December 8, 2008 1:19 PM PST

Apple branching out in 2009?

by Tom Krazit
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Axiotron has a Mac tablet already, could Apple be planning to join them?

(Credit: Axiotron)

Familiar Apple rumors are making the rounds again this week as Macworld looms in the distance, one month away.

Trip Chowdhry of Global Equities Research put out a research note Monday morning spotted by D: All Things Digital saying that Apple plans to release something from "a completely new device category" next year. He fails to explain exactly what such a product might encompass, but speculates that it will be based around a processor designed by the former P.A. Semi engineering team.

As a result, the usual rumors (Mac tablet, iPhone Nano, iKindle) are under discussion within the Mac universe. Chowdhry believes that Apple patent filings will be released early in 2009 that will make everything clear, and also notes that P.A. Semi should have an iPhone chip out around that time that improves performance and battery life.

Earlier this year CEO Steve Jobs implied Apple was watching small-device categories like tablets and Netbooks to see if they actually take off as a mega-trend, but in the meantime the company had other priorities. Mac tablet rumors stretch back for years, and in the past Jobs has quickly shot down talk of an Apple-produced competitor to Amazon's Kindle, which has been interpreted as a sign Apple was doing just that.

Tom Krazit writes about the ever-expanding world of Internet search, including Google, Yahoo, online advertising, and portals, as well as the evolution of mobile computing. He has written about traditional PC companies, chip manufacturers, and mobile computers, spending the last three years covering Apple. E-mail Tom.
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by Mr. Dee December 8, 2008 1:53 PM PST
Its not gonna happen, now go back to your daily computing.
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by Orion Blastar December 8, 2008 2:05 PM PST
Revenge of the Apple Pippin!
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by Renegade Knight December 8, 2008 2:13 PM PST
Morph the Apple TV into an Apple Game Console with Apple TV functions? If I recall Apple has content...
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by phineasfogg December 8, 2008 2:21 PM PST
Uuuuuuuuu!!!! Marrying the iPhone/iPod Touch accelerometer game controller with the Apple TV as a game and overall media console complete with Blu-Ray and HD video recording/playback.
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by random truth December 9, 2008 5:35 AM PST
And then they can use some of the 25 billion they have in the bank to buy game company's like bungie studios or whoever makes call of duty per se.
by Benlofton December 8, 2008 2:22 PM PST
I highly doubt it. but I guess the future can only tell.
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by aka_tripleB December 8, 2008 2:31 PM PST
Apple doesn't stand much of a chance in the ebook arena. It currently doesn't have any ties with publishers. Sure, it has ties with an ebook distributor, but even Sony has arrangements with publishers themselves. And I don't see Apple trying to get deals with publishers.
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by Hep Cat December 8, 2008 2:33 PM PST
There have been more Apple tablet designs built and tested already than you could shake a stick at.

