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January 8, 2008 10:03 AM PST

Has the Steve Jobs reign of power ended?

by Don Reisinger

As Greg Sandoval pointed out over at News.com, Apple may be close to winning over even more movie studios to make iTunes rentals a reality. And while I'll be the first to admit that this is a major victory for Apple, considering the possibility of its service being relegated to irrelevance in the video space, how big of a victory is it for Steve Jobs?

As one BusinessWeek column points out, Steve Jobs was only able to win the studios over by increasing the amount he's willing to pay for films. According to the report, Jobs had once capped the amount he would pay for each movie sold at $14, but has agreed to the $17 fee larger retailers like Wal-Mart are currently paying.

To make matters worse, the music industry has stood up to Jobs for the first time and has offered DRM-free music to Amazon even though Jobs and Company have been asking for such a deal for quite some time.

So what's really going on? Has Steve Jobs -- one of the world's most powerful CEOs -- lost his power? You better believe it.

Who would have thought this day would come? Not only did Apple seem like it would ride into the sunset with its iPod-iTunes connection, it seemed as though one company actually commanded the kind of power the film and music industry once wielded. In essence, both industries were at the mercy of one company for once and, well, it felt good.

And then everything went downhill for Steve Jobs quickly.

Whether it's his pompous nature or his belief that he was invincible, Steve Jobs truly believed that he could demand anything from the movie and music industries and win out because of the immense success of his company. After all, what would indicate this mentality was wrong? He was able to keep music prices down to $0.99 even though movie studios wanted them increased and as the iPod continued to sell, the movie studios and record labels needed Apple.

And while they still need Apple, the impetus to give in to Jobs' demands has lessened. Once again, we have entered into a situation where the music and movie industries have been able to gain the majority of control in the business and all Apple can do is acquiesce.

But how did this happen? It's simple really: Amazon came along and in a matter of months, has solidified itself as a major player in the music downloading business because of its willingness to woo record labels by giving in to some demands. Beyond that, the movie studios and record labels really don't like Steve Jobs. Not only has he made them look like fools for far too long, he's all too aware of the popularity of his player. In effect, Amazon appealed to the studios' baser instinct -- a desire to take Jobs down a few pegs.

Realizing the hell record labels have gone through with Steve Jobs, movie studios were not so quick to jump on his bandwagon. Because of this, the iTunes video service is floundering (at best) and the movie studios have shown that Steve Jobs still needs to genuflect at their altar, instead of the other way around.

Now, it should be noted that iTunes is still one of the foremost music retailers in the world and it's a main reason the music industry has been able to enjoy buoyed revenues over the past few years. Regardless, this is not a battle over revenue, it's a war over power. And for the first time since the iPod's release, Steve Jobs is the victim of a coup d'etat.

Say goodbye to power Steve. And while you're at it, say hello to your new rulers.

Don Reisinger is a technology columnist who has written about everything from HDTVs to computers to Flowbee Haircut Systems. Don is a member of the CNET Blog Network, and posts at The Digital Home. He is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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Add a Comment (Log in or register) Showing 1 of 2 pages (28 Comments)
by Astinsan January 8, 2008 11:22 AM PST
I think the property owners were done dealing with apple. They think they can get a better deal somewhere else... I am not sure the non drm thing will totally save their model. I think it may be a little late to make a difference.

The truth is:
They are no longer needed.
The word is easy to get out to the public without their help.
eg: NIN

The public is willing to pay the artist for the work. I know I have no issues with it.
Reply to this comment
by wirelessweb January 8, 2008 11:23 AM PST
Your kidding, is this an April fools joke? How many
tracks has Amazon Sold? Last count I saw Apple has sold 3 Billion.
New world order?
I don't think so.
Reply to this comment
by KaplanMike January 8, 2008 4:57 PM PST
The music labels are done. Stick a fork in them. You no longer need them to distribute your music, or even to get airplay. There's YouTube and Facebook and MySpace and iTunes for that.

