• On TV.com: TOP 10 Shows CANCELED Too Soon
September 23, 2009 8:12 AM PDT

We'll be immortal in 20 years, says Kurzweil

by Chris Matyszczyk
  • Font size
  • Print
  • 84 comments

I want to live forever. I want to learn how to fly. High. I feel it coming together.

And, thankfully, so does celebrated large brain and, who knows, maybe "Kids from Fame" aficionado Ray Kurzweil.

In an article reported by the Telegraph, Kurzweil says that our technological and genetic know-how is marching at such a furious pace that in 20 years' time we should be holding in our sweaty, excitable hands the nanotechnological secrets of our existence.

This charmingly optimistic view is but another string hanging from the nano-forecasting bow he's been wearing for years, along with his rather singular vision of the way men and machines will cohabit happily ever after.

Extraordinary nanotechnological secrets should allow us, according to Kurzweil, to replace our kidneys, livers, hearts and, hey, what about minds, with functioning vital organs made by human hands.

They say Kurzweil is 61. He doesn't look a day over 43 to me.

(Credit: Null0/Flickr)

Kurzweil's contemplations, first published in The Sun, offer us these vast nuggets of hope: "I and many other scientists now believe that in around 20 years we will have the means to reprogram our bodies' stone-age software so we can halt, then reverse, aging. Then nanotechnology will let us live for ever."

Yes, you can be 28 again. You can drink yourself stupid and let those nano-nano folks just slip you a new liver. You can have sex, drugs, and rock and roll, and still be able to perform Whitney Houston karaoke better than Whitney herself can these days.

"If we want to go into virtual-reality mode, nanobots will shut down brain signals and take us wherever we want to go," said Kurzweil. "Virtual sex will become commonplace. And in our daily lives, hologram-like figures will pop in our brain to explain what is happening."

One can only hope those hologram-like figures don't resemble the chaps from Google too closely.

And I am not entirely sure I am persuaded by the concept of virtual sex. Perhaps worse would be the concept of some Googleperson-like hologram talking one through virtual sex. And whispering to one after it.

Still, Kurzweil's passionate certainty offers us all hope for a very different future from the one we might have imagined.

I can't wait. No, really. I can't.

Chris Matyszczyk is an award-winning creative director who advises major corporations on content creation and marketing. He brings an irreverent, sarcastic, and sometimes ironic voice to the tech world. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET.
Recent posts from Technically Incorrect
At last, Google has some parasites
Dad accuses Disney of calling his 11-year-old a hacker
Man loses job after searching too hard for aliens
A slightly unfortunate Twitter billboard
Droid does, iPhone doesn't: The porn app store
How can Dell Netbook be 'perfect for tweeting'?
Black Friday at Best Buy: What's the big deal?
AT&T gets Luke Wilson to hit Verizon again
Add a Comment (Log in or register) Showing 1 of 2 pages (84 Comments)
by solitare_pax September 23, 2009 8:37 AM PDT
I suppose the good news is that the politicians of the world who receive this treatment first will have to live with the consequences of their short-sighted legislative messes instead of leaving it to the grandkiddies to clean up.
Reply to this comment
by nate.reeves September 23, 2009 9:26 AM PDT
Hahahaha
by dowell100 September 23, 2009 9:57 AM PDT
Wanting to live forever is for fools. First, you have to come up living expenses, then you have to create a massive tolerance for all those GEICO commercials in your future.
by jr4412 September 24, 2009 2:55 AM PDT
hear, hear. well said.
by jr4412 September 24, 2009 2:57 AM PDT
hear, hear, well said.
by tralfazmx September 24, 2009 8:55 AM PDT
It is not possible to create a tolerance for either Geico or Progressive commercials. I think they are trying to annoy us to death. Maybe in the future our brains can be modified so that we actually like annoying commercials. :o) Good 1 dowell100
by ewelch September 23, 2009 8:47 AM PDT
Microsoft's will no doubt come up with their own holographic Clippy:

