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January 13, 2009 11:18 AM PST

Should I wait 'till the '09 HDTVs come out?: Ask the Editors

by David Katzmaier

Scads of tempting TV hardware was announced at CES, but is it really worth waiting for?

(Credit: Panasonic)

Dear David,

Just saw your report on the new plasmas from Panasonic at CES. I was all set to get an TH-50PZ800U, your current Editors' Choice, but these look better. Should I wait or buy the 800U now?

--Anonymous, New York City

Howdy Anonymous,

If I was in your situation I would wait for the new models, but if you're a bargain hunter, then there's no better time to buy than now.

Every year around this time, the flood of new gadgets announced at the January Consumer Electronics Show washes the diligently researched product picks from the wish lists of thousands of careful shoppers. The product you had your heart set on suddenly looks obsolete in the face of the latest and greatest, and the CES hype machine (guilty as charged) somehow makes even the lowliest entry-level gear seem shinier and more desirable than the cobweb-encrusted former flagships rotting away on store shelves today.

Every year improvements are made, such as the "better picture quality for half the power" claimed by Panasonic with its plasmas; the new 240Hz and LED-backlit LCDs, at least one for a formerly unheard-of price; and the addition of Netflix streaming. But are the improvements worth it?

Before last week the best HDTVs of 2008 seemed pretty dang good...and they still are. Yes, I do expect the new Panasonic plasmas to have better black-level performance than the current 800U--perhaps as good as or better than the current Pioneer Kuros--but the 800U is still superb in this department, and it costs around $2,000 for the 50-incher.

Although prices for the 2009 models weren't announced at CES, I expect the least-expensive plasma featuring Panasonic's ballyhooed "NEO PDP" panel, the 50-inch member of the S1 series (shipping in March), to sell for around the same price. I'm guessing $2,499 list and $2,299 street at first, but don't quote me.

One wild card is power consumption--if Panasonic's claim of better energy efficiency is legit, then any price difference between the two could be erased by two or three years worth of lower electricity bills.

So once again it basically comes down to a question of "how much more are you willing to pay?" I'm guessing the 800U will still have more accurate color, while the new S1 models will have better black levels. You'll have to wait until March at least to get the new one, and the old one is available now. And again, let me stress that this is all speculation; until the new models are available and reviewed, complete with pricing, we don't know anything for sure.

For bargain hunters, buying a 2008 product deeply discounted in 2009, before the new models arrive, is a no-brainer--that's when some of the best deals are available. And in this economic climate, everyone could use a good deal. But if you're willing to deal with pricing uncertainty, and wait a month or two for the review, it'll probably be worth it.

What do you think? Are you waiting for the 2009 models or pulling the trigger now, while the savings is oh so tempting? Which HDTVs from CES are you dying to see in action? Is my pricing guesstimate woefully off-base? Sound off in comments.

David Katzmaier reviews HDTVs for CNET. E-mail David.
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) (21 Comments)
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by tomstan January 13, 2009 12:13 PM PST
David: Re. comments buy 800U now or wait. I was greatly put off by the flicker in the 24P setting widely commented upon last year. I never understood how a manufacturer can put out a product that is universally seen as defective in some area or other. I would hope they've fixed this item in their new G10 models. Thomas Stanford.
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by invisible21 January 13, 2009 12:36 PM PST
Having been to this years CES and seeing these sets first hand, I can tell you that I would (and am planning to) wait for the NeoPDP panels. I saw the NeoPDP panel next to the standard panel and was honestly blown away by the black levels in comparison. I myself was considering one of the current 800 or 850 series Panny displays but decided to wait it out for the new tech.

A few things to consider, David was right in stating that now is the time to buy if you're interested in getting a great deal. The current Panasonic lineup are still amazing sets and I have always found them to be great in the price/performance area. Basically, if you NEED a new tv (for the DTV transition or whatever reason) you won't be disappointed by the current crop. However, if you can wait a few months your patience will be rewarded. In the meantime, save up some more money to upgrade your audio components!
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by DarkHawke January 14, 2009 3:07 AM PST
Wow! As I was reading this article, I felt like I'd been strapped to the rack! I am less than two weeks away from being able to pull the trigger on a Panny TH-58PZ800U, and suddenly you're talking about waiting for the New Cool from CES?! Gaaarrrrrr! Then, happily, I clicked through to the articles and noted that the refreshes for this size class will arrive in AUGUST! Now, I don't NEED a big ol' 58 plasma HDTV, but I sure as hell WANT one, and getting it in time for the Super Bowl would be optimal. The new models sound pretty darn nifty, but I'm not only gonna scratch my itch THIS month, I'm gonna do it for a bargain price!
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by ironicart January 14, 2009 7:02 AM PST
here's my advice:
http://tinyurl.com/95u5up
Reply to this comment
by ctuy January 14, 2009 9:48 AM PST
Geez...I just got my panny 800U last 1/02/09 and already wall mount. I loved it. I also got panny blue ray -35K last Friday (1/09/09). I was not able to wait for the new 2009 model coz :
1) my 61" Sony projection TV (bought in 2000) is not working anymore
2) Im sure the 2009 model will be very expensive.

Ctuy
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by CliffK2 January 14, 2009 10:32 AM PST
Hmmm, not sure what to do. I sit 15 feet away from my TV, so to get any type of immersive experience, I need a TV of at least 60 inches. I have been looking at the 60 inch LG plasma, with THX certification. It is expensive, but then any TV above 52 inches jumps in price.

So my question is, when can I expect the price to drop on this TV? On Amazon it is about $3,600. Do I buy now, wait till after the Super Bowl?

Also any other TVs of that size that are similar in price and performance?
Reply to this comment
by richmack06 January 14, 2009 11:15 AM PST
NeoPDP, THX, (improved) 24P playback, and "Infinite Black" are the features that are going to keep me waiting until this Spring/Summer.

