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April 27, 2009 9:05 PM PDT

Does Apple Netbook repudiation signal a shift?

by Brooke Crothers
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Apple COO Tim Cook's recent comments about Netbooks may reflect an incipient movement to look beyond this category of laptops--now more than a year old. The comments also echo lingering disaffection with the Netbook business model. Sentiment that may not be that far removed from Intel's internal thinking.

Toshiba's first crack at a Netbook was hardly an endorsement of the category--the lackluster design was officially only available in Latin America

Toshiba's first crack at a Netbook was hardly an endorsement of the category--the lackluster design was officially only available in Latin America

(Credit: Brooke Crothers)

This New York Times blog does a good job of dispelling any ambiguity about Cook's comments when it says that "contempt may be too kindly a term" to describe his attitude toward Netbooks.

Cook joins a small chorus of less blunt but equally disdainful companies. Toshiba initially resisted Netbooks and in conversations I had with Toshiba at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in January (where its Netbook offering had been relegated, quite intentionally, to an easy-to-miss corner of its sprawling booth) they clearly were not enthusiastic about (if not disdainful of) the category.

Toshiba, caving to pressure in its home market (Japan) from Acer and Asus, has since come out with a redesigned Netbook but has yet to offer anything officially in the U.S. market--more than a year after the Atom processor was launched.

And in case anyone misses the irony. Toshiba practically invented the laptop category and, to state the obvious, is one of the largest laptop vendors in the world.

And Sony has gone out of its way to say that its Netbook-like notebook is not a Netbook--and priced it accordingly.

Advanced Micro Devices has been more outspoken than most. Their contempt, to a large extent, is a given since they are Intel's chief rival. And, unlike Toshiba and Sony, they're not a customer of Intel's and don't have to couch their disdain in diplomatic language. (Skeptics will cite a host of other reasons too: AMD's lack of R&D funds to develop an Atom equivalent, for one.).

That said, in conversations I have had with AMD (including CEO Dirk Meyer), they seem to genuinely believe that Netbooks--as defined by Atom--are not going to be around for the long haul. In short, like Apple's Cook, they think they're too dinky. (See Cook's comments linked above for a variation on this theme, including the words "junky," "terrible," and "cramped.")

There is also some anecdotal evidence that demand for Intel's Atom Netbook processors is slowing a bit. (It should be noted that the source for this information is Digitimes, which is not always the most reliable font of information.)

Now, my final statement is strictly opinion. I would submit that Intel--the very company that manufactures the electronics core of virtually all Netbooks--in its more candid moments harbors thoughts not that far removed from Cook's thinking. Intel executives have said in the past that a Netbook is not really practical for more than an hour and "it's not something you're going to use day in and day out."

So, the staying power of Netbooks will be tested over the next 12 months. The forces potentially arrayed against the Netbook--that is, the Netbook as defined by Intel and the Atom processor are:

  • An aggressive ramp by Intel of its Consumer Ultra-Low-Voltage class of chips
  • A successful execution by AMD of its low-power Athlon (aka dual-core "Congo") strategy
  • An enthusiastic reception by tier-one PC makers of Intel's CULV and AMD's Congo
  • A consequent shift in consumer preference for slightly larger, slightly more pricey thin notebooks
  • The popularity of a smartphone-style Netbook, as defined by Qualcomm and its Snapdragon silicon

Time to alert the Netbook grave diggers? Absolutely, categorically not. Atom-based Netbooks are still very popular and their popularity may become entrenched as consumers acclimate themselves to this mode of computing, as Atom gets updated, and as 3G becomes a part of the feature set. But "exciting" new PC categories like the UMPC (ultra-mobile PC) have a way fizzling out when there isn't broad, sustained, enthusiastic industry support.

Brooke Crothers has served as an editor at large at CNET News, an editor at Dow Jones' Asian Wall Street Journal Weekly, and a senior editor at InfoWorld. His CNET blog covers chip technology and computer systems, and how they define the computing experience. He also contributes to The New York Times' Bits and Technology sections. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. Follow Brooke on Twitter @mbrookec.
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by Maccess April 27, 2009 9:11 PM PDT
When Apple disses a novel product category, they usually have a product for that category coming within three to six months.

