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September 24, 2008 4:15 AM PDT

Online critics take aim at $700 billion financial bailout proposal

by Declan McCullagh
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Bailout type Cost to taxpayers (Source: Reuters)
Proposed Treasury Department legislation $700 billion+
Bear Stearns financing $29 billion
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac nationalization $200 billion
AIG loan and nationalization $85 billion
Federal Housing Administration housing rescue bill $300 billion
Mortgage community grants $4 billion
JPMorgan Chase repayments $87 billion
Loans to banks via Fed's Term Auction Facility $200 billion+
Loans from Depression-era Exchange Stabilization Fund $50 billion
Purchases of mortgage securities by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac $144 billion
TOTAL $1.8 trillion+
COST PER HOUSEHOLD $17,064+

Internet criticism of the Bush administration's proposed $700 billion financial bailout package is growing, with skepticism crossing normal ideological boundaries.

On Tuesday, the conservative RedState.com pointed out that the Republican Party 2008 platform, adopted just weeks earlier, says "we do not support government bailouts of private institutions." An article on the liberal site DailyKos.com said there was "deep skepticism" toward the Mother of All Bailouts. Paleo-conservative doyen Pat Buchanan called the plan's backers "foolish and incompetent financiers and politicians," while a Huffington Post contributor said that the Bush administration "put a gun to the head of Congress."

Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, who presciently warned five years ago that taxpayers would be "forced to bail out investors, wrote an article for CNN.com saying that the bailout will create "even greater instability in the financial system in the long term." The libertarians at LewRockwell.com showered their readers with a deluge of posts, including ones titled "The Mugging of America" and "The Rescue Scam."

Mostly absent have been enthusiastic endorsements of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's three-page bailout bill that was submitted to Congress. The conservative Heritage Foundation said that "incompetent executives" needed to lose their multimillion-dollar severance packages, a requirement not in the Paulson plan, and a senior fellow at the Cato Institute offered a cautious defense with this tepid conclusion: "Something good may yet come out of all this."

For his part, Paulson has painted a nearly apocalyptic scenario of what could happen were the taxpayer-funded bailout not approved. His testimony before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday said that bad loans have already created deep financial uncertainty, and "if that situation were to persist, it would threaten all parts of our economy."

The online skepticism--or, in some cases, outright condemnation--seems to be mirrored on Capitol Hill.

"I don't think a single call to my office on this proposal has been positive," Sen. Sherrod Brown, an Ohio Democrat, said at the Senate hearing on Tuesday. Sen. Richard Shelby, an Alabama Republican, suggested that Congress consider "some alternatives." Politico.com reported that Vice President Dick Cheney's attempts to persuade House Republicans to support the measure failed miserably--an intra-party revolt unusual during the Bush presidency.

It also may be a matter of no longer trusting the Bush administration's figures. In 2003, the administration offered reassuring estimates that the cost of Iraq reconstruction would be as low as $1.7 billion; the supposedly nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office put it at $50 billion to $100 billion. Now, as we know, the true price tag to taxpayers has been closer to $3 trillion, with an extra $12.5 billion being spent every month.

Rep. Jose Serrano, D-N.Y., posted a list of questions on his Web site saying: "When President Bush tells us we must pass the bill exactly as he proposed it right away or face a catastrophic event, why do I feel like I'm voting on whether to go into Iraq all over again, and worry that the results will be similarly bad?"

Other comparisons drew parallels to other bills that the Bush administration pressured Congress to enact with minimal debate. New York Times columnist Andrew Ross Sorkin offered this line: "It is the financial equivalent of the Patriot Act."

As McCullagh's Law would predict, the situation involving the Patriot Act in 2001 also involved heavy pressure brought on politicians to approve a bill in a time of apparent crisis, with minimal time to prepare. Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., said during the debate seven years ago: "What we have today is an outrageous procedure: A bill, drafted by a handful of people in secret, comes to us without a committee review and immune to amendment." (More recently, Frank is the politician most responsible for blocking efforts to reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, leading to the recent $200 billion bailout.)

This week's political response to the latter part of the boom-and-bust cycle is mostly predictable, at least in broad outline. When a central bank such as the Federal Reserve expands the money supply too quickly, it can create a temporary boom fueled by unsustainable borrowing and so-called "malinvestments" that would not have taken place otherwise. Today, real estate has become the very definition of a malinvestment.

The subsequent bust and recession, according to this view, is necessary to return the economy to something approaching normal.

