry heat Shields and the problems of the past,
no limited-payload, No need to put the life of the astronauts in danger.

Now space technology is open to every person and nation on earth
at the cost of a first class ticket to Moon and back in less than 10 years


The videos which we have put on the you-tub last week regarding creation of motion in universe, for systems developed which operate without burning of fuel and using magnetic field of the planet for take-off and landing.



Keshe Foundation invites scientists and managements of scientific institutes to the new world of

plasma, energy, motion and space technology

Through new principles of gravitational positioning.
You can visit the of the Keshe Foundation site direct to learn more about the works, research and developments of the technology at http://www.keshefoundation.com/
Or read about the foundation at the http://peswiki.com/index.php/Directory:Keshe_Technologies

These are some of the new first principles explained and systems developed and tested by the foundation.

) How the Gravitational fields of the Earth are created through interaction of magnetic fields. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wtf5bp76ArE&NR=1



) The explanation of the content Matters of the plasma, this being of the Matter, the Antimatter and the Dark Matter and their interactions.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8UFCYwXi1Vs


) How to achieve motion in space through understanding of motion of Matters of the plasma.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QvxGiMZwl4

) The explanation of the principle of the creation of light, and creation of light around the crafts equipped with Magnetic and gravitational positioning systems which have been developed for the use in space travel in atmospheric conditions.
http://www.youtube.com/user/keshefoundation#play/all/uploads-all/0/CxXLyA1msJ0

) How to achieve fusion of any plasmas' of neutron, proton or electron, through dilution of the plasma.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aO0v_bMp0eo
Contact point
info@keshefoundation.com

The Keshe Foundation.

Bright lights in the sky

http://www.keshespace.com/

The first presentations of the technology for public named the Bright lights in the sky.

These being lights created through the use of gravitational system in their environment. These presentation are for the confirmation of achieving lift and the flight capability through new understanding of creation of gravitational field forces with the use of these new systems.

These events will be held in
Asia on 21.3. 2010.
America on 21.4.2010
Europe on 21.5.2010
Africa On 21.6.2010
Australasian on 21.7.2010

Tickets for the event will be purchasable only through purchase from Keshe
Foundation site.


Space travel announcement


The foundation will announce in the coming days that it will accept reservation and booking for gravitational system to space on the following dates and prices.

10 hours of flight above 60km departure 2014-2015.

Space flight to the Moon through gravitational systems the flight are scheduled for 2016-2017.

No need for training as the passengers will be in gravitational condition as on earth ( you do not need to be trained to walk on earth, why should you need that in our crafts in possessions of internal gravitational field while you are in motion in space)

All bookings and reservations can be done through site of http://www.keshespace.com/

Places can be reserved initially through info@keshefoundation.com

The Keshe Foundation.
Reply to this comment
by Trajk September 16, 2009 12:56 AM PDT
I predict the events suggested will not take place. I am willing to bet on it. It is just a typical scam. Dont trust Keshe. He is a bloody liar. His theories make no sense. He is lying through and through.
by cderoose November 6, 2009 1:23 PM PST
Comments of readers of the book

Mr. David Briggs (Rockford, Tennessee) - August 12, 2009

Subject: This Book is Excellent and Exciting!

This Book, " The Universal Order of the Creation of Matters" is Excellent and Exciting! My name is Dave Briggs. I have been studying many scientific fields for over 40 years. Too often Science's answer to your question is, "We don't know." This book answers many questions, such as the construction and essence of dark matter, dark energy, gravity and many other things as well.
It is the closest thing I have seen to what Albert Einstein spent his whole life searching for: A Grand Unifying Theory.
It takes up where Sir Isaac Newton had to leave off and explains the how and why of gravity.
The science and technology in this book is bound to be revolutionary in so many undertakings of mankind. Clean, inexpensive energy production. Transportation, health and so many more fields.
This could be the paradigm shift of the early 21st century that allows mankind to fulfill so many dreams, including a more prosperous, healthy and happy life for all the planet's inhabitants! I highly recommend this book to everyone!

Dave Briggs Rockford Tennessee, USA
Reply to this comment
by cderoose November 15, 2009 8:09 AM PST
Mehran Keshe
Mehran Tavakoli Keshe is a nuclear engineer involved with plasma reactors which are designed in analogy with cosmology. He postulates that the known inner core of Earth encapsulates a smaller hollow space of about 8 km diameter. This small center is filled with hydrogen, helium and other elements, and its acts like a semi-nuclear reactor. This reactor generates a proper magnetic field. This first magnetic field is superimposed by the second magnetic field which is created by convection. Similar to this approach Marvin Herndon, a US geophysicist, postulates a georeactor in the center of Earth, but filled with heavy radioactive elements. Keshe refers however to the solar system where the majority of the lightest elements, hydrogen and helium, are positioned in the center, in the Sun.

While this theory is not confirmed by the academic world, Keshe states that by applying his theoretical concepts in reactor prototypes he generates voltage and current, and is able to create graphene at room temperature and ambient pressure.

Mehran Keshe was born in Iran in 1958, as son to an X-ray engineer working for Philips and Siemens, and he was introduced to the world of radiation and nuclear at a very young age. In the mid-seventies he moved to the United Kingdom, Europe, for further education in the field of nuclear physics. In 1981 he graduated from Queen Mary, University of London as nuclear engineer specialized in reactor technology system control. At that time he developed a number of theoretical ideas related to more simple nuclear concepts and their applications, and the possibilities of using double magnetics fields inside reactors, which ideas were not accepted for testing by the nuclear industry. He then decided to enter into private international trading. While running his private business he developed further his nuclear concepts, and finally in 2002 he has decided to finish the full design of his ideas about nuclear technology. This includes the production of gravity and anti-gravity, and energy be the use of nuclear material in a clean and safe hydrogen fueled reactor.

Mehran Keshe introduced the concept of double magnetic fields, to explain the magnetic and gravitational field of Earth.

Unknown by the existing scientific community he wrote a number of scientific papers in 2004 and sent them for peer-review, such as "The creation of black holes". When one of the persons performing the peer-review used in public his information he decided to draw back his papers, and to concentrate further on the building of prototypes.

In 2004 Keshe was invited to Belgium by a semi-official organization for the evaluation of the technology, and his technology was examined by scientists at the VUB in Brussels from November of 2004 until March 2005. The report from the University concluded that the production of energy through his new technology "is feasible". Since early October of 2005 three international patents for the plasma reactor technology have been applied for, for all aspects of its possible use, covering some hundreds of applications.

At the end of 2005 and the beginning of 2006 several static plasma reactors were build, which proved the theoretical insights stated before. These static reactors work at room temperature and at normal atmospheric pressure, similar as the conditions claimed for cold fusion. These reactors provide voltage and current. Also deposits of pure carbon layers are generated in these reactors, and Raman spectroscopy performed by a well known scientific Institute has confirmed that these layers are wall-graphite of sp2, also called graphene.

Since the beginning of 2006 several prototypes of dynamic reactors are build, some specifically designed to create hovering effects, similar to effects sees with magnetic levitation. Keshe claims that basic hovering effects have been achieved.
Reply to this comment
by cderoose November 17, 2009 5:32 AM PST
http://cderoose.startje.be/
Reply to this comment
by Trajk December 22, 2009 5:53 AM PST
Every cent you give to Keshe is a cent given to Al Queda. This man is an Iranian. He supports nuclear weapons adoption by Iran. He is a crook. His book is garbage. Don't listen to him. He just wants to rob your money.
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