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January 14, 2009 1:05 PM PST

Future Intel Atom chip is a yawner--by design

by Brooke Crothers

That Eee PC Netbook too slow? Well, it probably won't get much faster in 2009, according to reports, proving that Intel is not keen on revving up Atom to compete with itself.

Both Digitimes and Engadget are reporting that the Atom N280--an update of the 1.6GHz N270--will appear by the third quarter of this year and run at 1.66GHz.

This is a whopping 0.06GHz jump in speed--very underwhelming and very different than the performance fast track that consumers are used to with higher-end Intel Core architecture chips. It highlights a theme that will be repeated often in 2009: As Atom gains in popularity, Intel will have to manage the Atom platform so it doesn't imperil more lucrative processor lines.

Another theme that's emerging in 2009 is the Netbook--typically priced below $500--as the computer for the sinking economy, tailor-made for shrinking household budgets. In fact, a recent report from Forrester Research exhorts Netbook vendors to discourage this, saying they should "avoid the temptation" to tap into this sentiment.

"This cannibalization is bad for industry pricing," according to a report by Forrester analyst J. P. Gownder, citing statistics that say 23 percent of consumers say they are interested in buying a Netbook in lieu of "a more expensive laptop." (See chart.)

23 percent of U.S. adults are interested in Netbooks as a replacement for a more expensive laptop

About 23 percent of U.S. adults say they are interested in Netbooks as a replacement for a more expensive laptop

(Credit: Forrester Research)

To be clear, Intel has always been quick to say that Atom is not designed as a high-performance processor and ardently tries to dampen excessive expectations. CEO Paul Otellini and other executives have stated clearly in many forums (regularly in earnings conference calls, for example) that Netbooks are a "complementary" device to a notebook and meant for casual Internet usage only.

And Intel is going to take this a step further later this year by plugging the hole between cheap Netbooks and pricey ultraportables with a new processor for less-expensive ultraportables. More than anything, this chip is meant to send a message: Netbook performance will be capped. Want something more than a Netbook? You will need to buy an ultraportable with a chip from Intel's more mainstream Core architecture lineup.

So, what are Intel's plans for Atom in 2009? Aside from tiny frequency improvements to the processor, Intel will increase the front-side bus--a data path between the processor and other silicon--from 533MHz to 667MHz, which will boost performance more than the teeny uptick in processor clock speed.

(Let's not forget the Atom Z540, which is targeted at handheld-size mobile Internet devices. This has been around since April and runs at 1.86GHz, a faster clock speed than the upcoming N280.)

The biggest improvement, however, will come in graphics. The Atom upcoming GN40 chipset will offer improved graphics performance and will be HD playback compatible, though there will be no Blu-ray logo.

Will this ability to handle HD discourage Netbook vendors from going with Nvidia's Ion processor? That may also be a theme that repeats itself in 2009. Nvidia's Ion platform, aimed at Netbooks, can do Blu-ray. Whether this will provide enough incentive to Netbook makers to include Ion--which appears to offer better graphics performance overall than the GN40--won't be clear until at least summer.

It also isn't necessarily a slam-dunk that Netbooks will rule in 2009. Remember the UMPC? I didn't think so.