F.A. Hayek, the late Nobel laureate, wrote something over half a century ago that remains eerily relevant: "Instead of furthering the inevitable liquidation of the maladjustments brought about by the boom during the last three years, all conceivable means have been used to prevent that readjustment from taking place; and one of these means, which has been repeatedly tried though without success, from the earliest to the most recent stages of depression, has been this deliberate policy of credit expansion... To combat the depression by a forced credit expansion is to attempt to cure the evil by the very means which brought it about..."

Translated: The housing boom (and subsequent bust) were caused by overmuch government credit expansion and meddling in the U.S. financial system. Continuing along that path will only make a bad situation worse.

Declan McCullagh, CNET News' chief political correspondent, chronicles the intersection of politics and technology. He has covered politics, technology, and Washington, D.C., for more than a decade, which has turned him into an iconoclast and a skeptic of anyone who says, "We oughta have a new federal law against this." E-mail Declan.
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) Showing 1 of 2 pages (30 Comments)
by MrFACT September 24, 2008 5:20 AM PDT
Declan,
Remember: You REAP what you SOW...!!!
8 Years of DEMOCRATS - PEACE & PROSPERITY
8 Years of REPUBLICANS - WAR & MISERY
You SOW McPAIN, we shall REAP PAIN!
Reply to this comment
by tbias September 24, 2008 7:46 AM PDT
Please...enough of blaming someone else...one person ...we have had a democratic congress that promised pie in the sky...and solutions to every problem...and they have done nothing...zero...nada...
by consultpeter September 24, 2008 7:49 AM PDT
Republicans controlled Congress- Peace and Prosperity
The economy did pretty well after the tech bubble burst and the shock of 9/11. But it all starting falling apart after 2006, when something CHANGED, oh yeah, the DEMOCRATS controlled CONGRESS. Then, Raines (Clinton appointee and Obama backer) cooked the books at Fannie and Congress did nothing. Financial disaster!
Welcome to change!
by iamarcin September 24, 2008 5:44 AM PDT
How is this a free market economy when the government does not alow a buisness to fail and make room for a "better" enterprenour. How is that cost per household calculated. That is scary. THe republicans spend all this money then the democrats have to find a way to pay it back or at least control it and so they are less successful. It al comes down to the Rich(congress) helping the Rich(big buisness) and viceversa.... Good to see loyalty is still a virtue
Reply to this comment
by ArnieJr September 24, 2008 6:02 AM PDT
This is not a democrat/republican thing. This has been going on for years. I think that maybe what we need is a good recession to get us back to reality and I hope the reality isn't a two trillion dollar debt.
by ArnieJr September 24, 2008 5:54 AM PDT
Sow Obama, Reap Socialism
Reply to this comment
by Thomas, David September 24, 2008 6:58 AM PDT
Then reap it. I"m tired of these "socialism" bull-crap statements. Eight more years of this crap, then Madagascar is going to rule America!
by dascha1 September 24, 2008 5:59 AM PDT
Uh... politics aside, in my view a focus on wealth has been lacking for over a decade. I mean, remember all the talk of the world's first Trillionaire in the early 90's?? That still hasn't happened yet. So, without leadership on that front, how do you expect any people-serving government to follow with these kind of numbers?
Reply to this comment
by cosmotopper September 24, 2008 6:00 AM PDT
I was a Republican supporting Senator Obama. Now, I'm no longer supporting Senator Obama, and I'm probably not a Republican anymore either. When Senator Obama endorsed the so-called 'financial rescue plan', I opted out. I credit him for qualifying his support, but at it's core, I believe this initiative by the Bush administration, with co-Conspirators in Congress posing as the 'good cops', is the contemporary equivalent of those ships anchored in Boston Harbor and laden with tea from the British East India Company in 1773. The 'Tea Tax' levied by King George back then bears a striking resemblance to the $700-Billion plunder of this country's supposedly unlimited line of credit, not one dollar of which will be paid back in the lifetimes of those who propose to use it today. If that is not taxation without representation, I don't know what is. I oppose the bailout in any configuration, and I urge anyone else with a conscience to do the same.
Reply to this comment
by libertaspraesidium September 24, 2008 6:09 AM PDT
Remember one thing, each president ONLY gets 4 years, and then another election, who ever gets into office will not remain in office after 4 years. That is a Fact.
You are very correct and if we let the Democrats into office we will reap what we sow.