While David has given attention to the G-series due to its status as the entry level THX certified set, I'm really interested in the 54" Z-series as they look to have a combination of the 2008 800 and 850 series in terms of features. I was a fan of last year's "one sheet of glass" design. When you couple that along with the 2009 model's 2" panel thickness, the Z-series should be a great looking/performing set.

Plus, the 54" PDPs intrigue me because I don't expect them to be as overwhelming as the 58" - 60" PDPs and they're in a sweet spot right in between the 52" and 55" LCDs currently out there (and forthcoming).

And for the $, Plasmas still offer the best value at 50"+ inches.
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by richmack06 January 14, 2009 11:20 AM PST
*** Correction to my comments above *** I meant the V-series.
by Blacksheep1982 January 14, 2009 1:10 PM PST
I'm in the market for LCD, not Plasma, so I'm not sure if you are even interested in my comment. But anyway, I have my eyes set on the Samsung LN46A950 due to it's use if LED. I really want an XBR8, but I doubt I could afford it, even at discount. That said, even the Sammy is priced to high for me right now, sitting at $2,700 at Amazon even after a $600 discount.

So my problem is that the price hasn't dropped enough on my '08 picks. Not sure if I have to wait for '09 to come out first for it to happen. Last, I think Samsung was vague about what is running behind it's new LED panels, so I have no idea if it's even worth waiting. I'd really like to know?
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by audioyak January 14, 2009 2:55 PM PST
Sheesh!
I've spent that past month looking around reading manuals, comparing specs, counting my cash, visiting show rooms and was about to buy the 58PZ850U and then I read this........
I think I'll just watch tv on my little laptop for the rest of my life or regress to just listening to AM radio.

...

Yes, I will wait dang it !!!
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by January 14, 2009 4:00 PM PST
I was in the same position last year? Buy now or wait? No matter when you buy there will always be a newer model coming down the road? I decided to buy now (Sony KDL-46XBR4) and have not looked back. The 50PZ800U is a GREAT HDTV and I?m sure you?ll be happy, beside once you get the set home you be able to kick back and enjoy?. Just my two cents?.
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by HDUH January 14, 2009 7:28 PM PST
I think we will see the most significant improvements in displays this year than the past 5 or so years.The new LG 240HZ wih 240 LEDS for backlighting is a good step up for led.The super thin panasonics with 600hz look promising.I have see a improvement in SD viewing in some of the late 08 models and expect to see even better cleaner crisper viewing in 09.
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by JJSquire January 14, 2009 7:36 PM PST
It seems to me that BluRay will soon become the standard for home video. Wouldn't it be wise to wait and buy a set like the upcoming V10 Panasonic series that handles 24P input? Afterall, I'll probably have this TV for many years.
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by JJSquire January 14, 2009 7:41 PM PST
Does anyone have a comment on having an LCD at arms length from small children? All things considered, I'd prefer LCD because the set will be in a brightly lit room (although most viewing is at night). I worry about LCD getting damaged accidentally.
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by jjayguy23 January 18, 2009 8:12 AM PST
I wouldn't do it. Children love to touch things, and an expensive LCD isn't something you want them touching.
by Eludium-Q36 January 15, 2009 1:23 PM PST
Depends, of course. If you're price-sensitive then get your best deal now. But I'm feature-sensitive, so I'm waiting for the standards and technology to settle on 120hz or 240hz, LCD or Plasma, 1080p, Super Contrast / Infinite Black, split screen tuners / gaming, simulated 3D, and wireless broadband connection. I think that covers my wishlist for now. Thus, I expect to buy my first, full-featured 57-inch HDTV in 2010. By then, most channels should be broadcasting NATIVELY in HD -- viewing SD on HDTVs is not part of my user experience.
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by larrfry January 18, 2009 7:13 AM PST
I own a 2008 Panasonic (TH58-800U). In my view, the black levels are already excellent and I sincerely doubt most viewers will ever benefit from deeper blacks just because of room lighting. I watch my Panasonic in a very dimly lit room (but there is enough light that I can find my way to the refrigerator) and the deep blacks are absolutely stunning. While most LCDs need a great deal of improvement in their black levels, I don't feel that is the case with the Panasonic plasmas or most plasmas. I believe CNET, in their reviews, found it was hard to discern the differnences in black levels between the current black level champ - the Pioneer Kuro and the 2008 Panasonics and that was in a completely dark room! If there is even a hint of ambient light in the room - improved black levels gain you nothing.

While LCDs often fall quite short in their black levels - plasmas do not..

Where the 2008 Panasonics are weak is in how they handle 24p playback and the overall dimness of the picture.

I'd consider a 2009 Panasonic if I knew the 24p playback was better - that would be nice. MUCH MORE IMPORTANTLY - if the new 2009 HDTVs produced much brighter images then purchasing a 2009 would really be worth the wait.

The real weakness right now in plasmas is not black levels but that they are too dim for most viewing environments.

In the case of Plasmas - it is NOT black levels that needs improvement - it is the overal BRIGHTNESS which needs to be improved!!!
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by wrs388 January 20, 2009 7:57 PM PST
I'm buying e
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by dyaballikl January 20, 2009 9:27 PM PST
lmfao, it's a good market for e right now!
by dyaballikl January 20, 2009 9:24 PM PST
hells no. i've got my 65" dlp and have no interest in going flat screen. my baby is beautiful. when 1440p comes out, bet your ass i'll buy a new one, though.
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by lilnicson03 January 21, 2009 7:22 AM PST
Damn that HDTV is thin like a paper I got a Sony BRAVIA 32" HDTV and a Samsung 32" Series 4
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