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January 23, 2009 7:07 AM PST

Imagining life after Microsoft

by Matt Asay
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The Web is abuzz the past few days with Microsoft layoffs, with a whiff of severe Microsoft vulnerability in the air. Microsoft's problems may well result from its dogmatic insistence that Vista isn't rubbish, as Gartner suggests, but that will provide small consolation to the 5,000 employees set to be laid off.

Just a momentary blip that Microsoft will soon right? Possibly, but have you checked the job boards recently? A quick Monster.com search reveals that more than 115 new Linux-related jobs have been posted since January 1. (Not that Windows jobs are in short supply.) Companies like Qualcomm have posted more than 100 Linux jobs in January alone, and I'm hearing similar numbers from other employers.

Unlike Windows, one of the most compelling aspects of Linux is the fungibility of Linux skills across employers. Linux is Linux is Linux, which means that my embedded Linux skills put to use for Sony, for example, could tomorrow be made effective for Cisco Systems' new Linux-based router, or for corporate IT's newest Red Hat or Suse Linux server.

That's power, and it's sapping Microsoft's strength. Still, I can't help but worry about life after Microsoft.

Who will be the software industry's new monopolist that we love to hate? Who will the open-source community revile? Who will become the new shorthand for all that is wrong (and much that is right) in software?

Google? Maybe. Its increasing power and sometimes slippery hold on its "don't be evil" mantra could make it the big player everyone bands against. Cisco? Powerful but still a bit bland. IBM? Nah. It had its chance decades ago and is content to mint billions of dollars without dominating the industry.

I like to compete against Microsoft. It's a tough competitor. I would miss it. I don't want Microsoft to "go softly into that good night, but rather to rage, rage against the dying of the light."

Microsoft has helped reset customer expectations about quality and cost of software. Now Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer suggests that the economy is foiling its profitability as "the economy (resets) to a lower level of business and consumer spending."

Could it be that the world is resetting to life after Microsoft?

Matt Asay brings a decade of in-the-trenches open-source business and legal experience to The Open Road, with an emphasis on emerging open-source business strategies and opportunities. Matt is vice president of business development at Alfresco, a company that develops open-source software for content management. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. You can follow Matt on Twitter @mjasay.
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by CrashPad63 January 23, 2009 7:49 AM PST
Oh more than possibly, Microsoft is the player in the OS market. Oh but you like linux so your "opinion" is a bit jaded
Reply to this comment
by MSSlayer January 23, 2009 12:09 PM PST
LOL

Matt doesn't use Linux, he is a OSX fanboy.
by tm_anon January 23, 2009 5:24 PM PST
When's the last time you looked at the actual numbers? He brought in proof, where's yours? Oh yeah, you just wanted to be an ass.
by Jim1900 January 23, 2009 7:51 AM PST
Linux skills are great, as long as you don't try to use the computer for anything.
Reply to this comment
by MSSlayer January 23, 2009 12:10 PM PST
Yeah, you might want to look at all the enterprise spaces it is being used in. And then go look at the graphics and animation that is being done there.

The one thing I am not going to miss are idiotic MS fanboys like you.
by tm_anon January 23, 2009 5:27 PM PST
@Jim1900

My skills with Windows have come in very handy. I've helped 8 friends figure out how to defrag their hard drive, how to run an antivirus and which antivirus to pick, how to clean their cache and even how to fix their registry over and over again. My skills with Linux have kind of gone to waste. I mean, once someone learns the OS, they figure out everything really quickly and then I'm left with nothing to do. Maybe I shouldn't be talking so many people into giving it a chance by just using the LiveCD I recieved free of charge from Ubuntu. Damn that user friendliness.
by jsh50 January 23, 2009 7:58 AM PST
I don't understand...the writer claims that Linux is Linux is Linux, and Windows is not Windows? Also he openly admits that plenty more of Windows jobs are available than the 115 Linux job posted. So what's the point?

While Microsoft's eventual decline in market power is a sure thing, but it's nothing like what this writer is suggesting.
Reply to this comment
by MSSlayer January 23, 2009 12:11 PM PST
Try administrating a Vista box with only XP knowledge. Good luck.
by viper396 January 26, 2009 2:03 PM PST
Administrating a Vista box is virtually the same as XP. Yes, some GUI options have changes but the basic functionality is still there. Those claiming it's not only prove that they lack the skills to correcly administer an XP Box and are using Vista as the scapegoat because Vista closes some administrative loopholes that should never have been left open in the first place.
by pmnite January 23, 2009 8:17 AM PST
Actually, Linux is not Linux is not Linux. Your program may need to be optimized for different distributions or depending on if you are creating an interface for your program you have to consider if its KDE or Gnome, etc. Its never that easy when it comes to Linux although as an end user, I like it.
Reply to this comment
by MSSlayer January 23, 2009 12:13 PM PST
The distro is irrelevant.