By expanding the budget by billions of dollars to fund a health care system that has more flaws than our current one, we will sow higher taxes. The democrats were unable to get us out of this war to begin with even when we voted them into a majority in congress, how are we to trust them to get us out sooner?

And again reaping and sowing with republicans,
Not as an expansive growth in our budget but still a growth,
causing further taxes, more wars, and more death.

So what do we reap when we sow the seed of calling someone a kook who has made financial predictions years before, and only now begin listening to him.
As Americans we should take responsibility for this mess and rise to fix it. Not continue to place blame, the blame is with us for not standing up sooner and taking care of the mess.
Reply to this comment
by Thomas, David September 24, 2008 7:03 AM PDT
The problems were institutionalized. From privatization, to de-regulations. This WAS sown.
by Thomas, David September 24, 2008 7:15 AM PDT
The problems were institutionalized. From privatization, to de-regulations. This WAS sown.

To clarify my point, so it does not seem like a blanket statement. After each dramatic period in the United States [The Great Depression is one of those markers], it was realized that public utilities, and certain services could no longer be privatized. These past incidents were the reason for regulation. It's not a stop gap measure, but a means to ensure the financial, and social stability to ensure growth. A bunch of starving poor people, who are the backbone behind production in the US, does not help anything. Even if all the work is off-shored, a bunch of starving poor people will impact the infrastructure.

Anyway, I hope you understand what I am trying to get at. Somethings, not ALL things require regulation. Somethings, not ALL things, can not be privatized. Enron used to be Houston Electric I think. The media is controlled now because Colin Powells' son made it possible by removing the one barrier that prevented it. The gas gauging after Katrina is totally un-forgiveable, and the spineless stance (by show admiration for them making money) by the administration to prevent the oil companies from ever doing that again.

Yea, this crap was sown alright.
by RighteousSoutherner September 24, 2008 6:21 AM PDT
Everyone was complicit in this scandal. From the applicants that signed up for loans with bogus information to mortgage brokers helping put people to homes they could ill afford. The banks of course are equally guilty turning these bogus mortgages into securities and then offering them to retail and institutional investors. And let's not forget the foriegners who were more than eager to cash in on the scam to make a quick buck and secure their foreign money in U.S. banking institutions. Everyone here is guilty except for those that chose not to participate in the grandest of all schemes.
Reply to this comment
by 1idman September 24, 2008 6:57 AM PDT
Thank you, Declan. You are the first commentator I have read who has pointed out the money supply/credit inflation connection.
Reply to this comment
by fr2008 September 24, 2008 7:00 AM PDT
This is the biggest scam of our history. CONGRESS VOTE NO. Shame to OBAMA an MC CAIN for endorsing that bail out. VOTE BLANK for elections. None of those guys care about this country AND american people.

This is just the SAVINGS AND LOAN SCANDAL reproducted by the bush family at a greatest and biggest scale.
look at : The Bush family and the S&L Scandal
http://rationalrevolution.net/war/bush_family_and_the_s.htm
AMERICA NEEDS TO SAY ENOUGH IS ENOUGH!!!!!!!
Reply to this comment
by Thomas, David September 24, 2008 7:01 AM PDT
Let's face it, kick the bums out that put us through this misery for eight years. The biggest problems we had DID start under this administration, and ARE a direct result of the policies put into place by this administration.

Does any fool truly believe that big business would've pushed the boundaries if they knew they'd be slapped down?! NO!

Opting for more of the same IS the definition of insanity!
Reply to this comment
by open-mind September 24, 2008 7:35 AM PDT
Here's an interesting way to evaluate your favorite candidate:

http://www.barackobamatest.com/
Reply to this comment
by open-mind September 24, 2008 7:57 AM PDT
The irony of all this back-and-forth is that both liberals and conservatives dislike Bush (a so-called "conservative") for having the fiscal policy of a liberal. And so to compensate for Bush, they now want a candidate who is even MORE liberal (Sen. Obama).

