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December 5, 2007 10:19 AM PST

Is there any way to fix Dell's woes?

by Don Reisinger
Dell

From bad to worse

(Credit: CNET Networks)

A new study out from DisplaySearch detailing how well (or poorly) notebook manufacturers performed over the past quarter has hit the Net and the results don't look too promising for Dell.

According to the study, the global notebook market grew by about 24 percent quarter over quarter and a whopping 42 percent year over year. Amazingly, 29 million notebook units were sold in the last quarter alone and HP--the de facto leader in computing right now--commands 21.4 percent of that total, representing 72 percent growth over the same period last year.

But perhaps most startling, Dell has not only lost ground to HP in the notebook market (its share of the market fell 0.2 percent to 13.8 percent), but Acer is hot on Dell's heels and commands 12.8 percent of the total notebook market.

It gets worse: if we were to combine the total share of all Acer properties--Acer, Packard Bell and Gateway--the company's new market share is a whopping 16.2 percent, which not only puts it into second place in the worldwide notebook market, it leaves Dell far behind the pack.

Who could have thought just a few short years ago that Dell would be in such a position? Not only is the company slipping further behind, Acer--a company that had heretofore been an also-ran--has developed into a powerhouse in this industry.

But is there anything Dell can do to turn its business around? Unfortunately, the solution may not be immediately available, and it may need to change its historically successful market strategy in order to do it. If it doesn't, look for Dell to become the industry's also-ran.

For the first time in its storied history, Dell is no longer the trendsetter in the computing business. For too long, the company believed that an online-only sales strategy would last forever, and it was slow to react when companies like HP were able to finally compete in both the business and consumer sectors on price and availability.

But what Dell failed to realize was big box stores really are a nice place to sell computers nowadays, and Hewlett-Packard was laughing all the way to the bank.

Speaking to shareholders yesterday who were concerned about the company's malfeasance and its intent to engage in a $10 billion buyback, Michael Dell explained that his company has realized that it must adapt if it wants to achieve the kind of success it's used to.

"We've entered new channels with retail partners to meet our our customers where they are," Dell said. He then vowed to be more aggressive with customers and regain some of the control over the commercial market that the company has lost.

But at this point, what else can Dell really do? The company is in a tailspin and attracting customers isn't as easy as it once was. Years ago, Dell was able to enjoy much of its success because it commanded the business market and its products were of relatively high quality at a fraction of the price of its competitors.

But in today's market where notebook computers are basically a commodity and all major companies can afford to charge the same amount, Dell's main advantage has been eliminated.

Perhaps the only short-term solution for fixing Dell's issues has nothing to do with customers and everything to do with acquisitions. After all, why shouldn't Dell try to acquire the computing business of some smaller manufacturers? It worked for Acer.

The question now is what company could Dell actually acquire? Certainly Sony and Toshiba are out and Lenovo would be a tough sell considering the current state of that company. Asus may be a good target for Dell, but would it cost too much for a company that is financial trouble already? More than likely, the answer is "yes."

For the first time, Dell is in a state of confusion and outright desperation. Who would have thought that Dell would sell its computers to Wal-Mart and other retailers? But to make matters worse, there is no easy solution in sight--HP keeps getting stronger and Acer made some intelligent moves to help catapult itself to the second-place spot. What can be said for Dell?

The future looks bleak for Dell and unless it starts an all-out blitz on big box stores and major retailers, look for the company to quietly sink into the night. Sad as it is, the future of Dell is seriously in doubt.

Originally posted at The Digital Home

Don Reisinger is a technology columnist who has written about everything from HDTVs to computers to Flowbee Haircut Systems. Don is a member of the CNET Blog Network, and posts at The Digital Home. He is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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by felixderkater December 5, 2007 12:52 PM PST
Dell's biggest problem is their utter lack of capable, comprehensible support staff. I had to battle them for over five months to get a non-functioning machine replaced, which only happened after involving the FTC and BBB.
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by Jervis961 December 5, 2007 6:02 PM PST
Back in February Dell started a campaign to reconnect with its customers. Part of the plan was to allow customers to post ideas and interact with Dell employees on its new website www.dellideastorm.com . Unfortunately Dell was caught off guard with the number of ideas submitted and didn't have an adequate plan in place for moderation or providing feedback on the ideas. The result was multiple postings of the same idea which created a virtual haystack for Dell and its customers to search through to find the more original ideas.

The software used to run the site is a beta version created by Dell's partner SalesForce.com who plans to sell the software to other companies who wish to harvest ideas from customers as well. Being Beta software it is riddled with bugs that frustrate customers trying to use the site. Votes cannot be changed, statistics are not accurate and the site lacks editing tools for customers to improve the presentation of their ideas. The search features on the site are pitiful and even caused one participant to create his own site to index the ideas for easier searching.

Dell's communication with customers on the site is lacking and the site is littered with comments and ideas begging for Dell to participate on the site. Customers complain that the site is the equivalent to speaking to a brick wall. As of late a protest idea was even started by users threatening to boycott Dell until they fix the web site problems and begin to communicate on the site.

The website was a good idea in theory and even produced good early results with Dell installing Linux on select systems, some systems offered with less trial software and the release of a 13 inch XPS notebook in the XPS M1330. Dell should fix the site and communicate with its customers in order to keep the ideas flowing and help build brand loyalty.

Customers will go out of their way to buy from a company they feel treats them as an individual with their own wants and needs. IdeaStorm is a great way to build such a relationship with the customer but only if Dell is willing to make the proper commitment.
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