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November 12, 2008 11:58 AM PST

'WoW' players prepping for 'Wrath of the Lich King'

by Daniel Terdiman

The inside of the 'Wrath of the Lich King' retail box teases players with a challenge. The expansion to the hugely popular 'World of Warcraft' goes on sale tonight at midnight.

(Credit: Daniel Terdiman/CNET News)

For World of Warcraft players who over the years have grown accustomed to seeing busy in-world auction houses, the last few weeks may have seemed odd.

Normally bustling with players eager to buy or sell weapons, clothing, armor, or other goods, business at the auction houses has recently slowed to a crawl. But it's not because of the global economic crisis.

Rather, say WoW aficionados, players have been hoarding their gold in anticipation of the release Thursday of the game's latest expansion, , and holding off on buying items that would soon be obsolete.

This is just one example of players of the hugely popular massively multiplayer online game behaving differently as Lich King's release approaches.

The game will go on sale nationwide after midnight (12 a.m.) Thursday, and retail stores expect lines across the country.

And while not all 11 million WoW players plan to upgrade to the new $40 expansion, it seems that enough will do so that life in The Burning Crusade, the first expansion, which came out in January, 2007, will likely resemble the empty streets of an urban downtown in the middle of the night.

According to Colin Sebastian, a senior vice president of equity research at Lazard Captial Markets, Lich King is likely to sell 4 million copies in the first quarter after its release. That means, Sebastian said, that WoW's publisher, Blizzard Entertainment, is looking at potentially $120 million in revenue for the quarter.

The front of the 'Lich King' box. The expansion will sell for $40, and analysts expect that the publisher, Blizzard Entertainment, will earn $120 million from sales of the expansion in the first quarter after its release.

(Credit: Daniel Terdiman/CNET News)

And while it is too early to tell whether those predictions will prove accurate, it's almost certain that the release of Lich King will end up being one of the biggest days in video game history.

"We would assume that the majority of those who migrated to Burning Crusade will also move to Lich King," said Sebastian. "Wrath of the Lich King should at least match what Burning Crusade moved."

If so, Blizzard is looking at a great Thursday, as Burning Crusade sold 2.4 million units in its first 24 hours, according to a press release Blizzard released in early 2007.

In order to advance to Lich King, WoW players will have to have already upgraded to Burning Crusade. And while not every player has upgraded, many millions have.

One major reason for players to make the move is that Lich King will have a new top level of 80. Burning Crusade topped out at 70, while the original game had a cap of 60.

In addition, Lich King will offer the first WoW hero class, the necromantic death knight; will have an achievement system that offers more than 700 goals and subsequent rewards; and will be played on a new continent, called Northrend, "the icy domain of the Lich King."

The folded-out inside cover of the 'Lich King' box.

(Credit: Daniel Terdiman/CNET News)

Blizzard recently unveiled the achievement system, however, and that, in conjunction with the forthcoming release of Lich King, has led to one of the most visceral behavioral changes in advance of the expansion.

According to multiple WoW users, many players have been feverishly trying to complete as many of the achievements in advance of Lich King's release as possible.

"Everyone is running old content just to get the achievements for it," said Erik Johnson, a longtime WoW player who plans on buying the expansion at midnight Thursday. "We ran a raid through Blackwing Lair, which was once the toughest part of the (original level) 60 endgame, just for the sport--and to get everyone their achievements. Right now it's time for the obsessive types to do all their achievement runs, because everything else is on hold."

Johnson explained that Blizzard has created achievements for things like completing dungeons and killing the last bosses in each dungeon, for exploring all areas of the game's map, for completing quests, and even for doing things like cooking and fishing that players often did in their downtime.

"Level 70 (players) were chain-running low-level dungeons to get every one," said Johnson, referring to players who were completing easy dungeons in order to get the achievements.

Other players agreed, explaining that many people are trying to finish off as many lower-level instances, or challenges, as possible before the level 71 through 80 areas open up in Lich King.

"Achievements are a big deal," said Mike Schramm, an editor of the popular blog, WoW Insider. "So most people are just busy trying to catch up on those--doing the same old stuff, but getting achievement credit for it. Once the expansion drops, we'll all be up in Northrend, and no one will be going to the old (Burning Crusade) instances. So everyone is trying to run the BC instances as much as possible...to finish them up before the crowd moves on. When everyone's at level 80 and you need to run a level 70 instance, you'll be out of luck."

Schramm also explained why the auction houses in the existing game have come to resemble ghost towns.

"Most of the gear and crafted stuff in the game is about to become useless," he said, "so no one is really buying anything. Everyone's saving their (in-game) money for what's coming in the expansion...(That) means that if you have a lot of items that you're trying to sell, you won't really find too many buyers for them. Crafted items, especially--usually people are trying to gear up their characters with stuff from the auction houses. But (on Thursday) we'll all have access to brand-new gear, so none of that older stuff is selling."

For Schramm, the upcoming release of Lich King has been a boon, and not just because he's excited to play through all the new content.

The back of the 'Lich King' box. Gamers can expect to find lines at retail stores throughout the country Wednesday night, as the game goes on sale nationwide at midnight Thursday.

