The open-source Gold Rush (Updated)

Let's tally up the list:

• Zimbra - $350 million (on $6 million of trailing revenues, on track to hit $20 million in 2007) - September 2007
• XenSource - $500 million (on $1 million in trailing revenues) - August 2007
• JBoss - $350 million (on $27 million in 2006 revenues) - June 2006
• Sleepycat - $35-50 million (on ~$7 million in trailing revenues, is my best guess) - February 2006
• Gluecode - $10 million (on very little in trailing revenues, less than $1 million, I believe) - May 2005
• SUSE - $210 million (can't remember revenues - I think $30-40 million) - November 2003
• Ximian - ~$50 million (I can't remember - on $1 million or so in trailing revenues) - August 2003

What's the trend? Bigger. We are in the midst of a Gold Rush, as Dana Blankenhorn has written. The rules of software business are being rewritten, and those who understand them will make a lot of money for shareholders...and themselves.

While the early days of open source saw a few wild valuations (Ximian comes to mind, though I still think it was a good move by Novell, as it brought open-source DNA to the company), it's only recently that we've seen open source break $100 million valuations on very little revenue.

Clearly, the market feels like the best is yet to come.

And so it is. Now is a fantastic time to be involved in redefining the software industry to one that focuses on customers, not licenses. You should join.

Updated with a more accurate picture of Zimbra's 2006 and 2007 revenues.

[botchagalupe]

Almost everything I ever learned about open source

I learned here!

I talked to an EVP of a proprietary 1B+ company the other day and he asked me do you really think this open source thing is for real.

Here is another post you might like ...
http://www.johnmwillis.com/?p=269

[john.mark]

Ah, the Gold Rush

I get nervous whenever I see articles like this - it brings back the PTSD I suffered from the .bomb. I hope I'm just a scaredy-cat, though. As the valuations climb, they're going in the right direction, but eventually the market will sort out the winners from the losers - and when we ultimately see some open source 'losers', I hope we don't see annoying proclamations from the peanut gallery that "open source is dead!"

@botchagalupe - I love it when people ask "if open source is for real." Where have they been?