Give me any distro, and I can install and run anything I want. Including changing kernel on a whim.

KDE and Gnome are both standardized as well. Neither are difficult to set and use, and even write for
by dream_fly January 23, 2009 2:53 PM PST
Gee, it's not about your ablity dude. It's about other common people. Step outside of your pride and see things objectivly and see why Linux is still not the leader and then come up with some contructive plans to change that. When you are done and Linux is on every desktop, then we will praise you. But then you may change side and supporting the loser which may be the Mac or MS, so you can prove your ability once again.
by tm_anon January 23, 2009 5:33 PM PST
He said "Linux is Linux is Linux". What he didn't say is that all distros are the same. Once you take off the GUI and the parts that make the distro unique, you have Linux. Thing is, once you're working with Linux, you're working with Linux, not the distro. KDE and Gnome are very standardized, as MSSlayer said. What few skills you may have to learn in order to do the same thing in one as you can do in the other don't take long to learn. Once you've learned Linux well enough to develop on a particular distro, you're set. Your skills will translate easily from one distro to the next. I'm new at this and even I already know the basics. I have a feeling most of the other posters saying anything to the contrary just haven't used Linux.
by ctfoley January 24, 2009 12:44 PM PST
dream_fly, you are so right.
by ServerMonkey+FarmBoy January 23, 2009 8:19 AM PST
First, Microsoft changes many things with every single version. Lets compare server2008 to Server2000, or even NT. Many of the things are not where they once were, or do not function nearly the same. While this does not mean that the "decently intelligent" individual can't find enough similarities to be comfortable, Linux is a lot more seamless than that.

From an ssh session, it is difficult enough to tell Red Hat 7.1 from RedHat Enterprise Linux 5.0 that I have worked to solve problems not even realizing the difference in OS versions much less the years difference (7.x Red hat was released in 2000, while RHEL 5 was released last year (I believe). The same is true for any version of Linux more or less, regardless of what it is scaled to.

Does this mean that Linux is better than windows? No.. not really... they both have their place in the world in my opinion. For the most part, your basic user applications and your "business class" things people expect (such as email and exchange integration) are easier in windows.

Does this mean that in my opinion some one with prior linux experience is more versatile and adaptable to any linux box they touch versus windows and windows experience? Yes, it does.

These are just my experiences and my opinion... lord knows Cnet users will have plenty of their own opinions to throw at this.
Reply to this comment
by lordshipmayhem January 23, 2009 11:05 AM PST
As a business-class user, I can assure you that pointing and clicking is just as easy in KDE and Gnome as it is in Windows or OS X. It's not any easier to do "business class" things on Windows than on Linux, unless your application desperately requires that particular OS to work.

Users don't (or rather, shouldn't) care about the OS, they should be all about the application. As long as the application works, they're happy. Give them a a browser-agnostic web-based accounting program and OpenOffice.org, and the typical accountant will be able to do his/her job just as effectively on Linux as on Windows.
by dream_fly January 23, 2009 8:25 AM PST
CNET is getting worse. This biased and opinioned article is not news reporting. This attempt to make MS?s layoff was caused by Linux is simply ridicules. I wouldn?t hire this illogical guy for any coding.
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by MSSlayer January 23, 2009 12:17 PM PST
Um, this is an opinion piece. All "blogs" are opinion.

What is more "ridicules"(sic)? His opinion, or you inability to understand that this is not a news piece.

At least you are keeping the idiotic MS fanboy tradition alive.
by dream_fly January 23, 2009 2:45 PM PST
It's under "Home / News / The Open Road".
I am no more idiotic than you keeping the Linux idiotic loser tradition alive. I have abandoned Linux in 1992 and again in 2000. It was more bloated than windows XP giving the same functionality and still not common people ready. In 1992, I had to write the display driver to get it to display graphics. In 2000, I had to get enough spare hard drive space to load. Just get back to us when Linux is the market leader. Or at least open your eyes and try to see why other peoples chose MS over Linux or even the Mac for that matter; and also ask yourself why Linux still can't topple MS? People don?t use Linux even it?s free. Why? And what are you going to do about it other than accusing people choosing what they like?
by tm_anon January 23, 2009 6:03 PM PST
Let's see, reasons why people don't use Linux.
Reason 1, FUD. The average PC user reads FUD as fact.
Reason 2, price. Contrary to your opinion that the reason most people choose Linux is the price, it's actually not true. There have been scientific studies done proving that people believe the more you pay for something, the better it is. MS costs more than OS X, but the price is hidden. Apple computers appear to cost more and the consumer market has proven that when a person can choose any computer brand to buy, regardless of price, they will choose Apple.
Reason 3, MS fanboys. In other words, if you are an MS fanboy, you won't try any other OS, regardless of abilities, ease of use or how much better that OS is in any way.
Reason 4, judging by an old distro. Do you realize, if the only Windows I had ever tried were 3.1, I wouldn't know Windows had gotten any better? If I judged Windows on such an old version, what do you think I'd think about it when comparing it to OS X?