The TV networks are next, with the movie studios to follow soon after that. All that broadcast networks and movie studios have to offer are money and distribution. Money is easy. And with digital downloads starting to take off for video, distribution has been democratized. It won't be long before some successful producer (think Aaron Spelling, Dick Wolf or Larry David) finances their own show and pays a network to distribute (the way George Lucas handled the recent Star Wars triology) and reaps all the profits. And it's not too long after that before producers skip the networks altogether and sell directly via iTunes and Amazon.

Personally, I can't wait...
Reply to this comment
by rbienstock January 9, 2008 10:23 AM PST
"It won't be long before some successful producer (think Aaron Spelling, Dick Wolf or Larry David) finances their own show and pays a network to distribute (the way George Lucas handled the recent Star Wars trilogy) and reaps all the profits."

Do you mean the way that they did it with "I Love Lucy" back in 1951?
by nixl January 8, 2008 5:03 PM PST
Well it's so obvious that success begets hatred and CNET is especially envious of Steve. For all of Microsoft's might I don't hear a peep out of CNET about Gazillionaire Bill. Why?

CNET tries to bury Apple with a poison pen on a weekly basis but Apple keeps throwing sand in CNET's face. We'll see how impotent Steve is at next week's keynote. CNET obviously has missed the latest rumors over iTunes. I think i would rather say Goodbye CNET!
Reply to this comment
by Zekeuyasha January 8, 2008 7:27 PM PST
Oh dear no. have all you fanboys gotten all upset because CNET is saying Jobs' power has ended? well isn't that just a sad song on my Zune.
If that's the conclusion they (CNET) has come to then I guess there's nothing to change their minds, seeing as they have done their homework and actually looked on reputable news companies. That's what I'd do before I started mass criticism. If I were a CEO of a major film production company, I wouldn't like him either! It's just another classic example of counting one's chickens before they hatch. There's goes another bad egg!
Reply to this comment
by CouchGuy January 9, 2008 9:55 PM PST
You have a Zune? Oh, YOU'RE the one...
by 3rdalbum January 9, 2008 1:33 AM PST
Well, it's obvious that something like this would happen. Retailers hate Steve Jobs because the RRPs of the iPods are ludicrously low and the actual buy cost is high; plus they get customer complaints about the iPods all the time. But the market is such where if you don't stock iPods, you lose sales (even if each sale is worth a pittance). Mac users, usually an optimistic lot, are starting to be put out by Leopard's problems. The labels never liked Apple to begin with, so when the opportunity to bypass Apple came along, they jumped at it.

Right now the movie industry still likes Apple because it supports DRM on videos, both in public and in private. But I'm sure something will happen to change that.
Reply to this comment
by Lazlo666 January 9, 2008 10:55 AM PST
hmmm, unsubstantiated "they get customer complaints about the iPod all the time." and equally unsubstantiated "Mac users...are starting to be put out by Leopard's problems."

sounds like a politician to me, but that would be unsubstantiated.
by Bridget70130 January 9, 2008 3:04 AM PST
I was surprised that this article never mentioned that Steve Jobs is now the largest shareholder in Disney from his sale of Pixar to them and also sits on the Disney board of directors. That makes him an insider in the film business but this was never stated. He certainly has a say in Disney's actions and they are a major factor.
Reply to this comment
by rkhoover January 9, 2008 10:29 AM PST
I love how everyone is just dying for Steve to be taken down. I personally don't think he's lost any of his power. Apple is here to stay, and stay on top. There is no other company that I can think of that has single handedly changed every area of consumer electronics that it enters. The music and movie industries need to come to grips with the fact that things are now digital. I don't want a DVD I want to download and watch on my computer whenever I want, or on my plasma. I don't want a cd, I want to seamlessly download my music and carry it where I want. Oh and guess what? If I want one of my friends to have the same song that I do, I will give it to them.