It appears you want to live forever. Would you like me to help you get started?
Reply to this comment
by CreativeMalcolm September 23, 2009 8:50 AM PDT
Considering Microsoft can barely get Windows working properly, and they're one of the biggest tech companies, I really don't think we'll be close to this in 20 years. Not to mention people are scared enough about teaching their kids that two men can love each other and have a family in school, I highly doubt many parents are going to let anyone download info directly into their kids heads.
Reply to this comment
by EthanLeduc September 23, 2009 8:18 PM PDT
Fine, screw 'em then, they can go ahead and stay in the stone age.
Now what was that bit about free hookers on the internet?
by Jeffe Portland September 23, 2009 8:57 AM PDT
What is everyone going to eat and drink? Where will we put all our homes and cars and garbage?
Reply to this comment
by compbry15 September 23, 2009 9:08 AM PDT
That is a good point. The Earth can barely sustain our numbers now; what do you think will happen when the death rates are drastically cut but we continue breeding like rabbits?
by _noise_ September 23, 2009 11:02 AM PDT
If we have the nanotech to rebuild organs, I would think we could synthesize just about anything we want (chicken livers, oil, boobs, beer, whatever). NWO.
by williambertram September 23, 2009 11:05 AM PDT
Immortality will be offered as a high end insurance option. So less than .000003% of the Global population will have access.

Everyone else who is on public option will get the "2nd Tier" offering; Rogaine, Metamucil, a membership at the Y, and dentures.
by masonx September 23, 2009 12:19 PM PDT
That's not the future williambertram - that just where we are now.
by Random_Walk September 23, 2009 3:47 PM PDT
"Where will we put all our homes and cars and garbage?"

1) step outside your home tonight, making sure your outside lights are off before you do. driveway/parking lot is a good place to stand.

2) let your eyes adjust to the darkness.

3) tilt your head back and look up.
by GatesOfHell September 23, 2009 8:58 AM PDT
We really better get going on space stations, and colonization of the moon, Mars, etc.

People who live forever aren't going to give up sex, meaning it's going to get awfully crowded on Earth with very resource-hungry folks real soon - far more so than it is already.
Reply to this comment
by happilyopen September 26, 2009 1:57 PM PDT
Immortality Rule #1. You get the nanobots you get sterilized. Might actually reduce or slow population. Hmmmmm
by mikekrause September 23, 2009 9:03 AM PDT
Remember that 120 year limit God imposed on our lifespans right after the flood? I'm pretty sure that's still in effect now.
Reply to this comment
by doubtthat September 23, 2009 9:53 AM PDT
Yep, I am sure it is still in effect as well. We may extend our lives and live healthier for longer, but there will be no immortality.
by mediocrates--2008 September 23, 2009 1:47 PM PDT
No one explained that to Jeanne Calment, who died in 1997 at the age of 122 (Google it). In any case, I think your interpretation of Genesis 6:3 is a bit narrow.
by EthanLeduc September 23, 2009 8:20 PM PDT
That was sarcastic, right? I hope so, because I laughed.
by georgefu September 23, 2009 9:04 AM PDT
If humans will be able to live forever, perhaps we need to work on saving the planet.

Or we can all live on a big spaceship as depicted in the movie Wall-E.
Reply to this comment
by Get_Bent September 23, 2009 10:14 AM PDT
Fat, flabby blimps riding around on hover-couches, so self-absorbed that we don't even notice that the ship has a swimming pool? If that's what immortality is like, I'd rather be dead.
by tralfazmx September 24, 2009 9:00 AM PDT
But you will be able to get your hover couch for little or no cost to you. The government will pay for it. Hover couch races! Yeah
by tesla909 September 23, 2009 9:05 AM PDT
Kurzweil's thoughts on immortality only seem to consider the good side. There's a whole big nasty can of worms to also consider. Personally, and I've given this a lot of thought, when my time comes it comes.
Reply to this comment
by sarasotaguy September 23, 2009 9:06 AM PDT
Kurtwell is writing his own wish. 20 years...more like 200. Just like most of real benefits of human history...only a very few rich people will get this stuff anytime soon. Please; we have billions today on this planet that can't even survive to 60 because of poor health and living conditions. This guy's is already 60...paying $1000/w to a puedo-doctor to keep him living (until his checks bounce). Nice dream...if you have a million dollars laying around...
Reply to this comment
by EthanLeduc September 23, 2009 8:22 PM PDT
That comment about about the quack doctor is true - Kurzweil talks about some exciting stuff, but he's a little out there.
by shellyki September 24, 2009 3:23 PM PDT
EthanLeduc says: "Kurzweil talks about some exciting stuff, but he's a little out there."