They didn't measure up, so they weren't introduced.
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by mel_inc December 8, 2008 2:40 PM PST
an Apple all-in-one game & entertainment console would be nice ...
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by open-mind December 8, 2008 2:46 PM PST
One opportunity I see for Apple is in the area of HDTV based home theater. It has become a hodge-podge of confusing/competing terminology, interfaces, specifications, and standards. It can be very confusing to those upgrading from the world of old-school TV. Seems like there's an opportunity for Apple to apply some of their ease-of-use magic, much like they have already done in the world of PCs, music players, and smart phones. But I have no idea what that product could/should be. I have heard rumors of an Apple HDTV, but I'm not sure that makes sense ... very competitive and cut-throat market.
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by ca5ter December 8, 2008 3:15 PM PST
I could see an Apple HDTV capture market share, if it interfaced with the rest of your home systems (desktop, laptop, iphone, ipod), and you could stream music, video, and allow you to check the internet. I know they have tried this with the Apple TV box, but consumers don't want another box around the TV. They want less boxes and one remote that does everything. But, I'm leery of the price. Apple products are usually higher in price, especially monitors.
by amigosito December 8, 2008 11:46 PM PST
I agree, I would love to see AppleTV revamped as a more iMac-esque device (ie integrated display) but with release of new Apple display recently, that move seems unlikely.
by sanenazok December 9, 2008 7:54 AM PST
That's a great idea especially since everyone replaces TV's every 2-3 years or the 18 month lifecycle of Apple OS's. Since when is a TV hard to use? There may be many options for connectivity...but don't confuse having to plug in cables for complexity. The reason why your TV has 6 sets of inputs is to make this easier not more complicated.
by ashwinkn December 9, 2008 11:59 AM PST
@sanenzok
Most people don't replace TV's every 2-3 years. More like every 5 years. Otherwise, HDTV penetration would be far higher than 25%. Just FYI
by dozx December 10, 2008 9:15 PM PST
The current Apple TV is already HD capable, and is already providing HD movie content through rentals on iTunes and HD purchases of TV episodes, and it is all very easy as is. I don't know what product you are looking for them to make that doesn't already exists in the form of the current Apple TV. The only thing I can see Apple doing in the HD TV area is an update that will include HD movie purchases in addition to the rentals and maybe a bump up to 1080p resolution, which is all possible with the current Apple TV Hardware. The biggest factor preventing these upgrades is bandwidth, most peoples connections are to slow to download a 1080p resolution movie in a reasonable amount of time. With higher levels of bandwidth on the way in the form of services like Fios from Verizon it maybe more feasible in the near future.
by contentcreator--2008 December 8, 2008 2:52 PM PST
They are already spreading their OS X platform development thin with the iPhone, so adding yet another major software engineering direction (which a gaming console would be) would seem problematic. So this sounds more marketing-new than really-new --- something that is fixed function with limited software demands. An eBook might qualify, could tie into the iTunes store.
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by Penguinisto December 8, 2008 5:00 PM PST
Not so sure - Linux runs on everything from embedded handheld and set-top devices up to mainframes and HTC clusters - no sweat. I don't see why OSX' BSD core couldn't show the same flexibility.
by contentcreator--2008 December 8, 2008 6:38 PM PST
Sure it'll run, that isn't the point. You can make the same argument for Windows, that's the X-box.

But a gaming platform has to have systematized support for a whole lot of stuff, perform really, support 3rd-party developers in a compartmentalized way that you can lock down. [Apple doesn't own the means to better graphics performance, they'd have to go through ATI or NVidia for tech also available to everyone. They'd have to spend more for better performance; a lot of that money suffers diminishing returns --- more money for performance players might not see.]

Otherwise, you're just giving people a general OS X on a small cheap box, which is pretty much 180deg from where Apple lives. (Game hardware is subsidized by the manufacturer in return for a piece of the software revenue, so Apple would have to protect that model.) Unless there is a whole lot of work, you're basically talking about a console equivalent to a Mac Mini running games, and the mini is neither cheap nor a great game platform. It's not like Apple *couldn't* do it, but it would take them quite a bit of time and energy.

By contrast, an ebook would be a lot simpler and less demanding extension of OS X/iphone software and you'd need only one proprietary file format and no 3rd party developers -- maybe as little as a PDF converter. Sounds more like Apple's cup of tea. You could add phone/wifi/netbook capabilities as time and price permit.
by Penguinisto December 9, 2008 10:16 AM PST
Depends, really. I personally don't see Apple doing it because of a lot of other factors, but technical ability is not one of them - especially in Graphics (and esp. so with Core Graphics). They have no need to go through any third-party vendor any more or less than MSFT does with xbox, or Sony does with PS3.

You also forget (or may not even know): OSX - even Leopard as it is right now - runs perfectly fine on PPC/"Power" processors (which the G5 Macs and xboxes (or PS3's? I forget) use, and a console with a few Power6 cores packed in it would be no problem at all for OSX.

IMHO, why the hardware subsidy arguments? They were the same arguments that were used (and failed) against the iPhone when it first came out. The iPhone still made massive profits when it first came out anyway.
by contentcreator--2008 December 10, 2008 7:04 AM PST
Apple would need ATI/NVidia for the graphics *chips* --- even if Apple had a custom version it would still be a variant on existing designs that are generally available, not a clean-slate design. The point is that there wouldn't be large advantages in performance over other game platforms without a corresponding engineering investment --- hence the spreading thin argument.

Not sure what your PPC point is. And yeah I still have one. Ugliest assembly language I've ever seen.