Apple's no stranger to cut price ultraportables--They've already sold several:

The Powerbook 100, cut-price ultraportable sibling to the 140 and 170
The Powerbook Duos, cut-price aternatives to mainline Powerbooks.

The Powerbook 2400, a full featured ultraportable (but not cut-price. The cut price model of that generation was the 1400)

The chiclet iBooks, cut-price "more portables" than the 15" Powerbooks.

The 12" Powerbook (full price) and iBooks (cut price), ultraportables compared iwth the 15" and 17"
Reply to this comment
by kcotham April 27, 2009 9:34 PM PDT
None of the machines you mentioned are "netbooks", nor could they be defined as one. Price and size alone are not what makes a netbook. It's the use of a limited power processor and the ultra-small size, with a usually low price, altogether that makes a netbook. Until Apple makes a very small (too small in my opinion), Atom (or similar low speed, ultra power efficient powered, extremely limited machine, then none of their machines, past or present could be called "netbook".
by artistjoh April 27, 2009 9:36 PM PDT
Is it rude of me to ask when these cut price ultra-portables were made and sold? Model numbers like "100", "140", and "170" suggest to me that dark time when Apple was benefiting from the business managerial expertise that had the company heading rapidly towards bankruptcy. If so then Apple's corporate culture would remember this as something to avoid as much of their recent success has been attributed to Steve Jobs rationalization of product lines when he returned which started with him canceling low cost/low profit options such as Mac clones. I would be surprised if cut price laptops weren't part of his pruning strategy too.
by jCounsel April 28, 2009 5:21 AM PDT
While none of these are "netbooks," I would like to point out that most people said Apple would never enter the mobile phone market either...

I don't see Apple releasing a "netbook" either. However, how about a "full-powered" computer in a similar form? It wouldn't BE a netbook... It would mean Jobs isn't going to sell an "underpowered" computer (not as if the iPhone always keeps up with scrolling web pages, etc...), and they could distinguish the "netbook" market from their device quite easily. The problem with this scenario is that I don't think there is a large market for this type of device (at this time).

Jut my 2 cents...
by man_w_balls April 28, 2009 7:29 AM PDT
Guess what all of those iBooks and PowerBooks had that none of the "Netbooks" has ?

A GRAPHICS PROCESSOR / "card" with its own dedicated VRAM

I still have a 12" iBook that gets regular use for college work (it's the same size as a textbook) and it benefits greatly from having an ancient Radeon 7500 GPU with 32MB of actual separate VRAM.
Now, find me a netbook with something like the Nvidia GeForce 9400 or better, and I'll consider it.
by ballmerisanape April 28, 2009 9:07 AM PDT
kcotham.. so what your saying is... in order for Apple to make a netbook.. they have to put together an underpowered portable that has just a tad more than an iPhone....
by monkeyfun14 May 3, 2009 10:16 AM PDT
@balmer

You just don't get it do you.

Netbooks are netbooks because of the size not the price.

If hypothetically a company offered a 17in laptop for $300 the low price would not constitute it as a netbook.
by Jonathan April 27, 2009 9:33 PM PDT
No. And the reason is simple. At a price point like $350 I can afford to upgrade to the latest and greatest once every year or so. These things are a supplement for a real laptop. There is simply no way in heck I could ever rip a DVD in a reasonable amount of time on this thing. (I have a DVD collection of over 500 movies. It would take forever.) so as processors get better, designs get better, audio gets better, screens get better. I'll shell out another 350, 350 there. Consider a laptop where I would drop 3K on a high end laptop once every 3-4 years at best. This is a continued revenue stream vs that comes in fits and spells. And the only reason Apple is throwing a temper tantrum is that no one gives a **** about their wanna be subnotebook that isn't one. The air is a joke. That isn't small when it has a footprint of a 13"er.
Devices like this are the =ent of what you get in a box of cracker jacks. Its a supplement pure and simple. I mean heck. I have a Precision M6400 for hardcore work. I have a Gateway tablet for on the go work that does pen input, and my little Aspire one. I take what I need with me. Sometimes its the luggable. Sometimes its the Aspire.
for the price of these things I can afford a throw-away computer...ok so its not a throw away. But I wouldn't cry if it went away like my workstation.
Reply to this comment
by rocketjam--2008 April 28, 2009 7:44 AM PDT
The profit margin on these things is exceedingly small, so even if you buy a new one every year, the computer maker probably makes less than they do on the $3000 notebook you upgrade every three or four years.