My response: To be able to even handle the thought of living forever you have to be what you say "a little out there" and yet still have enough determination to tell the rest of the human population that it is possible. I bet that the ones who actually believe it is possible are the ones with the highest potential to outlive the ones who do not believe it. Maybe in part it has to do with our thoughts creating our destiny. Once "you" observe the fact that what you have been told is "your" truth, then you become to some degree "Un-Aware" of other possible outcomes.
by Blacksheep1982 September 23, 2009 9:15 AM PDT
First of all, this is not going to happen in 20 years. Second of all, there is a reason for death, to stop overpopulation and mass starvation. If everyone lives forever, and keeps having kids, we will soon all die from starvation/lack of clean water. But wait, how do you die if you are programmed to live forever? You aren't invincible just long lived, like say an elf from lord of the rings. You can still die from things that interrupt homeostasis, lack of food, water, violent death or war etc. And these live forever procedures will only be affordable to millionaires, while everyone else dies at a normal pace, you get to live forever, losing all your friends and family, everyone and everything you've ever known.

So do you really want to live forever? A stranger in the world all alone? Unless you make friends with the other immortals, of course, don't get in an accident, still could die.

Seems like all history men have been trying to find a way to live forever, fountains of youth, religion (promise of eternal life) horrible things like eating an enemies heart, you name it. You can live forever in a way that's better than physically standing around for 1,000 years. Live forever through your actions. Why do we all still know of Alexander the Great, Plato, Isaac Newton, Napoleon? Because of what they did when they lived, not how long they lived.
Reply to this comment
by jusben1369 September 23, 2009 9:36 AM PDT
Ahhh, today we have death, overpopulation and mass starvation.
by xmaster_dosx September 23, 2009 10:00 AM PDT
a very good point
by knowles2 September 23, 2009 2:39 PM PDT
good point.
But this guy is talking about nano technology running through the entire body.
An why I am sure they will have there limitations, I am also sure these nano bots will actually have the capabilities to heal even the worst injuries immaginable. Short of chopping someone head of, even then it may be possible to reattach it as long as it done soon enough, it could be very very hard to kill someone.
by SlingBlade99 September 24, 2009 12:46 AM PDT
When we get to that point, having children will be forbidden. We will all go into "hiding", and let the next step in the evolutionary scale have their turn on the earth. We will occasionally be allowed to interact with them, but for the most part, our existence will remain a mystery until they in turn reach the point of acheiving immortality. Kind of like the angels that came before us. I wonder if, like them, some of us will rebel, interbreed, create a race of giants, teach them our music, astrology, magic etc., forcing there to be another flood.
by sharmajunior September 26, 2009 12:38 PM PDT
Seller: Sir, you the basic version of this nano technology in your body. Perhaps I may show you a premium or a Professional or an Ultimate version?

Customer: Nah, its fine. That's all I could afford for now.

Seller: Are you sure, it is only a $30 dollar upgrade? It will make your body much more lighter.

More to come...
by perfectblue97 September 23, 2009 9:17 AM PDT
Well, well, well.

Firstly, I'd like to remind all present that back in the 60s we were supposed to be living on the moon by now, and that in the 70s we were all promised our own personal flying cars, and robot butlers. But that as late as the 90 nobody predicted the existence of the iPhone blu-ray or the return of 3D Specs.

I'd also like to point out that the article would probably be better titled "The rich and powerful will be immortal in 20 time, while 2/3 of the world's population still fights over access to clean water and energy reserves".