The cost is important because the game console and iphone audiences are very different. My condensed version is that the iphone market is middle aged adults who want a pricey and cool status symbol, whereas the game market is driven primarily by teenage and 20+ young men who have many fewer $$$ to blow. If a game console was twice the price as the alternatives, I think it would be widely ignored. It would need truly spectacular must-have 3rd party games, without much Apple engineering time to help produce that, and I don't see the game developers committing $50mil or whatever for a high-priced console with zero presence in the market.
by daridenus December 10, 2008 10:16 AM PST
Agree. It looks like they are already viewing iPhone/iPod Touch as the gaming console / platform. Why add another device? Unless it could have similar physical specs (size, etc) like iPod Touch but have more memory and faster processor (although one on iPod Touch is already very good). Than again this would just be a Pro version of iPod Touch.
by bdaughtry December 8, 2008 3:26 PM PST
Apple has tons of cash.....and no debt. The iPod and iPhone success has only fueled investor demand for even more success. Apple has no choice but to look to products where it could have similar possibilities. I'd expect nothing short of a major product announcement from Steve Jobs, et all.
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by Ken_Carpenter December 8, 2008 3:30 PM PST
1) Apple buys Flip Video (Pure Digital Technologies), and incorporates Flip MinoHD into iPhone -- calling it iPhoneHD, or Super iPhone.

2) Apple taps into $28 billion cash reserve and buys Yahoo.
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by myles taylor December 9, 2008 7:04 AM PST
I thought it was 25 billion. I know it just seems like more big numbers at this point, but 3 billion is a lot, at least to me. :P
by sevort December 10, 2008 10:02 AM PST
Nobody needs Yahoo. It will be dead within 2 years. Apple ain't stupid.
by Penguinisto December 8, 2008 4:59 PM PST
Tablets? Nah... the Tablet market is niche at best, and hasn't sold enough to justify the hype for years.

A home media center? Makes sense, but that's not really a "completely new device category" for them.

A gaming console? No frickin' way there... the industry is too cutthroat, has very well-defined leaders (read: Nintendo), and after seeing Microsoft sink billions into the xbox for 8-9 years now without coming close to recouping their spend? That would be an idiotic move on Apple's part if they did... and I suspect they know that.

How about televisions? It's a lively market, but the margins are dropping like a rock and Sony, Sharp, Samsung... they're pretty evil competition. (OTOH, Apple monitors --albeit subcontracted-- are incredible to view things on).

Maybe Netbooks? That would be damned cool (And would tie in the PA Semi thingy very nicely). OTOH, that doesn't quite count as a whole new device category for them, do it? They already make and sell a 13" laptop, which is close --almost enough-- in performance and efficiency to count.

Meh - maybe in-car nav/control systems?

/P
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by JimBo0172 December 9, 2008 6:23 AM PST
I think you have something with an in-car computer, maybe something to compete with Microsoft's system, fully integrated w/ iphone / ipod.
by D3vildog699 December 9, 2008 7:44 AM PST
Xbox sold more units than PS3 on black friday.. and have more exclusive titles than sony or nintendo.

PS3 lost a huge exclusive title (FInal Fantasy) to the Xbox as well... I fail to see your point here since xbox live still out ranks any online system for the consoles.... How about the fact that Nintendo WII isn't trying to compete in the same market as xbox or ps3 which are next gen systems, and the Wii is not?

Stop trying to find a way to hit Microsoft on everything you post about.

AS for the rest of your post... i like it. :)
by Penguinisto December 9, 2008 10:06 AM PST
@D3vildog: It matters not in xbox vs. PS3 - the Wii ground them both into the dust, making it the clear and undisputed winner of this console generation by at least a mile. The last gen saw the PS2 as the winner. The one before had Nintendo owning it. Before that... well, we can go all the way back to Atari vs. Intellivision if you'd like.

The next gen? Dunno... but it won't be Apple. The three big console makers are duking it out hard already, and of them, only Sony and Nintendo have so far managed to turn enough profit from their products to recoup their investments - because they've been doing this for a very long time now. MSFT has yet to break even overall, and Apple would have an even harder time doing so as the new kid on that block. This isn't a snipe at MSFT at all, but instead is a factual and cautionary tale for anyone wanting to break into the biz like MSFT did, which is the same angle Apple (or any other computer-centric corp) would most likely be approaching it from.