And I'm not sure what "temper tantrum" you're referring to Apple throwing about netbooks. I guess it's all about perception.
by shevaberg April 27, 2009 9:55 PM PDT
i love my amd dual core laptop... it is not the best but it perfect laptop.
My sister has the acer netbook... for portability i would love one of those...
when i need power for gaming i go to my quad core...

it apple makes a netbook people will see how over priced the touches are
Reply to this comment
by caffemacchiato April 27, 2009 9:57 PM PDT
Most 'cheap' stuff are expensive?everything considered.

After taking a beating from those low cost and light weight netbook and 13" laptop, more people are heading for the 15" and bigger laptop.

The human ergonomics is not going to evolve anytime soon. Don't hold your breath.
Reply to this comment
by Maccess April 28, 2009 12:20 AM PDT
I don't know how many people do this, but I use and prefer subnotebooks and thin full size notebooks. I never use the built-in keyboard and screen at home or in the office. In these places, the units are docked (or attached, depending on model) with external keyboards, mice, and monitors. It's only when I travel, or use it in a coffeee shop, that I use the built-in keyboard and screen.
by rallynochaos April 27, 2009 10:35 PM PDT
I'm in college and I wouldn't trade my Acer Aspire One for the world. I've got a larger laptop for the dorm, but for taking notes in class the Aspire One is awesome.

And to all you griping about the "limited" power of netbooks, mine runs Adobe Photoshop CS4 just fine. I can plug in my 22 inch external monitor, a usb keyboard and mouse, and edit graphics all day long.

My laptop has become in essence my desktop, never leaving my room, and my netbook has come to replace my laptop in the portability sense.
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by Random_Walk April 28, 2009 4:14 PM PDT
"...mine runs Adobe Photoshop CS4 just fine."

My laptop meanwhile can run PS/CS4, render a 30 fps animation with ambient occlusion turned on, and have enough change left over to surf the web and listen to music.

It also helps to do graphics on a screen that's big enough and at a high enough resolution so that you can actually, you know, see what you're doing :)

Don't get me wrong, there are legitimate uses for a netbook, but for folks who really want to do things that tend to be a bit resource intensive, there's only one way to go... bigger.
by cvaldes1831 April 27, 2009 10:43 PM PDT
'But "exciting" new PC categories like the UMPC (ultra-mobile PC) have a way fizzling out when there isn't broad, sustained, enthusiastic industry support.'

Let's get this straight: "exciting" new PC categories have a way of fizzling out when there isn't broad, sustained, enthusiastic *customer* interest.
Reply to this comment
by Maccess April 28, 2009 12:24 AM PDT
And when they're ridiculously expensive. UMPCs are in the same product category as Netbooks, yet they never took off until some companies figured out how to make a cheap UMPC..what we now call Netbooks.

Funny thing is, some companies that used to make the unsaleable UMPCs have now repackaged them into "Premium Netbooks" at the same inflated UMPC prices.
by Angmarr April 27, 2009 11:39 PM PDT
Netbooks are extremely useful for a college students standpoint!