If tech like that is going to exist it certainly won't be accessible to the average man on the street. It will be expensive and exclusive. People will live to 200 in Beverly Hills, but still be dying of preventable water-borne diseases at 20 in sub Saharan Africa.
Reply to this comment
by harpazoD September 23, 2009 9:18 AM PDT
No human being will ever be immortal in the body they were born in. There is a spiritual law that while many refuse to believe, the truth is always known... "the penalty for sin is death" and "all have sinned and fallen short of the glory of God." "There is no other name under heaven given among men by which we can be saved" - immortality only comes through belief in Jesus the Messiah, the only begotten of God the Father in heaven. Only through His resurrection do we have any hope of immortality.

The truth is that every real mutation studied has no positive effect, and trying to create mutations to bring about immortality will simply bring death more swiftly. Our genetic structure is deteriorating and cannot be improved upon without injection of a perfect specimen that is impervious to death.

Receive what has been given and strive no more for what you cannot accomplish.
Reply to this comment
by Drummer16161616 September 23, 2009 9:29 AM PDT
Why are you so rude posting your religious crap on here? No one wants to hear it, and any enlightened human being realizes it's a load of ****.
by doubtthat September 23, 2009 9:52 AM PDT
@harpazoD - Ignore Drummer. He apparently doesn't realize that the article is about one mans opinion on living forever so your opinion is just as valid. Of course your opinion is one I happen to share.
by sbwinn September 23, 2009 10:00 AM PDT
I think most "enlightened" beings (that is people with the capacity to separate religious principle from the way it has been practiced from time to time) can appreciate what religion has to offer. Love one another. Bless those that curse you. Do good to them that despitefully use you and persecute you. Love thy neighbor as thyself. Where is the downside? If it bothers you that people espouse those teachings but don't follow them -- welcome to humanity. Try not to judge them too harshly and maybe work on that love one another thing.
by dowell100 September 23, 2009 10:33 AM PDT
@ Drummer16161616

Perhaps you ought to evaluate your own rudeness in being so intolerant. One of the big downsides of this nanotechnology is that he anti-religious bigots will continue be here too.
by ChurlishCanadian September 23, 2009 10:44 AM PDT
Drummer, how do you consider anything that harpazoD posted "rude?" Is something "rude" simply because you don't agree with it?

harpazoD obviously expressed a belief that you don't share, but he or she did so in a way that was not confrontational, insulting, or vulgar. Your post, on the other hand, was ALL of these things.

Also, you speak of "enlightened humans," so tell me: how "enlightened" is someone who mocks and derides another's belief structure with no solid proof to the contrary? (Put differently, when did religious intolerance become a badge of an enlightenment?)
by mikekrause September 23, 2009 10:50 AM PDT
What's a load of **** is to make the gross and erroneous presumption that the human race will be able to create Utopia. Wake up. Do you REALLY think things are getting better, or getting worse?
by _noise_ September 23, 2009 11:30 AM PDT
I'm sorry for pushing the off-topic junk, but this is rude for implying those without a "belief in Jesus the Messiah" are inferior/incorrect/living in sin/going to hell/etc, and it's rude for trolling. Unsolicited preaching is always pretentious. My girlfriend is a Baptist missionary, goes to service regularly, attends Bible study (and has been asked to lead it) and yet would never start quoting the Bible at me, much less at strangers, unless specifically invited to do so.

Cut off the top paragraph and you almost fix the post.

You can judge how badly a post was written by the number of off-topic replies it creates.
by masonx September 23, 2009 12:04 PM PDT
As you type this your god given computer - is your critical thinking ability so deadened by your religious fervor that you can't see that being "given" your computer (technology) - is no less "given" than extended longevity (technology) - even to the point on immortality - that you already so badly waste with comments like this.
by masonx September 23, 2009 12:05 PM PDT
As you type this your god given computer - is your critical thinking ability so deadened by your religious fervor that you can't see that being "given" your computer (technology) - is no less "given" than extended longevity (technology) - even to the point on immortality - that you already so badly waste with comments like this.
by ChurlishCanadian September 23, 2009 1:57 PM PDT
_noise_, I wouldn't call harpazoD's post off-topic.

Since many world religions address the topic of immortality and its nature, why should his or her expression of one faith's tenets be considered irrelevant? What's more, his/her statement of religious faith wasn't nearly as obnoxious as the rabidly anti-religious who pour their hateful bile into conversations like this.