I think if people let go of their allegiance to the partisan labels (that don't mean much any more) and actually evaluated policies, many Obama supporters would in fact favor of McCain. But instead they just see McCain=Bush=Republican=Bad.
Reply to this comment
by consultpeter September 24, 2008 8:01 AM PDT
The Bailout....
No taxpayer money until we see who got what! Our representatives in Washington are not doing their job. No vision and no oversight until the train hits and then they spring into action doing what they do best, spending other peoples? money. Too late!!!
They should have acted as soon as they found out Raines had cooked the books.
Unfortunately, it appears that some have decided that it is more profitable to represent the lobbyist?s interests and not ours. Then, of course, comes their real full time job and that is to somehow find a way to get reelected. No time for the Taxpayers. Taxpayers need to see a list of all those financial lobbyists, who they represent and how much they paid/contributed to who (House & Senate) in any and all forms, especially Fannie and Freddie. Think Polisi, Reid and Boehner will give it up?
Reply to this comment
by eCurmudgeon September 24, 2008 9:10 AM PDT
This bailout will reap nothing but pain for the taxpayer and I blame the free market philosophy for this. The problem is that free market principles never take human nature into account, as we see over and over again. Enron, Worldcom, Bear Stearns, Lehman, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac -- all of them acting like kids in a candy store. Deregulation? Don't be crazy -- the guys who run these companies need parental supervision, and they need it bad! What we need is a nonpartisan agency to regulate business practices and make sure nothing like this ever happens again. The members of this hypothetical agency should be selected impartially and their decisions should stick no matter which party gets into power, like the Supreme Court's decisions. Otherwise when the present mess is forgotten you'll have executives acting like kids in a candy store with daddy's credit card again. Call it whatever you want, I call it parental supervision.
Reply to this comment
by malley44 September 24, 2008 10:11 AM PDT
I'm against the $85,000,000,000.00 bailout of AIG.> > Instead, I'm in favor of giving $85,000,000,000 to America in a We> Deserve It Dividend.> > To make the math simple, let's assume there are 200,000,000 bonafide> U.S. Citizens 18+.> > Our population is about 301,000,000 +/- counting every man, woman and> child. So 200,000,000 might be a fair stab at adults 18 and up..> So divide 200 million adults 18+ into $85 billon that equals> $425,000.00.> > My plan is to give $425,000 to every person 18+ as a We Deserve It> Dividend.> > Of course, it would NOT be tax free.> So let's assume a tax rate of 30%.> Every individual 18+ has to pay $127,500.00 in taxes.> That sends $25,500,000,000 right back to Uncle Sam.> But it means that every adult 18+ has $297,500.00 in their pocket.> A husband and wife has $595,000.00.> What would you do with $297,500.00 to $595,000.00 in your family?> Pay off your mortgage - housing crisis solved.> Repay college loans - what a great boost to new grads Put away money for> college - it'll be there Save in a bank - create money to loan to> entrepreneurs.> Buy a new car - create jobs> Invest in the market - capital drives growth Pay for your parent's> medical insurance - health care improves Enable Deadbeat Dads to come> clean - or else Remember this is for every adult U S Citizen 18+> including the folks who lost their jobs at Lehman Brothers and every> other company that is cutting back. And of course, for those serving in> our Armed Forces.> If we're going to re-distribute wealth let's really do it...instead of> trickling out a puny $1000.00 ( "vote buy" ) economic incentive that is> being proposed by one of our candidates for President.> If we're going to do an $85 billion bailout, let's bail out every adult> U S Citizen 18+!> As for AIG - liquidate it.> Sell off its parts.> Let American General go back to being American General.> Sell off the real estate.> Let the private sector bargain hunters cut it up and clean it up.> Here's my rationale. We deserve it and AIG doesn't.> Sure it's a crazy idea that can "never work."> But can you imagine the Coast-To-Coast Block Party!> How do you spell Economic Boom?> > I trust my fellow adult Americans to know how to use the $85 Billion> > We Deserve It Dividend more than I do the geniuses at AIG or in> Washington DC .> And remember, This plan only really costs $59.5 Billion because $25.5> Billion is returned instantly in taxes to Uncle Sam.> > Ahhh...I feel so much better getting that off my chest.>
Reply to this comment
by songlines September 24, 2008 11:43 AM PDT
One of the strangest things about this is the idea that public money gets poured in to remove the debts that the public apparently have to financial institutions - and yet the debt continues to exist. The most honest approach - somewhat unprecedented - would be to cancel the debt by buying it off, and certainly ensuring that no enormous golden handshakes happen, and letting the debtors know that they own what they own. BUT, that there won't be any credit for 3 or 5 years whilst the system gets rethought, rewritten, and rebooted.
by dustinp_cnet September 24, 2008 2:41 PM PDT
I'm sorry but your math is wrong.

85B / 200M = $415 per person.

