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April 28, 2009 12:05 PM PDT

Qualcomm, analysts hint at chip recovery

by Brooke Crothers

Chip giant Qualcomm said that it is seeing a pickup in chip demand. Separately, two chip industry research firms said graphics chips shipments rose in the first quarter.

Qualcomm indicated on Monday that it is encouraged by demand. "We're feeling more comfortable looking forward...We're happy to see chip demand up," CEO Paul Jacobs said during the company's second-quarter earnings conference call. "We're happy to see inventories stabilizing, reaffirming the device demand, we have very strong operating cash flows," he added.

The world's largest maker of cell phone chips had revenue of $2.46 billion, down from the $2.61 billion posted in the same quarter last year, and posted an operating loss of $10 million, reflecting a $748 million charge for litigation settlement related to the settlement and patent agreement with Broadcom.

The sentiment expressed by Qualcomm's CEO adds weight to comments made by Intel earlier this month in its first-quarter earnings conference call. "I believe the worst is now behind us from an inventory correction and demand-level adjustment perspective," Intel CEO Paul Otellini said on April 14.

Reports from market research firms were also positive. On Tuesday, Jon Peddie Research, which tracks the graphics chip market, said shipments were up 3.3 percent from the fourth quarter, "breaking an eight-year seasonal trend that dictated negative sales from Q4 to Q1."

Peddie attributed this, however, to going from nothing to something. "In Q3 and Q4 of 2008 the channel stopped ordering GPUs (graphics processing units) and depleted inventory in anticipation of a long drawn out worldwide recession. But, no recession, no matter how severe, results in zero sales. The world continued to turn and the consumers continued to buy, albeit they bought less," Peddie said in a prepared statement.

Also on Tuesday, Nvidia released information from Mercury Research, another firm that follows chip markets, which said overall graphics chip shipments were up 3.8 percent from the fourth quarter of 2008. The uptick was attributed to improved desktop sales.

Peddie added this cautionary statement. "Things probably aren't going to get back to the normal seasonality till Q3 this year, and we won't hit the levels of 2008 until 2010."

Brooke Crothers has been an editor at large at CNET News, an analyst at IDC Japan, and an editor at The Asian Wall Street Journal Weekly, among other endeavors, including co-manager of an after-school math-and-reading center. He writes for the CNET Blog Network and is not a current employee of CNET. Disclosure.
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About Nanotech - The Circuits Blog

Brooke Crothers was formerly editor-at-large at CNET News.com, an analyst at IDC (International Data Corp.) Japan, and an editor at The Asian Wall Street Journal Weekly (The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones), among other endeavors, including a recent hiatus from the tech industry when he co-managed an after-school math and reading center. Nanotech covers computer chip technology and how it defines the computing experience. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network, and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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