Brooke Crothers is a former editor at large at CNET News.com, and has been an editor for the Asian weekly version of the Wall Street Journal. He writes for the CNET Blog Network, and is not a current employee of CNET. Contact him at mbcrothers@gmail.com. Disclosure.
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by slickuser January 14, 2009 1:32 PM PST
Netbooks will eventually disappear. Instead, iPhone like devices and more 10" or 12" notebooks with a processor like one used in MacAir will be popular...
Reply to this comment
by BigGuns149 January 14, 2009 7:30 PM PST
Not likely. The reality is that very few people want something the size of a notebook that is very feature limited like a phone. A netbook with Windows or Linux is far more versatile than even a large screen iPhone would be. I am not a Apple hater, but some of you iPhone fanboys are getting annoying. Is there some web cliche that I am missing here because I have a hard time believing that there are that many idiots who seriously hold such an opinion.
by Mr. Dee January 14, 2009 1:57 PM PST
When I think about what I am doing on my laptop these days:
IM, watch YouTube, surf the web, check email through web mail services, this is mostly being done through the web browser. Do I need an extremely powerful notebook to do this? No, even if I bought one, I am not gonna install Office on it because I am not that type of person who needs their notebook tricked out to the 9's to feel all that important - those days were more 2001.
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by Hernys January 14, 2009 6:35 PM PST
I think you got it wrong: you are not going to install Office because you are an information consumer, not an information creator. Nothing wrong with that, but if you are a content (document, spreadsheet, presentation, or whatever) creator you need something more than a browser (yes, I know of Google Docs and the like, they are just not enough for serious work). It is not about feeling important.
by brian.lee January 14, 2009 2:49 PM PST
How about writing more efficient code??? cutting down on visual eye candy and focusing on feature that get the job done??? I know that's crazy talk... people don't Love Windows XP they just hate Vista more. I have 4GB of ram in my budget tablet pc, do I want it no not really why? because Hibernate takes FOREVER. I'd rather just have 2GB of ram and an OS that wasn't a PIG.
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by Penguinisto January 14, 2009 4:52 PM PST
...Install Ubuntu Linux on it, then. The Asus Eee in particular has models that come with it pre-installed, and ubuntu.com I believe has a tailor-made distribution set up for free download that lets you either burn a CD/DVD (which you read through USB to the netbook), or park it on a geek stick (USB drive): http://www.canonical.com/projects/ubuntu/nbr

This way, you can strip even the burden that XP puts on the system, and get something that is very light, very fast, and works perfectly with what the netbook is designed for.
by pithenumber January 20, 2009 10:34 AM PST
Windows7 has a strip down netbook version, I wonder how far they're going to strip it down though, the normal version runs fine on most netbooks
by tm_anon January 14, 2009 4:16 PM PST
Capping processor speeds is a very bad idea. Why not take that low powered processor and start developing it, see just how hard you can push it. If your netbook can out-do their notebooks and you can sell it at that $500 mark, why would they buy something from someone else? In other words, screw artificial limitations.
If you can make a small, powerful processor that uses so much less power but you insist on making the large ones just because you can charge more for them, why should I give you business? If the current model of selling processors won't work with a processor that powerful and that small, change your business model. A small processor with that much efficiency and that much power would help to create a much better way of looking at technology. Processors of that size could help recreate the idea of a screen even as it pertains to ultra-portables. Processors in that range could create something that makes modern hi-tech look like the stone-age and run with solar power due to the minimal amount of power necessary in order to do it. Let's not quash this technology in the hopes to make another couple hundred bucks per 10 units. Let's not kill a technology because it makes you uneasy. Let's take that tech and run with it. Give me what I know that processor can be capable of and stop trying to bleed my wallet dry.
@brian.lee

You may want to give Ubuntu a shot, it has a much smaller system footprint and does everything you're wanting from that notebook. It won't wake up from hybernate in .00002 seconds, but it will allow you to run your apps quickly, have more room on your hdd, even while having a modern OS with lots of goodies and it gets you away from either Vista or XP.
Reply to this comment
by nanikore January 15, 2009 6:47 PM PST
You're not looking at the broad product line picture.

Why did AMD can Bobcat? Probably because they could just downgrade Athlon and get a model without developing an entirely different chip.

Now, considering these alternatives to fill one and the same price/performance niche:

1. Pile on more design $$$ just to get Atom faster
2. Use an already existing design (just like AMD) without spending all that $$$, plus saving more $$$ on economies of scale with production

Now tell me- Why would a company want to reinvent some wheel they already got? Just to please some fans and magazine editors? I don't think so.
by oroset January 14, 2009 4:41 PM PST
I have a 10" Samsung netbook as second laptop. It is light (around 2lbs) and has long battery life, and it is not slow for any internet usage. I don't see why this shouldn't be more popular among consumers who are just casual home pc users.

The lightness & long battery life of a netbook completely opens up usage possibilities, since it can be easily carried around the house, or put into a bag. It would also be ideal for students. There are possibilities that the netbook can make huge inroads, expanding pc ownership among young adults and school children.
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by BigGuns149 January 14, 2009 7:45 PM PST
"Intel will increase the front-side bus--a data path between the processor and other silicon--from 533MHz to 667MHz, which will boost performance more than the teeny uptick in processor clock speed."

ie. on paper this new Atom ought to be at least comparable to a T2300 CoreDuo processor that we saw on laptops a few year ago and only slighter slower than the T3200 that I am seeing on some low end traditional laptops. While the Atom was a decent improvement over the older Celeron Ms that early netbooks were using the bus speed was still so slow that the processors weren't even able to take advantage of DDR2-667, which is the typical speed of RAM on most notebooks save for a handful of newer notebooks using DDR3. Between faster RAM and faster memory we should see a decent improvement in speed on some applications. I agree that a lot of people will still be underwhelmed by even these new Atoms, but the headline of this story is misleading and even one of the earlier sentences is misleading in implying that a small increase in clock speed means that the clock speed is indicative of he increase in performance.