Linux is more user friendly than Windows. It's currently got better driver support. It's easier to customize. It's quicker than XP on my system and most certainly would be quicker than Vista. It's able to do more with less hardware, not just be faster, but be faster and more impressive at the same time. It's easier to set up my wireless account, requiring only that I log in the first time. It doesn't require me to defrag my hard drive, ever.

Unfortunately, FUD like yours is what most people read.
by dream_fly January 23, 2009 10:39 PM PST
It's interesting people still compare systems based on techology advances. Let's see, VHS won, WII won, IBM PC won. I once was thinking my Atari computer with 4 channels of sound and better in everything surely would beat out that IBM PC and were doing what many Linux fanboys today are doing: namely proclaming people were making a mistake by buying IBM PCs. Now I can only say grow up, people. Metric system is better and yet we are still using feets and pounds. Perhaps the easiest to understand is why people are not using the Dvorak keyboard. Sony finally understand the important of getting mass acceptance and so they won the war with blue-ray. IE is still king because FF, Chrome, Safari or even Opera are simiply not as universal as IE. Everytime I ecounter a problem in a web site with one of those supposedly better browser, I simply used IE to solve it. Yea IE is slow but it's what every web site is spending all the effort to make it work. I am sure your Linux desktop is really cool but please don't sent any non MS Word compatible resumes to your headhunters. Or perhaps you have set that as your default format already. The point is it would be much more productive to gravitate to ONE standard than many. Imagine if all Linux Fanboys would spend all their energy fixing all the weakness in Windows, how much better a world would be?
by odubtaig January 24, 2009 8:38 AM PST
Wow, that's one hell of a change of tack. You've gone from claiming Linux is technically inferior based on the state of things nine years ago to arguing that technical superiority is not what matters but 'mass acceptance'.

Single standards are great, it's a shame MS won't join everyone else in the world on that one and insist on it being their way or the highway.

I'm sure many Linux coders would love to work on improving Windows but reverse engineering is a dark art that few can master; it's easier to just write a new O/S without such restrictions.

PS. You have seen IE's market share lately, right? You could get up a good speed in a go-kart on that kind of downward gradient.
by viper396 January 26, 2009 2:19 PM PST
In response to by tm_anon January 23, 2009 6:03 PM PST

Please, you speak of FUD spoken by "MS Fanboys" yet have you ever looked objectively at the FUD used by the "Linux Fanboys" such as yourself? There is nothing more hypocyrtical then someone saying "Linux is more user friendly than Windows". "User Friendly" is a subjective ideal and some random Linux fanboy making that statement certainly doesn't make it a fact. Half the time you can't even make up your minds and stay consistent with the UI. People who have a almost fanatical following to a operating system are not the most subjective people to determine whether anything is in fact "User Friendly".
by ckurowic January 23, 2009 8:53 AM PST
Let the Windows trolling begin!!!
Reply to this comment
by mediocrates--2008 January 23, 2009 9:20 AM PST
"Who will be the software industry's new monopolist that we love to hate?"

I'd tell you, but we're all supposed to back off and give the man his privacy these days.
Reply to this comment
by fazalmajid January 23, 2009 10:01 AM PST
"Who will be the software industry's new monopolist that we love to hate?"

Apple and Red Hat, of course.

I can't believe how much of a rip-off RHEL is, and how my bovine Fortune 1000 employer is happy to pay for it instead of simply getting CentOS (or better yet, Solaris).
Reply to this comment
by shootthecops January 23, 2009 5:44 PM PST
>Who will be the software industry's new monopolist that we love to hate?

Apple, they one-upped Microsoft software lockin by adding a hardware lockin to the equation.
Reply to this comment
by ctfoley January 24, 2009 12:49 PM PST
the one linux people are gonna gripe about will be a commercial, user-friendly linux that people actually USE. it will be dissed for being too popular, too commercial, and too dumbed-down. and linux people will continue to feel superior for using a command line instead of a gui.
Reply to this comment
by odubtaig January 24, 2009 4:55 PM PST
If that's the case, who's going to produce this distro? Not Linux people? Is that a hole in your argument bigger than the Suez Canal? Looks like.

ctfoley: making Windows fanboys look dumber with every keystroke.
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About The Open Road

Matt Asay brings a decade of in-the-trenches open-source business and legal experience to the Open Road, with an emphasis on emerging open-source business strategies and opportunities. Matt is general manager of the Americas division and vice president of business development at Alfresco, a company that develops open-source software for content management. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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