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October 8, 2009 3:26 PM PDT

Resurgence of U.S. game sales predicted

by Dave Rosenberg
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As market research firm NPD Group prepares to release sales data data for the U.S. game market next Thursday, other analysts have predicted a return to double-digit growth after six months of decline.

According to Edge Online, Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter and Electronic Entertainment Design and Research's Jesse Divnich expect monthly software sales of $750 million (up 21 percent year over year) and $715 million (up 16 percent), respectively. And while these are still just estimates, it shows that consumers are still willing to spend on high-quality new games.

EEDAR's top 10 forecast:
Halo 3: ODST (360, Microsoft) - 1,800,000
Wii Sports Resort (Wii, Nintendo) - 500,000
The Beatles: Rock Band (Wii, EA) - 350,000
The Beatles: Rock Band (360, EA) - 325,000
Marvel: Ultimate Alliance 2 (360, Activision) - 300,000
Madden NFL 10 (360, EA) - 275,000
Batman: Arkham Asylum (360, Eidos) - 250,000
Batman: Arkham Asylum (PS3, Eidos) - 250,000
Guitar Hero 5 (360, Activision) - 250,000
Guitar Hero 5 (Wii, Activision) - 200,000

One interesting note on the top 10 list is that it contains only seven titles, which shows the importance of supporting multiple consoles.

Dave Rosenberg dishes up "Software, Interrupted" with nearly 15 years of technology and marketing experience that spans from Bell Labs to multiple start-up IPOs to open-source enterprise software companies. He is co-founder of MuleSource and currently serves as the general manager of Hardy Way. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. You can contact Dave via e-mail at softwareinterrupted@gmail.com or follow him on Twitter @daveofdoom.
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by Thad Boyd October 8, 2009 4:27 PM PDT
So...video games are going to sell more around Christmas? Amazing! It's almost as if the industry timed all its blockbuster releases for just such an event!

Reminds me of an episode of The Simpsons.

"This year, I invested in pumpkins. They've been going up the whole month of October and I got a feeling they're going to peak right around January. Then, bang! That's when I'll cash in."
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by jean.luc.picard October 9, 2009 5:23 AM PDT
This list and blog is incomplete without considering the iPod touch or the iPhone!
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by richard993 October 10, 2009 4:19 PM PDT
How accurate are these estimates? it's not believable than an x-box exclusive can outsell a title such as "Call of Duty: World at War" that is available on all plaforms (PC, Ps3 and the XBox), and sold a total of 11 million copies by June this year... with around 20 million XBox 360's out there, the only way you can beat those kind of numbers is if 3 out of 5 XBox 360 owners buys Halo 3.
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by Der_Amerikaner October 20, 2009 10:47 AM PDT
One wonders if MMORPG left out purposely? Blizzard rakes in more than these sales in recurring subscriptions!,
How many paying members havve they got now? 22 million? or is it 25 million- A mari usque ad mare?
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About Software, Interrupted

In "Software, Interrupted," Dave Rosenberg discusses disruption in the software market, as well as the products and services that keep business technology norms in perpetual flux.

With nearly 15 years of technology and marketing experience spanning from Bell Labs to multiple start-up IPOs, Dave co-founded open-source software company MuleSource and now serves as general manager of Hardy Way. He also happens to be a U.S. patent holder and a workaholic. Technology is his best friend and mortal enemy.

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