(Credit: Daniel Terdiman/CNET News)

Rather, as one of the editors of WoW Insider, which is part of AOL's Weblogs network, he's seen traffic skyrocket as the expansion's release has approached.

He explained that in the weeks following Blizzard's annual fan fest, BlizzCon, which took place in mid-October in Anaheim, Calif., WoW Insider has become the third most popular blog in the network, after Engadget and Autoblog and surpassing the network's main games blog, Joystiq.

And while much of that growth has been because of Lich King excitement, Schramm expects many of his new readers to stick around even after the expansion's release.

One concern he has about the release, however, is whether Blizzard will be able to keep its WoW servers up and running in the face of millions of players logging on simultaneously.

That was a problem the company had with the Burning Crusade release, and Schramm is hopeful Blizzard learned a lesson from last time.

But his real question about the release is just how long will it take someone to get all the way to level 80.

"If (Blizzard handles the server infrastructure) right, we'll see a level 80 player this weekend," Schramm said. "Actually we'll probably see a level 80 player this weekend anyway, but that's just because people are nuts."

He said average players will take a few weeks to a month to reach the new top level, and lots of players will take even longer than that.

"But the big raiding guilds will do it within a week or so," Schramm said, "and someone nuts will do it in about 30 hours. Last time around, it took a guy 28 hours."

Daniel Terdiman is a staff writer at CNET News covering games, Net culture, and everything in between. E-mail Daniel.
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) (27 Comments)
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by MSSlayer November 12, 2008 2:26 PM PST
Yeah, another more of the same expansion.

MMOG needs to finally evolve into something better. There is so much potential in the genre that is wasted on time sinks, repetition, and cliche.

Blizzard may be making money hand over fist, but they aren't producing anything worthwhile.
Reply to this comment
by alanek2002 November 19, 2008 12:49 PM PST
.... does anone else here some1 who does not know a thing about what he is saying? it may be a time sink, but then the game would suck if you were instanly whatever you wanted to be. that is the reason we need to work a little bit and mabye... you should try the game. mabye 30 min. then you tell us that it sucks. and mabye, you need a litlle thing called patience.
by karpenterskids November 12, 2008 2:43 PM PST
Ahhhh...I have so many friends who worship this game.
It's their life.
Their religion.
Their God.

It's sad.
I've promised myself I'll never start playing it, for fear of being hooked as well. :)


I'm also secretly wondering how many more expansion packs WoW will be able to release before the franchise starts to decline. Guesses, anyone?
Reply to this comment
by MSSlayer November 12, 2008 2:45 PM PST
EverQuest was at 5 before the decline, and said decline was because of WOW, not because it was a pile of crap.

It will take a next gen game to put a dent in WoW. Hopefully the next gen games will present something new. WoW == EQ with less time sinks.
by wolivere November 12, 2008 3:37 PM PST
I.m not sure it was the game EQ or EQ2 that was its decline. Sony is a very very poor marketer. Next week EQ2's next expansion is coming out, but can you find advertising about it? News?

Nada, heck try to find a store that even stocks eq2?
by inachu November 12, 2008 7:34 PM PST
There is a lot of old content i havent visted in WOW and I am level 63 and this Achievement system is making me do all the old stuff. I am sad to see that AOC was not as good as it should have been.
by Echo707 November 12, 2008 8:47 PM PST
I think that Blizzard is saying probably one more expansion but who knows?
by alanek2002 November 19, 2008 12:44 PM PST
777, but only if they update grpahics from time to time.
by Michichael November 12, 2008 5:18 PM PST
Meh. Me and my roomie actually quit the game. There is a quest line in the original WoW started by "Nessingwary" that basically has you kill 30 of each type of animal in the region... Then 30 of more powerful types, then 30 of the most powerful type, then the king of all of that type. They did the same exact thing with different targets in the expansion. And guess what - yup. They did it again. So it's basically an expansion with about an hour of new lore, and a year of the same quests over. And over. And over.

We stopped playing and already we're more productive - our apartment's actually fully unpacked! (Wowsers!)
Reply to this comment
by shadow117 November 12, 2008 7:23 PM PST
Sorry WOW with bad economy and the price that they are charging I have know many that would care less about the expansion. Good luck for who ever wanting to still pay so much to play.
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by November 12, 2008 10:47 PM PST
For those of us that aren't on weekly allowance from our parents, $39 is not that much. Sounds like sour grapes!
by inachu November 12, 2008 7:23 PM PST
It takes a real casual gamers to go from 1 to level 63 just 3 years. so perhaps 60 to 80 about 6 months.
Reply to this comment
by Draconois November 12, 2008 10:20 PM PST
1-60 was hard 60-70 was easy as pie in fact i had 3 lvl 70's within 2 weeks of tbc . yes were sad i actually booked time of work for the release so i can be up to 80- fast, its not all about gettign cudos for being fast, alot of the social engenering that blizzard dose causes this. for example the top guild will not allow you into the guild if they do see that you made top level within a week , if you are first to max out your profession you will charge about 800% value for items untill the market gets flooded. if you get to 80 fast you will have a head staert on the arena system.

blizzard has already started work on "the emerald dream" the next expac and from what is being said this will be the last expac to follow current lore in the warcraft fantasy world they really would have to come out with a new warcraft before expanding to a 4th(after emrald dream) just to put into play more lore. warhammer was supposed to be the death of wow in fact fopr the last year wow has ment waiting on warhammer. however that game has tanked its not nearly as addicting as wow . to blizzards praise and marketing wonce you start even if you hate games you will never stop
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by The_Decider November 13, 2008 10:03 AM PST
1-60 is not hard.