OTOH, if Apple launched a game console that didn't require a monstrously expensive lock-in SDK/license like the big three do now... they might have game devs lining up at their door. But... I don't really see that happening offhand. You never know (and neither do I), but that's the one and only crack I see in the otherwise impenetrable armor that is the console industry: Make it cheap enough so that anyone can get a piece of it, and suddenly you're not stuck with endless sequels and formulaic crap that passes for most games now (with few exceptions, naturally).
by TheStairMaster December 9, 2008 2:26 PM PST
@peng

The reason the Wii has moved an immense amount of units is because of the a) very small learning curve b) impulse-buy price point and c) iconic first-party games. All these contribute to the fact that a Wii has categorized itself as a toy, which has been corroborated by the huge amount of shovelware available for the system.

The PS3 and 360 compete for the gamer's market, the Wii picks up EVERYONE else.

besides that, i agree =D
by Penguinisto December 9, 2008 4:17 PM PST
...but that's the thing, isn't it?

It is a game console, and it is top dog in the game console market. Anything else reduces to a "No True Scotsman" type of argument, since you can never objectively define 'real' gamers, and trying to redefine what a "gamer" is will open a Pandora's box of reduction. Why? Because someone else could easily cut out console gamers altogether and restrict the definition to PC-based games as -the- definition (a group which is originally what the term was used to define - to differentiate between folks who tweaked and modified their PC's to play games, vs. folks who simply bought a console, plugged it into their television, and played on that).

I know what you're feeling and all, but seriously - there is no diff here -the Wii owns the market.
by D3vildog699 December 10, 2008 8:05 AM PST
Sorry, been gone for a bit.


Peng...

True but EVERY Wii owner i have ever met, and for some reasons the Marines in the barracks liked them, get bored with them fast and wished they had bout xbox or ps3.

fun for a while and make interesting drinking games. in the end its just that its cheaper, and easier to learn. It is not even in the same range as the other two systems. Nintendo has said it themselves that they no longer care about gaming in a traditional sense, they want to work on a different experience. If you want REAL gaming, you get an xbox or PS3 ( i would rather have a PS3, as you can do more with the HDD that you cant with the xbox.
by D3vildog699 December 10, 2008 8:09 AM PST
Sorry, been gone for a bit.


Peng...

True but EVERY Wii owner i have ever met, and for some reasons the Marines in the barracks liked them, get bored with them fast and wished they had bout xbox or ps3.

fun for a while and make interesting drinking games. in the end its just that its cheaper, and easier to learn. It is not even in the same range as the other two systems. Nintendo has said it themselves that they no longer care about gaming in a traditional sense, they want to work on a different experience. If you want REAL gaming, you get an xbox or PS3 ( i would rather have a PS3, as you can do more with the HDD that you cant with the xbox.

And if you think the PS2 beat the Xbox for the last gen you are severely wrong... Halo blew away all of the PS2's top titles. including San Andreas.

Where are your statistics for this, cause id love to see them. Did you know the xbox has a 3 year warranty? Whats wrong with backing your product?

How about the fact that Nintendo is FAMOUS in the console market for creating shortages of their own products to make it look like it is selling better than what it actually is...
by Dalkorian December 10, 2008 8:46 AM PST
D3vildog699, will you please stop prostituting for M$. Your point was understood, but now it's just getting nauseating.
by kaizanne December 8, 2008 6:16 PM PST
my guess would be gaming console in the like of Microsoft XBox 360, PS3 or Nintendo Wii...
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by JadedGamer December 14, 2008 10:40 AM PST
What, Apple haven't bothered with standard gaming APIs for Mac OS X (they have OpenGL for Direct3D but lack equivalents for other DirectX APIs) and seem to hold their nose when someone launches an iPod or iPhone game...

Apple's forays into gaming consoles will probably remain the failed Pippin and be limited to providing tech to others, e.g. Nintendo GameCube which was mostly a modified Apple Cube.
by StargateFan December 8, 2008 6:31 PM PST
For the last time, Steve Jobs for years has confirmed over and over again that Apple has no interest in developing and producing a Mac Tablet. This announcement has been reiterated numerous times despite the production of the Axiotron ModBooks, so we really need to stop using that device as a viable excuse for the production of an Apple Tablet. Steve Jobs and Apple respectively do not have any interest in tablet technology. So please for crying out loud, every time the rumor mill starts churning out rumors stop mentioning the Tablet Mac.
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by myles taylor December 9, 2008 7:06 AM PST
Not to invalidate your points, because I happen to agree with you, but Steve Jobs says a lot of things. He said they weren't going to make a phone, that hell would freeze over before he made a program for Windows, and lots of other stuff. Things change.

