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May 7, 2008 3:23 PM PDT

Are the Hitslink gods crazy? The problem with data

by Matt Asay

When I checked Hitslink yesterday, it showed Apple's Mac jumping 52 percent. Now the number has retreated to a more reasonable number. People thought I was making up the Hitslink number - I wasn't. It's what I found when I visited the site, as captured in the graphic I show.

O'Reilly takes a stab at measuring Mac adoption. Undoubtedly, its data is flawed, too, as it admits.

Hitlink also had Firefox market share declining, though not by an unreasonable amount. Still, Mozilla says the Hitslink data is flawed.

The numbers don't lie...but they sure can stretch the truth, and not through any malevolent intent of those compiling it. It's simply very hard to capture accurate data. The best way to measure adoption is by your own: Anything more than that is just guesswork.

Matt Asay brings a decade of in-the-trenches open-source business and legal experience to The Open Road, with an emphasis on emerging open-source business strategies and opportunities. Matt is vice president of business development at Alfresco, a company that develops open-source software for content management. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. You can follow Matt on Twitter @mjasay.
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About The Open Road

Matt Asay brings a decade of in-the-trenches open-source business and legal experience to the Open Road, with an emphasis on emerging open-source business strategies and opportunities. Matt is general manager of the Americas division and vice president of business development at Alfresco, a company that develops open-source software for content management. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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