It just takes time. That is the problem, challenge is defined by time, but actual difficulty.
by WeSeedWriter November 13, 2008 7:11 AM PST
Blizzard has done a great job here in creating a product that millions of people are hooked on, kind of like Starbucks and coffee. But shadow117 has a point?I wonder if people are going to stop buying games because of the economy or actually spend more time playing games to escape the economy's doom and gloom.

Either way, this game is gonna be huge.
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by whosblue November 13, 2008 7:55 AM PST
Anyone else waiting for starcraft 2?
i think that can take down WoW
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by sythara November 13, 2008 8:55 AM PST
Two completely different games aimed at completely different audience(sp).
by sythara November 13, 2008 8:59 AM PST
WoW is not all that great. I've played just about every MMO out there since the original release of EQ and WoW has a look and feel of being designed by Fisher Price.

All I keep hearing is how this expansion is anticipated and everyone is going crazy about it. Come on, there are many other games that are significantly better. Take LOTRO for example. Its like DAoC back during EQ's hayday. Much better product but less advertising.
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by drkoontz November 13, 2008 9:25 AM PST
This may be hard to beleve but WOW has saved me money.Ever sense I started playing WOW I have not bought any new viedo games.Think about it , once you own the game you are only laying out a little over $14.00 a month. I think this is a cheap invest ment. Look at the avarage cost of other games , what $50.00 or more a pop.Other games seem to have a very short play time wow seems to be a never ending quest.
Forget about getting to level 80 , make friends , explore content .... have fun.
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by sythara November 13, 2008 9:38 AM PST
You can make friends in real life too, same goes for exploring (in a different way). By not spending $14/mo you can buy a 360 game every 4 month if you get it brand new. Many games are cheaper if you get them few months later. PC games are even cheaper, especially through digital distribution (steam, d2d, etc).

But games are there so you can have fun. And if you're having a blast playing WoW (I did when I tried it) then you do what makes you happy. After all, if you're not hvaing fun there is no point in playing the game. To me personally, endless grind and constant idiocity of 99% of the populace (i.e. barrens chat, chinese farmers, etc) is not fun. But some people arent bothered by it (or part of it).
by The_Decider November 13, 2008 10:04 AM PST
People you "meet" online, are not friends.
by walsh84 November 13, 2008 10:34 AM PST
@ The_Decider

Was your comment just to stir the pot, or are you really that narrow minded? I have plenty of friends in real life, and plenty of people I have "met" online that I would also consider friends... some of whom I've actually had the opportunity to meet up with in real life.

Just because we are seperated by geographic location and may never see eachother, does not mean we cannot be friends. If you had any experience with these games, you'd know that relationships form through them. WoW is just the foundation that brings us together. We might share the same interest in a sports team, music genre, so on and so on. I myself am a member of a large guild, many of the players I would consider to be friends. A large population of these players will communicate through Ventrilo (myself included). It's gone beyond more than just text on a computer screen. When we can chat live, tell jokes, share stories, or talk about our day... how is that any different than what I would do with a "real life" friend?

End of rant.
by Zandora777 November 13, 2008 11:59 AM PST
It's sad that the title didn't read "players have been spending the majority of their free time with their families, refocusing on their jobs, and getting outside more often, in anticipation of..." But of course we know that's not true for the hardcore who have already invested most of their life into the game.
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by Aradroth November 13, 2008 6:27 PM PST
WoW is seriously a really boring game after you get to 70 (80 now) and start raiding/pvping for a while. I finished BT/SWP/MH before I quit and can honestly say this is the most boring game I've ever played.
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by Maarek Stele November 14, 2008 7:13 AM PST
You people have NO life.

WoW is a 3d social playground like the old NeverQuest. I'll stick UO or EVE Online. There, you can OWN structures rather than just the clothes on your back.
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by alanek2002 November 19, 2008 12:51 PM PST
it is too expensive. if it wasn't i would have it already. wow is great until you get to a level where there is nothing that gives much exp, and until you get past that it is boring. gamers FTW
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by toninoname April 29, 2009 6:08 AM PDT
We have roughly 4 days before May 2 to finish the Noble Garden Achievements. I?m following a guide on http://www.wrathking.com. Do check it out! It?s almost May 2nd. Happy hunting!
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About Geek Gestalt

Daniel Terdiman, uniquely positioned to take you into the middle of another side of technology, chronicles his explorations of the "fun beat," from cultural phenomena such as Burning Man to cutting-edge aircraft to game conventions.

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