However, I do agree that I don't think they will be releasing a tablet.
by gmcbay December 8, 2008 7:08 PM PST
I think what they are working on will look like a tablet, but they won't call it that, they'll call it a Multitouch Pad or something. While Apple has historically been lukewarm to the idea of a tablet (and with good reason), I think you have to reframe their current plans based on the fact that they can now create something that isn't like your typical PC tablet with its tablet pen and chintzy/grainy digitizing screen, but rather a larger notepad sized iPhone-alike, or looking at it from the other direction, a miniture version of the multitouch screens that are all the rage at CNN and other places these days. They won't call it a tablet, and it won't really be that much like a traditional PC tablet, but my money is on a device that looks and quacks like a tablet, just with a fancy no-pen multitouch surface.
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by mayadanteamihan December 8, 2008 8:04 PM PST
All-in-one, but bigger than the iPhone and smaller than the Macbook Air. ;)
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by krb5kdc December 8, 2008 9:15 PM PST
apple's retail stores are the success of the century

clothing retailers are failing

apple will branch out into clothing with all their cash

they already make socks for ipods, will make socks for people

jobs will model unisex clothing line at macworld keynote: socks, black turtleneck, blue jeans

early 2009 patents will be for unique pockets on clothing to hold apple devices, remotes, apple cash
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by Dalkorian December 10, 2008 8:49 AM PST
LOL - bah, no it will be fembots. Lesbian ninja fembots, running OS XXX.
:-D
by ikramerica--2008 December 8, 2008 10:08 PM PST
Home automation. The current complexity and cost to do this sort of thing makes it a prime candidate for Apple. They could bring a more customer friendly experience, user interface, and setup procedure than any of the "do it yourself" products out there, and a much less expensive alternative to the higher end products that require professional programming and upkeep.

For 75 years we have been promised a push button automated home, and yet it's not materialized for the masses yet. Gates has a ridiculously complex system in his home, but never moved Microsoft in that direction, instead allowing a bunch of over-priced, half-assed companies to keep it a niche.

Maybe Mr. Mobbs and the folks at Mapple will change that.

It'll all start with a remote control, based on the next gen iPod Touch?
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by sanenazok December 9, 2008 8:28 AM PST
Why do you need this...light switches too hard? Pulling curtains too complicated? There are few products on the market since the demand for this is so low.
by ikramerica--2008 December 10, 2008 7:49 AM PST
Why do you need an iPod? Carrying around CDs too heavy? CD players too hard to operate? Radio stations gone off the air?

Why do you need a computer? Typewriters too difficult to master? Slide rule broken?

Why do you need a universal remote control? 7 other remote controls too hard to use? Not enough space on your coffee table?

There's a reason URs have been around for 20 years or so and everyone buys them. Because people are begging for simplification in their lives. Yet these products often fail to deliver. They require too much user input, are flaky, require sacrifices in control, etc.

So we have some pseudo user friendly products in the mix, like harmony remotes, slingbox and catcher, or TiVos linked to each other for media sharing, or insteon devices for lights. But they all remain limited, isolated solutions, yet too complex. And then there's the AMX and Crestron and such, which are full featured, super expensive, and require professional maintenance.

But home automation is not just about drapes, my friend, but much more. Lighting IS a big thing. If you've ever had a system, you'd get that. But it's also about climate control (keeping you comfortable and saving you lots of money), security, and integrating your ENTERTAINMENT throughout the whole house. Most people get the home automation systems so they can do those things.

Controlling the drapes is not a priority. Expensive as all get out.

If there is a way to bring this product to 1% of the population, there is value. It's been enough to keep Apple computers in development. I think 1 in 100 people would be interested myself, if the products were easy to use and set up and maintain.
by mergetest December 8, 2008 10:13 PM PST
Test post
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by daridenus December 10, 2008 10:12 AM PST
Also there is no reason for apple to launch a competing device to kindle.

Things are beginning to get wild and woolly in the eBook reading area of the iPhone. Plenty of applications on iphone that make reading a better experience that kindle. Good example is classics - http://classicsapp.com/
That think is awesome!!
by JadedGamer December 14, 2008 10:47 AM PST
Yeah, I am an old eReader user (started on my trusty old Palm Vx back in 2000) and their iPhone/Touch app is great. You can download books off your account's "bookshelf", though you have to visit the site in a browser to buy more...
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