Buy a netbooks for looking at lectures and taking notes in class, then buys a PC desktop to do everything else (including gaming) = about the same $ you pay to buy a laptop!
Reply to this comment
by La_Mont April 27, 2009 11:46 PM PDT
Perhaps long established laptop makers don't want the netbook to thrive, but Acer and Asus are quite happy to dominate this category. Purchasing is consumer driven, not producer driven. The consumer runs the show.
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by rclark15 April 28, 2009 1:04 AM PDT
MAC already has a great ?netbook? it just needs a keyboard, it's call the iPhone.
Reply to this comment
by seven7dust April 28, 2009 2:30 AM PDT
lol! prepare yourself !
by baconstang April 28, 2009 8:26 AM PDT
iMac / MacBook / Touch combo works GREAT for me, and I don't have upgrade every year.
by pithenumber April 28, 2009 12:48 PM PDT
iPhone!=netbook
iPhone==smartphone

iPhone is tied to at&t and that makes it automatically junk
I love my iTouch though
by monkeyfun14 May 3, 2009 10:20 AM PDT
iPhone is not a netbook...

Its a phone there are cell phones that have more features then a iPhone with touchscreens does this make them netbooks too?
by stephmur April 28, 2009 3:33 AM PDT
Last Christmas netbooks were the best selling category of computer on Amazon and they have consistently been a bright spot in an otherwise lackluster PC market. But the big players don't like the low profit margins and frugal price points of netbooks so they blow a lot of hot air about netbooks imminent demise even while every indication shows that the opposite is true. This article is more of the same and doesn't even mention the new NVidia ION graphics processor that, coupled with the Atom is very likely to invigorate the netbook segment even more by giving a much needed 4X boost in graphic performance. While naysayers like to point out the "lack of power" of netbooks, how much power do you really need to do 90% of most common computing tasks? I'll tell you where the "power" of most laptops comes from: a cord plugged into an AC outlet because of their abysmal battery life. That "power" makes $1000 laptops nice space heaters, calling them laptops is a stretch unless you're fond of 2nd degree burns on the top of your thighs. Compared to most laptops, the $350 Acer Aspire One with 6-7 hours of battery life is a much more functional as a laptop and if you spend $20 and max out the RAM they are pretty snappy little performers for most functions. Netbooks are here to stay, my friend. Adapt.
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by jomxjom April 29, 2009 7:53 AM PDT
That.

I mean, my msi wind plays Spore at a higher graphics quality than my desktop -- home-built on the cheap two years ago -- and streams hulu SD movies, etc, with no problem. The atom is not the weak, crippled processor that people seem to want it to be. Add the fact that the wind weighs a mere 2.5 pounds, and I'll never buy another kind of laptop if I can help it. I'd much rather buy a powerful desktop at a savings, and use a netbook for portable computing.

It's true that the 7'' models were crippled by their size, but the 10'' models, which have now reached a very comfortable price point, are easy to get used to, and are much more pleasant for literal "lap-top" computing than most laptops. If you have a 8lb behemoth because you need power, why not just buy a desktop? So you need to do processor-intensive imagine processing. Do you need to do it in a coffee shop??? Maybe one person in ten -- at most -- has that problem. For the rest of us, nebooks supply more than enough power, at a great price point, and in an incredibly light, compact form factor.
by donsms April 28, 2009 5:42 AM PDT
Cmon folks,let`s get real about netbooks!The reason Apple and other companys want netbooks to go away ASAP is the simple fact that there isn`t as much money to be made selling them compared with selling notebooks.Very simple,it`s really not that complicated to figure out.
Reply to this comment
by baf8297 April 28, 2009 5:43 AM PDT
What's interesting is that Apple already has two "netbooks" on the market - iPhone and iPod touch.
Reply to this comment
by pithenumber April 28, 2009 12:49 PM PDT
iPhone/iTouch!=netbook
by monkeyfun14 May 3, 2009 10:23 AM PDT
Damn these comments annoy me...