Show me some benchmarks and then we will talk. Otherwise this story seems to be a shameless attempt to get more ad impressions.
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by globalist_agenda January 14, 2009 8:19 PM PST
Answer: Remote access. Question: Need more powerful computing on your Netbook? RDP, LogMeIn, GoToMyPC, etc. Think of this as a wireless Citrix client.
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by Penguinisto January 15, 2009 6:52 AM PST
...and if your netbook runs Linux: rdesktop (same as windows RDP), ssh, VNC, etc.

Excellent point though.
by curmudgeonlygoat January 14, 2009 8:28 PM PST
I bought tne kids an Acer Aspire with XP and the 120GB HD or Xmas. I was so impressed with it that I bought one for myself. I hardly use my desktop any more. I didn't buy the MS Office Student edition that came with them. I uninstalled them and bought it on sale at Office Max getting 3 licenses instead. One external DVD drive is easily shared or additional savings. The net gain is two laptops fot the price of one and I don't have to deal with Vista. When at home, I now have a use for the old 15" LCD monitor that I had replaced with a larger one for the desktop. The kids can do their homework on theirs in any room they choose and then walk into the den and plug the USB cable from the printer into their netbook and print. Saved the cost of a print server.
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by grabulous January 15, 2009 10:03 AM PST
I am pleased with my netbook because of its price, portability, long battery life. What I would like to see is more smartphone features like instant on and 3G wireless built in with contracts that piggyback on existing contracts. I have a Macbook Pro, and I use it for doing heavy lifting, but nothing beats the portability of my netbook and would buy in a short second a similarly sized iPod netbook or Macbook Pro for 900-1000 dollars. I've written a history of the evolution of netbooks for physicians on my blog:

http://golfism.wordpress.com/2009/01/10/the-netbook/
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by Big_Gonads February 7, 2009 5:41 AM PST
Normally we are presented with what we will use and not presented with what we want by computer manafactures. Netbooks are a succsees because they solve a number of failed products that have been presented to us in the past. PDA's never delivered because they were never permanently conencted to the internet. So they were converged with mobiles phones. Internet connected mobile phones are a failure not because of any technilogical reason but because they are two small for input. Only the blackberry has come close with its full key board but still to small my company has given me a Bold and I just cant be botherd typing emails on it.

Along come a small cheap potentially permanetly internet conneccted PC that doesnt need a bag to carry it around and people have decided that YES this is what we want forgeet my £450 Blackberry bold I can have a £300 NETBOOK and a simple mobile phone.

This was not what the manafacures wanted or expected. They have not until recently been able to make small miniture laptops that actually worked they way I wanted. They were nevevr likee my PC. I like many of you have probably had a number of devices that never ever really did what the manafactures said it would do without being complicated or annoying.

This is convergence of mobile communications, computing and the intenet in a form that has ease of use and is cheap. We will soon see if the all singing all dancing mobile phone continues to be the primary form of exchange of mobile information other than voice. How many laptop manafactures said they were not going to get involved in NETBOOKS? How many are worried that they are no lonnger in control of what products we will buy. Even Microsoft has imposed restrictions and offers the NETBOOK XP at next to nothing (They know). This is potentially now the biggest computing market in the world. NET BOOKs are out selling laptops and both are out selling desktops. No one saw the NETBOOK coming. Even the mobile phone companies will need to now compete with the computer industry it had to happen. These little computers are far more significant right now at this point in time in our current economic climate than any other form of computing in the last twenty years since the introduction of the PC.

We live in exciting times !

Kevin.
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About Nanotech - The Circuits Blog

Brooke Crothers was formerly editor-at-large at CNET News.com, an analyst at IDC (International Data Corp.) Japan, and an editor at The Asian Wall Street Journal Weekly (The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones), among other endeavors, including a recent hiatus from the tech industry when he co-managed an after-school math and reading center. Nanotech covers computer chip technology and how it defines the computing experience. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network, and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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