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August 1, 2008 3:28 PM PDT

Report: Microsoft could release $200 Xbox this September

by Daniel Terdiman

Update (Monday, 2:43 PM): This story has been modified to reflect correspondence from Microsoft this morning.

If you can see past the extremely odd prose style of this Ars Technica piece Friday by Ben Kuchera, there's actually some potentially very interesting news there: Microsoft may be ready to truly reach out to the mass market with its Xbox 360.

According to Kuchera, Microsoft may well be readying a new round of price cuts for the Xbox 360.

(Credit: Microsoft)

Remember, just prior to E3, Microsoft lowered the price of the 20GB Xbox 360 from $349 to $299.

Now, writes Kuchera, courtesy of his source, "the mole," Microsoft is planning to roll out new pricing on the entire line of Xboxes. For a console with no hard drive, the price could be $199; for one with a 60GB hard drive, it could be $299; and the high-end model, known as the Elite, with a 160GB hard drive, could go for $399.

Microsoft said it does not comment on rumors.

If the report is true, however, Microsoft could be making an important move. According to many industry observers, the magic price point in video game machines is $200. Go below that, the theory goes, and you potentially open up your machine to the truly mass market.

Right now, the lowest-priced of the next-generation consoles is Nintendo's Wii, which runs $249. Sony's PlayStation 3 can be had for $399 for a model with a 40GB hard drive, and this fall it plans to introduce an 80GB model for that same $399 price.

If the Ars Technica report is true, then, Microsoft could be the first to break the magic $200 barrier and such a move could go a very long way to helping the company reach its declared commitment to winning the console wars.

If I hear from Microsoft with comment about this, dear readers, so will you.

Daniel Terdiman is a staff writer at CNET News covering games, Net culture, and everything in between. E-mail Daniel.
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) Showing 1 of 2 pages (49 Comments)
by SlimGem August 1, 2008 4:18 PM PDT
Apparently MicroSoft has decided they haven't lost enough money on the X Box.

Heck, quit screwing around and drop it to $50. Lose all those millions in one fell swoop to gain that market share MicroSoft.

It amazes me why the shareholders never complain about this. Maybe if they had sold the Zune for $19.99 from the get-go they could have put a dent in iPod sales. Naw.
Reply to this comment
by Vegaman_Dan August 1, 2008 6:13 PM PDT
Or it could be that people are ignorant. The price of the Xbox means nothing as Microsoft makes the real money on the licensing of the games. It's always been that way in the console market all the way back to the old Atari 2600.


It amazes me why people keep forgetting this.

by pdskep August 4, 2008 5:01 AM PDT
Why would they complain? The entertainment division of MS is making money.
by ejeon1989 August 4, 2008 7:36 AM PDT
What are you talking about? Microsoft's Entertainment and Gaming Division is the only sector of the company MAKING money, not losing.
by b_baggins August 4, 2008 9:05 AM PDT
They aren't making enough on their gaming division to recoup losses to date on Xbox. And the only reason they are making money at all is Halo 3.

The dirty little secret is, the only thing MS makes significant money on is Office and Windows. Without those two product lines, they'd be a tiny little software company.
by lawgone August 4, 2008 2:27 PM PDT
@b-baggins: Really? So if you take away their bread and butter comments they'd be small? That's pretty profound. That's like saying if you took away cameras from Nikon they'd just be a little lens maker. As for the cost to make an Xbox, you can't look at the old articles that came out at launch. They are making them for much cheaper now.
by totorototoro August 5, 2008 10:41 AM PDT
"What are you talking about? Microsoft's Entertainment and Gaming Division is the only sector of the company MAKING money, not losing."

Uh, wrong. Just go check the latest Q4 08 earnings report before posting this idiocy. Here ya go:
http://www.microsoft-watch.com/content/corporate/microsoft_q4_2008_by_the_numbers.html
by Kennethj2010 August 1, 2008 4:34 PM PDT
First off, technology is getting cheaper. Whatever this thing cost to make when it launched, I'll bet its dropped to almost half of that now. Now they can make the 360 with a bigger HDD for cheaper.

I think its a great move. At 300 now, thats a lot of money for a teen. If it were 200, I'd buy it. But I can't fork out 300 for something I'd play 3 times a week, I'd definitley put out the 200 for it.