Hold on Steve, don't give in to their greedy demands. Just look at the writer's strike going on right now. These people (the studios) are so greedy, they will lose out on mllions of dollars of sales just to play hardball. Ridiculous.
Reply to this comment
by BookMac January 9, 2008 10:35 AM PST
It's all well and good for the Jobs-is-finished group until he buys Amazon.
Reply to this comment
by john55440 January 9, 2008 10:46 AM PST
Amazon.com is clearly the best legal source of music in the industry, offering customers the choice of either CDs or DRM-free MP3s.

Yup, greedy Steve Job's power has clearly declined.
Reply to this comment
by CouchGuy January 9, 2008 10:00 PM PST
I say hooray for Amazon! The Amazon MP3 store would not exist, however, if iTunes had not blazed the trail for them. And it would not be DRM-free if the greedy bastards who run the record industry didn't want to use Amazon to try and fight Steve Jobs' attempts to protect his iTunes consumers. If you love the Amazon DRM-free music store, by all means buy there. And give thanks to Steve Jobs for it. Would it stay DRM-free if Steve's power were really broken? Not a chance in a million.
by rcrusoe January 9, 2008 10:47 AM PST
Everyone, seems to be wanting to take iTunes down a notch or two, but will all these deals make more money for the entertainment industry?

It's not just the iPod that has made iTunes THE place to buy media online. No one else, including AmazonMP3 is able to provide as consistent and easy to use online store.

When the online buying public finds the songs/media isn't available on iTunes, IMO, a large portion of them will revert to downloading them for free. Just this week some new "stealth" peer to peer software finished beta and entered public use.

Some of Job's power may have been diminished, but at what cost to the music business?
Reply to this comment
by setgo January 9, 2008 11:06 AM PST
Don't fall for it guys! I really shouldn't have bothered reading this article because I knew exactly what it was by the headline. Every so often CNET gets a writer to write a nothing, old @$$ story with a controversial headline. I don't know, maybe their sponsors pay them according to the amount of feedback but be assured that negative Apple stuff will get them the posts they desire. Myself included, let's all stop drinking this Kool-Aid and maybe they will do some real journalistic work.
Reply to this comment
by casademike January 9, 2008 11:08 AM PST
Is it any wonder that I think CNET is more and more of a joke?

This article is ridiculous and you make references to things that are not even based in reality. Amazon just came in and took their power? Doesn't Apple still have the largest market share in digital downloads? 80+%?

You say Steve is arrogant and forced the record labels to work his way. How do you know this? Have you ever met him? Why don't you keep in mind that he turned an entire industry on its head in order for them to be even semi-relevant in the digital age. Major corporations that for the most part are run by old men, using old distribution methods with no understanding of how the internet works. Universal CEO Doug Morris is a CLASSIC example of this.

Apple doesn't even make money on the iTunes store they care about selling iPods. So yes there is new competition and yes they will evolve and adapt with that. That's how capitalism and successful companies work.

You might keep in mind that without Apple being stuborn and digging its heels in we wouldn't even have the the amount of digital music access, pricing and now DRM-free options that we are getting.

