The Mac approaches 8 percent market share: Is it ready for popularity?
In June, Apple's market share for Mac OS X hit 7.94 percent, according to Net Applications. At its current growth rate of 0.18 percent per month, this means that the Mac should claim 8 percent of the global desktop operating system market by the end of July. Linux, while still holding a tiny 0.8 percent share, is also rising.
The only major desktop OS to decline? Windows. In fact, as the Inquirer notes, while the Mac is up 32 percent, Windows XP actually declined a full percentage point while Vista scraped together a measly 2.56 percent. Overall? Windows was down 2.45 percent.
Mac sales are outpacing PC sales at 3.5 times faster rate. Two big questions are looming:
- At what point will the momentum accelerate even faster? In other words, what's the tipping point for Mac adoption?
- Is Apple set up to handle this success? Does it want it?
On that last note, imagine if everyone drove a BMW. BMW would love this, right? Well, maybe. The company tries hard to maintain a culture of semi-exclusivity. Ditto for Apple. Does this go away if everyone has a Mac? Is it cool to be that popular?
Also, what happens to Apple's much-vaunted security superiority? I happen to believe that architecture matters and that Apple's Unix-based OS will fare better than Windows had when targeted by malicious hackers, but there are reasons to be skeptical of OS X's mythical immunity to attack.
What about Apple's support? While Apple support has historically scored well in customer satisfaction, will this change when its market share is at 20 percent instead of 5 percent, and it becomes that much harder to find qualified support personnel?
At any rate, as a Mac fan I'm ready for these "challenges" and look forward to them. Is Apple ready? At nearly 8 percent market share and rising, it needs to be.
Updated with the Inquirer information.
Matt Asay brings a decade of in-the-trenches open-source business and legal experience to The Open Road, with an emphasis on emerging open-source business strategies and opportunities. Matt is vice president of business development at Alfresco, a company that develops open-source software for content management. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. You can follow Matt on Twitter @mjasay. 


The current boost is on the back of the fashion fads ipod and iphone; not the overpriced system that is certainly better than windows in some ways, but not in every way.
Once more than 8% of hackers take a look, it will crumble in seconds.
Linux is probably the future, but most of us can't wait until 3008!
The only reason I would ever own any Apple/Mac products is if someone gave them to me for free. Even then, I would probably destroy them, as donating them to charity would be cruel to the recipient.
- by nathan1984 April 19, 2009 10:18 PM PDT
- Honestly, mac's lack of overall popularity is the reason no one has really smashed it with the amount of viruses available to windows! I don't think they want it to get that popular for that reason. And mac users always talk about how they are the counter-culture, I've read that MANY places and honestly I say that the linux community is the REAL counter-culture and they are doing a bangup job at it! Just look at Ubuntu: Only ONE thing needed to really get going and that is a Codec pack and they are off to the races! and It is free! no spending 2500 to get me that mac, I'll spend 300 at walmart and load ubuntu up on the machine and have me a x64 system running GREAT! No need to update my hardware every 3 years to stay usable! I prefer windows because of the amount of software available to it for FREE but mac you got to learn, not everyone is STILL in collage and not everyone wants to pay $1.29 for a damn song and not everyone needs to create music videos and be a wannabe musician! Talk about the counter-culture
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