Doh, that changes things a little.
by Earl Benzar September 24, 2008 12:59 PM PDT
So let me get this straight. Bush has overseen the largest increase in borrowing and spending in history, with a Republican congress for most of his term, and has been the guy on whose watch we are facing a depression level financial meltdown. And suddenly we are supposed to give him a blank check for more than he already has? Do I have this correct?

And now we are facing an election where one of the candidates has a history of supporting the Bush policies in lockstep, both support the bailout, and we have a bunch of numbnuts running around on TV pointing fingers and doing red team vs. blue team cheers? This is no longer a country, it's become a fracking high school frat party. What is wrong with people?
Reply to this comment
by open-mind September 24, 2008 3:09 PM PDT
It's probably not accurate to say that McCain "has a history of supporting the Bush policies in lockstep".

In fact McCain has disagreed with Bush and the republican party on a number of issues. During his RNC speech, McCain pretty much threw both of them under a bus, as did Obama during his DNC speech. Also, a couple years ago McCain saw this meltdown coming and tried to convince the democratic congress to prevent it, but to no avail. And during this time, Obama has taken more lobby money (from AIG, Freddie, Fannie, etc) than any other senator.

The above are facts from which you are free to draw your own conclusion. I conclude that both parties are to blame.

Another fact ... only one presidential candidate has a history of going against his own party when that party is stupid/greedy. I think that trait will be needed in order to fix this mess.
Reply to this comment
by tebvcg September 24, 2008 5:40 PM PDT
While I would love to think one of our candidates is better prepared to deal with the major problem we will face for the next few years, what you say seems naive. As was recently reported:

"Almost up until the time it was taken over by the government in the nation's financial crisis, one of two housing giants paid $15,000 a month to the lobbying firm of John McCain's campaign manager. The money from Freddie Mac to the firm of Rick Davis is on top of more than $30,000 a month that went directly to Davis for five years starting in 2000."

Sorry, but I'm not feelin' warm and toasty.
Reply to this comment
by nhalbrook September 24, 2008 9:13 PM PDT
$700 Billion Bailout Analysis

$700,000,000,000 bailout value to cover default f&f mortgages
$300,000 $400,000 $500,000 average value of each mortgage [pick one]
2,300,000 1,800,000 1,400,000 # of mortgages covered by bailout
9,200 7,200 5,600 morgages/day
1,000 # of lenders [only the shadow knows]
9.2 7.2 5.6 # mortgages/d/lender
$4,900,000,000,000 value of fannie&freddie mortgages
16,300,000 12,300,000 9,800,000 # of f&f mortgages
14% 15% 14% default rate represented by bailout amount
14% bailout amount as % of f&f mortgage holdings
5% current f&f new mortgage default rate
$460,000,000,000 $ of bailout in excess of coverage for current default rate
66% % of bailout in excess of coverage for current default rate
f&f = fannie mae & freddie mac [duh]
Note that commercial mortgages are also included!http://www.charlotteobserver.com/104/story/205054.htmlText of Draft Proposal for Bailout Plan Published: September 20, 2008 LEGISLATIVE PROPOSAL FOR TREASURY AUTHORITY TO PURCHASE MORTGAGE-RELATED ASSETSSec. 12. Definitions.For purposes of this section, the following definitions shall apply: (1) Mortgage-Related Assets.--The term ?mortgage-related assets? means residential or commercial mortgages and any securities, obligations, or other instruments that are based on or related to such mortgages, that in each case was originated or issued on or before September 17, 2008.
Reply to this comment
by upthere415 September 25, 2008 7:59 PM PDT
Does this sound like another era of:

0% down loans for the mega rich?

Remember what happen to the real estate market when banks were allowing 0% down loans to people who could't otherwise afford it.

Now, we're doing the exact same thing, and repackaging it as a 0% down loan to defunk companies who can't afford to operate.

So what happens when these companies simply use up all their loan money, and figure out that it isn't worthwhile to continue operating, and just exit.

Or maybe they figure that since they don't have much at stake, they make even more riskier bets to get even higher returns. And when those risker bets cause them to lose even more money, they deplete their loan money, and exit.

Basically its:

Past Situation: Banks loan to people who can't afford at Zero percent down.
Past Result: Default rates on loans skyrocket when houses are worth less than bought, causing banks to become insolvant.


Current Situation: Government loans insolvant banks and brokerages 0% down loans at no risk to them.
Future result: ... (see what happens when these companies can't repay as expected)

What will happen when that time comes? Will we end up with an insolvant government who needs to get bailed out by tax payers?

Jonathan L
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