Web culture's double standard ? religious speech ("stupid, worthy of any insult") vs. atheist dogma ("thoughtful, rational, intelligent") ? is immature at best, and dangerous if carried into the real world.

Please note that I hold the same opinion of nasty, angry, intolerant religious zealots as well. However, despite fashionable prejudice, the vast majority of religious people do not match that description.
See more comment replies
by CanadianGeezer September 23, 2009 9:28 AM PDT
Having used some ineffectual and shoddy products that bore Mr. Kurzweils moniker i would treat such prognostication with a large grain of salt .... enough to pickle infinity ... Chuckle!
Reply to this comment
by doubtthat September 23, 2009 9:48 AM PDT
We can replace our minds? And still be the same person? Reminds me of the farmer who had the same axe for 30 years. He replaced the handle 3 times and the axe head twice but by golly it was the same axe.

Seriously though, this is not going to happen.
Reply to this comment
by masonx September 23, 2009 12:07 PM PDT
How many cellular replacements do you think you have over the course of your life? So are you the same person?
by doubtthat September 23, 2009 12:37 PM PDT
@masonx - I don't know if I am the same person. I have an identical twin brother so I could be him and not even realize it. ;)
by zyxxy September 23, 2009 10:00 AM PDT
Sheesh. And all I want is a car that drives itself so I can take a nap or read a book.
Reply to this comment
by royc September 27, 2009 9:01 PM PDT
We already have that and have had it for way over 100 years. For at least the last 70 years it has been called plains, trains, buses and taxis. Trains go back to 1830. Before that there were stage coaches and wagons of various types like the covered and buckboards.
by zyxxy September 23, 2009 10:03 AM PDT
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tuck_Everlasting

Tuck Everlasting. Read this book before you drink from that spring.
Reply to this comment
by James Anderson Merritt September 23, 2009 10:23 AM PDT
Kurzweil seems to be doing what both the 60s/70s optimists and the dour "population bomb" Malthusians did: assuming that a trend will continue on its current course, at its current rate of speed, and then projecting that trend out several decades. It's a version of the "everything else being equal" game. But very rarely does "everything else" remain equal. We were well on the way to worldwide famine, for example, and then Norman Borlaug and colleagues came along with the green revolution, a breakthrough that changed the rules of the game and made the earlier trend projections obsolete. As the 1970s began, we seemed poised to colonize the moon and go on to Mars, but an economic downturn, a change in the political winds, and other distractions caused our priorities to shift and so we are still largely earthbound today. Once, our brightest minds thought they were very close to finding a complete and consistent set of axioms for all of mathematics. Then Kurt Goedel came along and proved that such a thing was simply impossible. Our knowledge appears to be increasing exponentially today, but will even that rate of change, if sustainable, be sufficient to lead to the breakthroughs necessary for effective immortality within two decades? I'd like to think "yes," but practical experience argues otherwise. Something is very likely to come along to slow the pace, send us in a different direction, or otherwise render the goal unattainable (at least, in the short term) or even irrelevant.

As far as the asserted ecological disaster of generally available human immortality, I'd like to remind everyone that humans aren't just units of consumption, destruction, and elimination. Humans also bring creativity, talent, and a capacity for work to the table. If we have more people who live longer and remain vigorous their entire lives, we will find ways of providing for them all, so long as we don't get preoccupied with war and bloodsports as surrogates for war. As hinted by others above, increased crowding on Earth (and, contrary to what living in crowded cities might lead you to believe, we have a long way to go before we occupy all of the vast remaining open space on this planet) could also be the motivation for our true, sustained expansion into the universe, whether to obtain new resources or establish human colonies elsewhere.
Reply to this comment
by SteveW928 September 23, 2009 10:54 AM PDT
@ James Anderson Merritt -
"Our knowledge appears to be increasing exponentially today, but will even that rate of change, if sustainable, be sufficient to lead to the breakthroughs necessary for effective immortality within two decades? I'd like to think "yes," but practical experience argues otherwise. Something is very likely to come along to slow the pace, send us in a different direction, or otherwise render the goal unattainable (at least, in the short term) or even irrelevant."

