October 10, 2009 11:29 AM PDT

IDC: Spending on cloud services to hit 10 percent by 2013

by Dave Rosenberg
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New data from IDC's Cloud Services Forecast shows that cloud services will outpace traditional IT spending over the next five years and will represent $44.2 billion, or roughly 10 percent, of all IT spending by 2013.

Cloud services revenue

Cloud services revenue

(Credit: IDC)

However, the missing link in this data set is that these numbers account only for IDC's cloud services taxonomy (Application Software, Application Development and Deployment Software, Systems Infrastructure Software, and Server and Disk Storage capacity) and don't represent private clouds.

Private clouds--or at least internal enterprise applications that use the same principles--will undoubtedly become a major trend over the next five years. In addition to the cost savings of using existing compute power, the ease of use of cloud APIs will work their way into the enterprise quickly, now that developers are comfortable with public cloud services like Amazon S3 and EC2.

If public cloud services will be 10 percent of all IT money spent, that represents a blisteringly fast growth rate. And while we certainly don't wish the recession to continue, it's interesting to see how companies have adapted their IT plans to take advantage of services that require far less capital expenditure. From IDC:

The five-year growth outlook remains strong, with a five-year annual growth rate of 26 percent--over six times the rate of traditional IT offerings. In spite of the challenging economy--or more accurately, because of it--this growth rate advantage expanded from last year's forecast, in which cloud services were forecast to grow at over five times traditional offerings.

There is no question that cloud services are in their infancy and that the market is ripe for further disruption. The challenge going forward will be to accurately measure just what applications and services are internal, external, cloud, or otherwise.

In the meantime, let's all just be glad to see IT spending on the rise.

Dave Rosenberg dishes up "Software, Interrupted" with nearly 15 years of technology and marketing experience that spans from Bell Labs to multiple start-up IPOs to open-source enterprise software companies. He is co-founder of MuleSource and currently serves as the general manager of Hardy Way. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. You can contact Dave via e-mail at softwareinterrupted@gmail.com or follow him on Twitter @daveofdoom.
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by Shinobi2099 October 10, 2009 12:25 PM PDT
Can I just say that the PS3 is in fact the greatest gaming system and indeed trumps whatever this article may be about. LOL I'm bored without an article from ackerman!
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by nobrainr October 10, 2009 4:45 PM PDT
Cloud computing will indeed have it's place in many people's lives even without them even knowing. We're already using many cloud services when we're downloading iPhone apps or using an application on Facebook.
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by eye4bear October 11, 2009 5:47 AM PDT
Ask us T-Mobile Sidekick users what we think of the &*^%^& cloud after our promised secure data is GONE.
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by cvaldes1831 October 12, 2009 10:38 AM PDT
I've said this before and I'll say it again (in light of the recent SideKick snafu).

Cloud computing is not ready for primetime. Maybe in five or ten years, but certainly not today. Cloud operators simply are not exercising the fundamentals: offline backups, the two-person rule, working on production systems, etc.

It will take multiple catastrophic failures before cloud computing is run by people who should be running these services. Right now, they are not.

Do not put your business in a place where it relies on cloud computing for mission-critical services. T-Mobile SideKick users did and they are completely f***ed.
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About Software, Interrupted

In "Software, Interrupted," Dave Rosenberg discusses disruption in the software market, as well as the products and services that keep business technology norms in perpetual flux.

With nearly 15 years of technology and marketing experience spanning from Bell Labs to multiple start-up IPOs, Dave co-founded open-source software company MuleSource and now serves as general manager of Hardy Way. He also happens to be a U.S. patent holder and a workaholic. Technology is his best friend and mortal enemy.

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