If it hits 200, I'm buying one. Whether Microsoft makes or loses money over it is their problem, not mine.
Reply to this comment
by -fjtorres- August 1, 2008 7:06 PM PDT
For those that haven't been paying attention:
Microsoft has been making substantial amounts of money off the 360 for the past year+. As of *last* XMAS, MS was making $80 per console (read their quarterly SEC filings, folks!) and they have since lowered manufacturing costs some more via a die shrink for the GPU so a $100 cut on the low end model is not exactly impossible, albeit it would be a very aggressive move since it would put them at *Half* the PS3 price point. Factor in their remarkable attach rate of 7 games per console and a price cut could conceivably boost the division's profits even more.
As of now, the only division at MS that is *not* minting money by the hundreds of millions is the online search, which is why they were after Yahoo.
Reply to this comment
by totorototoro August 2, 2008 12:23 PM PDT
Uh, I read all their quarterly SEC filings, and follow their financial reports.
1) You claim they are making $80 per console? Wow, better let CFO Chris Liddell in on your insight:
http://www.123jump.com/earnings-calls/Microsoft/28643/21
"On the revenue side, we sold more Xboxes, so we had more COGS. That is good news. We do not make any money from those but overall in terms of long-term health of the business, the more consoles we sell, the better"

Feel free to link me (and other analysts) to the SEC filings that reveal actual BOM/component costs of the Xbox360 vs sales price, to where you got to $80/unit though. I'll send it to Liddell, he'll be happy and surprised to find out he was wrong about that.
by Kwasiowusu August 1, 2008 7:08 PM PDT
@ SlimGem, another Nintendo/Sony fan boy spews out chaff again.

1. The cost of the components used to make the 360 have fallen by over 60% since the 360 was launched nearly 3 years ago.
# 2. The new 360?s coming out this month are using the Jasper mother board, which has both a 65nm CPU, and 65nm GPU, which will further cut the cost of production of the 360, and make it run cooler and more efficiently.
# 3. With huge 1st party games like Fable II and Gears of War 2 coming up, Microsoft can afford to cut the price of the 360 now, and still make profits from the expected massive sales of Gears of war 2 alone( I expect that game to sell at least 4 million in America alone).
# 4. Microsoft E& D Division, which includs the XBOX 360, already made a decent profit in the just ended fiscal year.
Reply to this comment
by JCPayne August 1, 2008 7:30 PM PDT
It is possible that the cost would come down... For one Microsoft was one of the losers in the HD-DVD and Bluray disc wars...... Micro$oft heavily backed HD-DVD and the royally lost out having spent soo much in research and so on in integrating that now failed technology into the XBoxes... But now--- since the M$ backed HD-DVD standard has lost out they can drop that bit of technology from the XBox all together.... That should cheapen it a little...
Reply to this comment
by pdskep August 4, 2008 5:03 AM PDT
MS only backed HD-DVD in spirit. As far as I know they didn't spend a dime on it.
by wjsteele August 5, 2008 3:15 AM PDT
Microsoft didn't "heavily" back HD-DVD. They repackaged someone elses HD-DVD drive in a small enclosure and sold it as an external drive. There was nothing inside the XBox that needed to change to support it because it was a simple USB device. They were using it as a stop gap measure. Now, that the war is over, they are concentrating on high speed delivery of movies instead, a la Netflix.
by nopinktoday August 1, 2008 7:42 PM PDT
Well, how much would the 20GB cost?

On topic: Don't know what to say. Microsoft may be heading somewhere positive. Since the contents to make the 360 are cheaper now, I guess lowering price would be a good idea and might become the new cheapest game console on the market (Bad for Nintendo?).
Reply to this comment
by JasonCe August 1, 2008 8:54 PM PDT
JCPayne, why are you always posting incorrect information about Microsoft on CNET? Are you a Linux fanboy? We had enough. Like it or not, your "micro$oft" kicks your ass.

As for the fallacies in your latest post, Microsoft was not "heavily backing" HD-DVD. It did not have "lost soo much research". What research are you talking about? and Microsoft never "integrated that now failed technology into the XBoxes". Everybody knows that the HD-DVD drive was an external USB device manufactured by 3rd party.

But please, do not let facts interfere with your Microsoft hatred.
Reply to this comment
by totorototoro August 2, 2008 9:08 PM PDT
"Everybody knows that the HD-DVD drive was an external USB device manufactured by 3rd party."
The HD-DVD was branded and released by Microsoft as a Microsoft product.
http://www.xbox.com/en-US/hardware/x/xbox360hddvdplayer/
"Microsoft has discontinued production of HD DVD players."