I'll go with the 'irrelevant' option because it doesn't need 'rendering unattainable' as it is a category error. Even if the technology existed, the goal (of Kurzweil and others) is not possible. He is resting on a purely materialistic presupposition, and relying on an analogy of a computer a bit too closely to a human. He needs to take a look at the progress (or lack of) in the AI field some day.... or maybe study a bit more philosophy. The human isn't that simple. If we were that simple, then we're not really having a conversation here in this forum. Our thoughts aren't real, and we're simply chemical interactions which happened to result in some black and white pixels assuming some rather oddly organized patterns.
by masonx September 23, 2009 11:53 AM PDT
The flaw in your argument, is that you assume our situation allows enough time for the undeniable human good will and ingenuity to act at a faster pace than our baser emotions like stupidity, laziness and greed and that our better nature will prevail in time to prevent or reverse a once begun a world killing man made disaster. Your assumption that all the "vast open spaces" of the world will have any meaningful habitability is also flawed, in so much as the current population is already 95% dependent on petroleum (a finite resource) based fertilizers for its food production. World population limits prior to the industrial revolution (petroleum) were not accidental, it's just about where the available nutrients and fuel resources of the time allowed us to be population wise - and where we are most likely to return if we are to survive. You also discount the civilization killing chaos and anarchy that occurs during massive famine, war and pandemics. Especially when nuclear holocaust defines the "war for food, water and resources." Most forward thinking scientist that I know, agree that we are rapidly passing the point (if not already past) where we can "plan" our recovery from overpopulation and the affects of it - climate change, starvation, water shortages, wars over these resources, and the pandemics that will follow as modern medicine and science collapse in the chaos that follows this global catastrophe.
by ChurlishCanadian September 23, 2009 2:17 PM PDT
The flaw in YOUR argument, masonx (and in that of the "forward thinking scientist[s]" you know) is your defeatism.

I've seen your opinions expressed elsewhere. In fact, it's quite fashionable to be a doomsayer these days. It makes one appear so hip and enlightened to bemoan the stupidity and short-sightedness of the rest of humanity, reserving, I suppose, all wisdom for yourself and your like-thinking inner circle.

Happily, time is likely to render "ecocalypse chic" ridiculous in hindsight ? as it does to most fashionable things.

Humans are capable of violence and irresponsibility, certainly, but we are also capable of great leaps of innovation and adaptability ? not to mention great kindness. When we exercise our drive to create actual solutions (rather than rely on our governments or the U.N. to mandate nebulous, untenable "mandates" and "protocols"), we progress rather than stagnate.

We're quite capable of saving ourselves ... we just won't be saved by those who believe we're already doomed.
by lkrupp September 23, 2009 10:31 AM PDT
I put Kurzweil's predictions right down there with Nostradamas' . He needs his tin foil hat checked out.
Reply to this comment
by SteveW928 September 23, 2009 10:41 AM PDT
Well, no one can accuse that guy of not being an optimist. LOL. The problem is that he's such an optimist, he's forgotten to actually keep tabs on the progress of technology... or philosophy... or reality. Sorry Ray, EVEN IF the technology were getting anywhere near close (which it is not), it just isn't going to work.
Reply to this comment
by molgor September 23, 2009 10:51 AM PDT
As a society, we're too young and too stupid to live forever...
Reply to this comment
Showing 1 of 2 pages (84 Comments)
advertisement
Click Here

With eye to the future, try raw photos today

Raw photos are a hassle compared to JPEG. But if you like photography, the list of their image quality advantages is long and getting longer.

Inside the Apple, er, Microsoft Store

Although Redmond's foray into retail bears a big resemblance to Apple's approach, Microsoft has added some distinctive features to draw casual PC buyers and techies alike.

advertisement

About Technically Incorrect

Chris Matyszczyk brings a fresh and irreverent perspective to the tech world in his CNET blog, Technically Incorrect. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET.

Add this feed to your online news reader

Technically Incorrect topics

advertisement
advertisement

Inside CNET News

Scroll Left Scroll Right