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September 8, 2007 11:30 PM PDT

Searching for the lost, from home

by Peter Glaskowsky
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After Jim Gray, a technical fellow for Microsoft Research in Silicon Valley, was lost at sea in January, Amazon.com set up its Mechanical Turk service to let the public help examine Digital Globe satellite photos of the ocean outside of San Francisco Bay for signs of Gray's sailboat. Unfortunately, Gray was never found.

I spent an evening going through these images on Mechanical Turk because I knew who Gray was (coincidentally, his home page at Microsoft Research was the first entry in my "People" bookmarks collection) and because I was curious about the process.

Saturday night, I heard that Google and Amazon had set up a similar process to help in the search for aviator and adventurer Steve Fossett, so I spent some time reviewing those images. This time, there was an extra dimension--a section of the imagery (again from Digital Globe) was uploaded to Google Earth so people working on searches through Mechanical Turk could see the search images in context.

None of the images I reviewed contained anything resembling an airplane, but I suppose negative results are worth something too. I had marked several images during the search for Gray, but I think that's because a line of whitecaps can easily look like a sailboat in low-res satellite images. The cross-like shape of an airplane is less likely to appear in nature.

Another difference in the search for Fossett is that there's much more natural clutter in the land of the American southwest, so I found it took significantly longer on average to review each image just to satisfy myself that there was no sign of aircraft partially concealed by trees or terrain.

Oddly, the one area of satellite imagery available in Google Earth was in a section of California just across the Nevada border from where Fossett took off, and in a direction where I saw no large flat areas--Fossett had said he was scouting for areas to set land-speed records, so presumably he wouldn't be spending time around mountains, at least on purpose.

But I suppose the searchers have to focus their efforts on the areas near where Fossett took off, at least to begin with. Ultimately, however, the search may have to extend much farther. Fossett's plane reportedly has a range of over 560 miles, meaning he could have come down anywhere in a million-square-mile area. On the other hand, I trust someone is trying to deduce which courses Fossett may have set given his plans, then follow those courses out to where Fossett might have encountered mountains or run out of gas. I thought about looking in such areas myself via Google Earth, but there doesn't appear to be any recent imagery other than that one section of California.

Anyway, I very much hope that Fossett will be found alive as soon as possible. He's a remarkably accomplished fellow, doing the sorts of things I imagine I'd do if I had that kind of money, and I hope he's able to continue.

Peter N. Glaskowsky is a computer architect in Silicon Valley and a technology analyst for the Envisioneering Group. He has designed chip- and board-level products in the defense and computer industries, managed design teams, and served as editor in chief of the industry newsletter "Microprocessor Report." He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.
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Fossett Disappearance
by jjoseph September 9, 2007 6:30 AM PDT
I used the imagery to "fly" from the ranch in a southward direction to see what Fawcett would have seen. My eye was attracted to Mono Lake just across the NV/CA border which seems to have a dry portion of the lake bed that would be interesting to Fawcett. I notice whitecaps on this fairly small lake in the photos and the terrain really looks susceptible to a mountain wave. In my mind's eye I see Fawcett going down low and slow to look at the eastern shore area of Mono Lake then circling the lake and being beset by the wave at or near the western portion of the lake and being dumped in the lake so quickly as to be unable to recover the aircraft's attitude. I also note jurisdictional issues between the Nevada CAP and California on the Nevada CAP website such that a new Memorandum of Understanding was enterd into. Is this jurisdictional problem the source of confusion so that Lake Mono has not been carefully looked at. Being dunked in water is the only possible explanation for Fossett's disappearance without trace, other than alien abduction of course.
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The only explanation?
by Peter N. Glaskowsky September 10, 2007 10:35 AM PDT
Probably not, but from what you're saying, this does sound like something that needs to be investigated very carefully.

Thanks for the comment.

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About Speeds and Feeds

Silicon Valley-based computer architect and chip analyst Peter N. Glaskowsky attends a variety of industry conferences throughout the year to meet with industry thought leaders and dig into the future of computing technology. In Speeds and Feeds, he analyzes trends in system architecture and interface design, as well as market and political pressures surrounding those trends. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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