If you are going to blast someone about "facts", make sure of your own first :p
by ender21 August 4, 2008 6:45 AM PDT
Toto, that doesn't mean it was "manufactured" by MS. My Directv box is "branded" and "released" by Directv, but was manufactured by any one of a number of CE companies.
by Starfires August 1, 2008 9:00 PM PDT
A lower price would make a huge difference- there are still millions on the fence with this generation and that could make it an 'impulse buy' rather than something to save for. After all, if game sales are high, then they can make a lot back on that. With big games coming out, including exclusive titles, they could make a lot of progress. I actually think 200 is what a console 'should' cost and that only then will they start to become ubiquitous.
Reply to this comment
by loserguy3000 August 1, 2008 10:57 PM PDT
Actually to the poster who (smugly) derided the user on his misinformation about the HD-DVD add-on device for the Xbox 360...sorry pal, but you're incorrect as well. Microsoft was in fact a major backer of the format, for financial and copyright usage reasons. Toshiba (the format's papa) relied heavily on Microsoft's propriety codecs to encode and license content for the failed format.

Also, its incorrect that the device was a third-party unit, as it was manufactured and marketed by Microsoft themselves. Microsoft was also clearly vocal in the superiority of the format, which for all intents and purposes was a blanket to help draw potential users away from Sony and their Blu-ray. There has even been some speculation that Microsoft didn't really care for either format becoming dominance, as their master plan was to push downloadable content.

But anyway, its not nice to snipe others when - to prove your point - you fill up your post with assumptions and incorrect information. But alas, that's what fanboys do...*sigh*
Reply to this comment
by JasonCe August 1, 2008 11:25 PM PDT
As you have also stated, the only reason Microsoft wanted HD-DVD to win was to scare people away from Sony who might be the biggest competitor to Microsoft in the battle for the living room. Yes, Microsoft never cared about which format would win, which is why it is wrong to say that "microsoft heavily backed the format".

As for the external drive, I never said it wasn't marketed by Microsoft. I said it was "an external USB device manufactured by 3rd party", which is correct. I was merely pointing to the very fact that it wasn't an internal drive, because Microsoft never believed that a new disc format was the way to go. Hence the Netflix announcement... I think they are right.

So you are basically repeating what I have said, just from a different point of view, yet you claim you know better.

As for being a fanboy, believe me, you could not be more wrong...
by -fjtorres- August 2, 2008 5:23 AM PDT
Uh, dude: yes, HD-DVD relied on MS codecs...
...but so does BD...
(Both formats use the exact same set of codecs; Mpeg 1 and 2, VC1, and H.264.)
As of now the majority of BD movies are encoded with VC1 simply because the mastering software is more mature than h.264.
MS started out neutral in the blue laser format wars, just like Intel; they only turned to HD-DVD when Fox, Sony, and Disney mandated a second layer of consumer-hostile DRM (BD+).
Their investment was minimal; the codec was pre-existent, the player firmware was Windows CE, and the HD-I interactivity App is slated for use in their XBOX Live movie rentals and available for other movie download sites.
And all this has absolutely nothing to do with 360 manufacturing costs, which are primarily tied to the 3 custom chips that make the box work.
by mattumanu August 2, 2008 5:38 AM PDT
I guess that means it will be cheaper to replace now when your old one goes belly up.
Reply to this comment
by Kwasiowusu August 2, 2008 1:11 PM PDT
Actually, the rrod problem has been fixed since last year when the Falcon XBOX 360's were introduced. Not to mention, Microsoft put in a massive 3 year warranty for rrod problems long ago.
Want to try again?
by zaznet August 4, 2008 9:20 AM PDT
It is cheap to replace when your uni dies. You send it in for warranty replacement. I have experienced this and the unit was back within 2 weeks from placing the phone call to Microsoft. Horror stories abound from launch week, but today it isn't as hard to get the unit replaced.
by dustinmj27 August 2, 2008 6:14 AM PDT
Its all its worth.
I mean how many people have had to send there console in 1 2 3 times to be repaired, i have. I received it back from microsoft after a repair and it had a different error on it.
So 200 is about right for any model of it because you probably wont get to play it much. I dont understand how they can claim to be winning when THERE PRODUCT IS BUILT SO TERRIBLE! BE SMART, DONT WASTE MONEY, GET A PS3 OR WII. I was a xbox die hard fan...........No More!!!!!!!!!!
Reply to this comment
by Kwasiowusu August 2, 2008 1:18 PM PDT
@ dustinmj27,
# 1. The rrod problem was fixed last year wwhen the falcon XBOX 360's started coming out. Falcon 360's ae every bit as reliuable, if not more relaible than the Wii's and PS3's.
# 2. Even if you bought an older XBOX 360 which and had an rrod problem, Microsoft has given an unprecedented 3 year warranty for all rrod problems. That is more than Nintendo or Sony has ever given in their entire lives.
# 3. The Wii is a low powered, 2001 technology piece of crap, with a proponbderence of shovelwaregames, kiddie games, crap graphics, and some of teh wors gamnes ever released on any console. Unless you are planning on soending your time playing mindless games, give the Wii a miss.
by danielgrant612 August 6, 2008 1:10 PM PDT
the newer xbox 360's don't break as easily as the older ones did
by sda3 August 2, 2008 6:48 AM PDT
The xbox 360 is coming up on 3 years since release. It is about time you call these consoles THIS-GEN. They are not Next-gen, not even close. They are here and now, not what is coming next.
Reply to this comment
by ognen93 August 2, 2008 7:03 AM PDT
If they continue cutting down the xbox, maybe someday I might even afford it :)
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by timmeroo August 2, 2008 7:44 AM PDT
I find it odd no one has mentioned putting a Blu-ray drive in the Elite this holiday season. If they did that AND added Wi-fi support, that would actually make the Elite the most attractive in my view. If they're making money on the current consoles, that would be a pretty smart move (that and find a way for me to play MGS4 and GOW III on the Xbox.....)
Reply to this comment
by Kwasiowusu August 2, 2008 1:26 PM PDT
A Blue-ray XBOX 360 makes lots of sense to me. However, the guys who are running the XBOX business have decided to let ideaology and their own huris, take perecedence over common sense, and are instead putting all their eggs into the "download movies over tghe internet" business model, by selling out to Nteflix.
what puzzles me is, if Microsoft wanted to let people download movies online, why the heck couldn't they simply massively increase the # of movies theyt had on the Live movie download service to say over 10,000? instead of handing out the keys to that business to Netfilx, which is non-exclusive, with Netwflix having just signed a contract with LG to put Netflix on LG's Blue ray drive? Seems to guys running the XBOX business are not thinking striaght here, and they are full of arriogance and hubris.
by tech_junky48 August 2, 2008 8:52 PM PDT
Ok...