Be fair, be balanced, include facts. Or is that just too much hard work for you?
Reply to this comment
by stevebert January 9, 2008 11:11 AM PST
Whoa... I think C/NET doth protest too much. Steve Jobs arrogant? No surprise there. What's not reported here is the arrogance, greed and avarice... not to mention stupidity... of the major labels and studios. Apple doesn't need songs sold through iTunes to make money. From all accounts, there isn't much money to be made for Apple (something like 4-6 cents per song), so even 3 BILLION songs only amounts to $20-30M for Apple - a drop in the proverbial bucket compared to their overall revenue for the 6 years since the iPod introduction. Apple's goal is to make sure there's a PAID download market for songs that competes with FREE, not with Amazon. I'm sure Apple is quite happy if Amazon sells a billion DRM-free songs that can also be played on iPods. Record and movie execs, on the other hand, want to make it as difficult as possible to take your music and video with you wherever you go, so you will have to -- drum roll -- RE_PURCHASE it for every format that you use. As far as they are concerned, ripping CDs or movies to play on your computer or iPod is a serious crime. Unfortunately for them, the world has moved beyond their 1980's techno-mindset and voted with their dollars. Digital downloads are the present and future. The sooner the media execs understands and comply with that, the quicker they can take action to revamp their industry and make products that consumers want to buy. As for Steve Jobs -- I don't think is anywhere near time to write him off.
Reply to this comment
by Don Key January 9, 2008 11:16 AM PST
Wait... wasn't it the record industry that FORCED the DRM on the music in the first place? The record industry is stupid and brought this on themselves and they have no one to blame. Jobs was just in the right spot at the right time.

Before Jobs, the record industry was too busy fighting Napster instead of coming up with a legal way to sell their stuff online. I am glad that Jobs took control away from them, it was a much needed wake up call since the record companies were so afraid of change.

Again, the record labels themselves are to blame for the current situation... no one else.
Reply to this comment
by mikeohanlon January 9, 2008 11:38 AM PST
I guess some people still don't get it. There are three, not two legs to the very successful Apple audio experience. It just happens that two of them have the same name. There is the iPod/Mac media player(s), the iTunes jukebox, and the iTunes store. It's the iTunes jukebox, not the iTunes store that's important to Steve Jobs and Apple. He doesn't really care where the music comes from, he just wants to make sure that it is managed by the iTunes jukebox and played on the iPod. That's where his real power resides, not in the iTunes store. Amazon, to give them credit for understanding the marketplace, built their downloader so that it loads songs automatically into iTunes and the Windows Media Player. Steve's power is not diminished in the least.
Reply to this comment
by tomcole January 9, 2008 12:24 PM PST
Yay! Steve Jobs is losing power! Woo-hoo!

He wanted to keep prices low.... the bastard. Glad to see he's go the come-uppance he so richly deserves. Now we can pay $17-$20 for a movie. Only Apple-loving fanboys and losers would want to pay less.

We are the winners!!!
Reply to this comment
by jamesbogard January 9, 2008 12:42 PM PST
How old are you, 12? Say hello to your new rulers? Give me a break. Amazon online movie rentals will end up like Napster's pay service.
Reply to this comment
by tballard--2008 January 9, 2008 12:47 PM PST
To Don Reisinger, it is a good thing that consumers will pay more for movies, as long as it hurts Apple. Competition is usually good because it tends to drive down prices, but Don is celebrating and gloating over the fact that you and I will be paying more than if Jobs had been able to keep the movie prices down. He can barely contain his glee in this article. Apparently, the movie studios just aren't making enough money, eh, Don?

I, for one, have been appreciative that Jobs has held the line on iTunes pricing to the extent possible, when the record companies were demanding variable pricing and other pricing concessions, including kickbacks on MP3 players such as Microsoft has agreed to pay with the Zune.

if you are going to be a shill for the RIAA and MPAA, Don, you might want to at least be a bit subtle about it.
Reply to this comment
by mitrich January 9, 2008 1:33 PM PST
I started using Amazon's mp3 download service about two months ago. I was a CD buyer, but that may be over. Amazon's service is so easy quick and slick.

I had tried iTunes on my very good Vista machine and it just wanted to take over and also did a poor job with internet radio. So, it is gone.
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About The Digital Home

Don Reisinger is a technology columnist who has covered everything from HDTVs to computers to Flowbee Haircut Systems. Besides his work with CNET, Don's work has been featured in a variety of other publications including PC World and a host of Ziff-Davis publications.

Don writes product reviews for InformationWeek and is a regular contributor to Processor Magazine. You can visit his personal site at DonReisinger.com or if you would like to email Don with questions or comments, drop him a line at CNETDigitalHome@gmail.com. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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