iPhone/iPod Touch are not netbooks its not capable of full web browsing wait till I need to use Java or Flash has no real Office apps. And even lacks copy and paste.
by davemc49 April 28, 2009 6:14 AM PDT
Just wait until after June 30, when most K-12 school districts begin a new fiscal year. I believe you'll see a huge surge of "netbook" sales then. The affordability of "netbooks" allows schools to buy many more units for greater student access to technology. To the skeptics who may think students won't like them, my district has been running a trial and we are surveying the students. According to survey results so far, students at all grade levels have little or no complaints about the keyboard size, screen size, performace, and are enjoying using them.
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by wfolta April 28, 2009 8:06 AM PDT
Think form-factor versus price. In my opinion, Apple will come out with a super-sized iPod Touch that will be netbook-like in function but not form. Less stuff, more focused, which allows better quality stuff.
Reply to this comment
by crescentdave April 28, 2009 8:19 AM PDT
Intel CEO Paul Otellini said that he expects netbook sales to double in 2009. That'd be 28 million or so. Despite the "brilliance" of Crothers' analysis, it's easy to see that netbooks are here to stay. Of course they'll become more capable ... but they'll still have limited cpu power to keep the price down. Keyboards? Get a grip. More and more are coming out with a 92% normal size key layout, or better. It doesn't matter whether or not Sony and/or Apple or anyone else comes out with pricier designer models- there's still going to be this $200+ to $400+ model. It's too capable and too affordable when it comes to everyday tasks and portability.
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by myles taylor April 28, 2009 8:37 AM PDT
I share the contempt of Netbooks. I can't stand them and don't understand why people are buying them. I guess it's the theory that ignorance is bliss. As the technology comes out to make thinner, lighter, and more powerful machines, this is a step in the wrong direction.
Reply to this comment
by Seaspray0 April 28, 2009 2:17 PM PDT
Because they do what people need them to do at a lower cost. That's called value.
by jomxjom April 29, 2009 8:01 AM PDT
What are you talking about! Products like netbooks are exactly what drives that trend! Given that there's a real market for them; so as long as Asus keeps churning out eeePCs, other companies will have to adapt or die; and processor companies will be pushed to make thinner, lighter products for less, in order to compete.

Ignorance is what makes people buy 8lb 'gas-guzzlers' when all they really need is a little bit of power. If all you need to do is type and read email, why not have those capabilities in a small, inexpensive, exquisitely cheap package?
by Jilliebean46 April 28, 2009 4:43 PM PDT
I have an HP 1030NR and love it, my daughter has an Aspire One and my husband has an Asus EeePC. We have regular laptops also but we leave them at home and take the portables with us each morning as we leave for work and school. They do everything we need them to do. We have a portable DVD drive that we use when we need DVD access. When we need something with more power we go home and use the big klunkers. I sure hope the netbooks are here to stay. Out of all the computers we have ever had, we love and use these the most, you can't beat the portability!.
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by ewelch April 28, 2009 5:33 PM PDT
Toshiba practically invented the laptop category? Someone is forgetting Apple's early laptops.
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by AJWatUC April 30, 2009 12:39 PM PDT
My first laptop was a 15" dell it was heavy hot and ugly. I went down to a 14" than a 12" now a 10" wind running osx leopard. I love it! I wouldn't trade it for anything. The keyboard is not that much smaller than a new imac slim keyboard. When it comes down to it i think apple is bad mouthing the netbook name to bring out a smaller 10" macbook. Then apple will say its a macbook not a netbook. It may even have a optical drive. I think apple is going to do what it takes to make sure you can't call it a netbook. I'm sure it will cost 599 or more. All this negative talk about netbooks is just apple setting the stage for their new netbook like computer.
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by megustansalchichas April 30, 2009 2:25 PM PDT
i don't see why the netbook/notebook distinction. the netbook i just bought is the essentially the same computer i had 3+ years ago only cheaper and smaller. for the same reason people don't want to upgrade to vista, they don't need fancy new notebooks -i.e., they are just using their personal computers to email and surf the web, and leave their professional computing to their professional computers at work. it's computer 'enthusiasts' that want the blue ray, dvd burning, orbcasting experience, and those people know how to handle technology better and probably have a home server and a netbook combination where most just have a netbook. the intels and amds are whiners because they can't keep convincing people to spend $400 bucks on a processor upgrade every 16 months like they did a decade ago.
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About Nanotech - The Circuits Blog

Brooke Crothers has served as an editor at large at CNET News, an editor at Dow Jones' Asian Wall Street Journal Weekly, and a senior editor at InfoWorld. His CNET blog covers chip technology and computer systems, and how they define the computing experience. He also contributes to The New York Times' Bits and Technology sections. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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