So that would make them pay Sony and lose money to have a system that is comparable to the PS3. They don't want to do that.

Besides which, BD wouldn't add much in that all of the games still have to be in DVD. It would just let you watch movies, which it already does via downloads.
by tech_junky48 August 2, 2008 9:02 PM PDT
@ Kwasiowusu

All of the game companies are like that. They are all proud and refuse to yield from that. Everyone knows Sony is, you just showed MS is, and if you think Nintendo isn't, take a look at e3.
by OSXRadio August 2, 2008 7:54 AM PDT
Amazing. I'm glad I still didn't purchase one. After my first paycheck from my summer job, I considered getting a MacBook, or a 360 and a Wii. Glad I got the MacBook instead =] And now for the 360 at such an incredible price!
Reply to this comment
by timmeroo August 2, 2008 8:00 AM PDT
FYI, I'd advise keeping wine glasses away from MacBooks...my girlfriend's Mom spilled a glass of wine on the keyboard with = dead motherboard AND hard drive. Pretty painful to lose the data and laptop.
Reply to this comment
by brass2themax August 2, 2008 4:38 PM PDT
Well, you get what you pay for, quality speaks in terms of price.
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by tech_junky48 August 2, 2008 8:59 PM PDT
I don't know. $200 sounds appealing, but in order to even come close to the new 80GB "core" PS3 (in my eyes, neither supports my PS2 games, so those with previous xbox games may have a different opinion) you need to pay $300. That is $100 cheaper, but you're losing 20GB, wifi, universal hard drive support, bluetooth, and, of course, Blu-Ray. Is it really worth it?
Reply to this comment
by robvme August 2, 2008 9:59 PM PDT
HD DVD is a moot point. And by the way, it was manufactured by Toshiba, developed by Toshiba, and lead by Toshiba. Microsoft was part of a consortia for the format. Of course it backed the fomat in order to oppose Sony and its consortia of Blu-ray backers long enough to make it irrelevant.

Discs don't matter anymore, or won't very soon. Besides, most people that buy a game console aren't buying it to watch movies. I think you will see in the very near future that Blu-ray will be replaced by IP movie distribution over the cloud. Microsoft is already experimenting with that with ATT with Uverse and Netflix in a very limited way. And even without IPTV you can probably count on other media technologies to compete with what is out there. Blu-ray adoption is dismal right now.

But I digress, I am glad the pricepoint may be coming down again. I just hope that Microsoft keeps up with Xbox Live expansion to make sure it remains as good as it is now.
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by Zanny_Blowzsteve August 2, 2008 10:29 PM PDT
JC Payne needs to get a clue, The HD-TV player was an add-on.
MSFT merely provided a player and made money on the sale of each one.
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