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December 25, 2008 5:03 AM PST

Microsoft gearing up for layoffs? Let's hope not

by Matt Asay

I've been competing with Microsoft for years--at Lineo, Novell, and now Alfresco. But I can't get even remotely excited by the prospect of a big layoff at the software giant, with some speculation suggesting it could go as deep as 10 percent of Microsoft's 91,000 full-time employees.

Another 9,100 people out of work is not a good thing, no matter how much you may dislike Microsoft.

I, for one, do not dislike Microsoft, and have profound respect for the company's execution and many of its products. I want to see Microsoft giving Google real competition on the Web, just as I'm glad to see Google forcing Microsoft to innovate on the desktop again. It may well be that Microsoft will be a stronger competitor for pruning its workforce, and I'm a big enough believer in the free market to think that in the long term, the people affected will be better off, too.

But I still don't want to see Microsoft layoffs. Not this Christmas. Not when the market can't absorb the displaced employees. Microsofties have families, too.

Matt Asay brings a decade of in-the-trenches open-source business and legal experience to The Open Road, with an emphasis on emerging open-source business strategies and opportunities. Matt is vice president of business development at Alfresco, a company that develops open-source software for content management. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure. You can follow Matt on Twitter @mjasay.
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) Showing 1 of 2 pages (51 Comments)
by myles taylor December 25, 2008 9:11 AM PST
I agree. I'm not a huge fan of Microsoft, but they are one of the few companies that still has strong profits and cash reserves. This is not the time for them to be streamlining their workforce. Hang on to these people for at least another year, Microsoft, or what respect I do have for you will quickly disappear.
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by Sumatra-Bosch December 25, 2008 9:55 AM PST
Microsoft could lay off 99% of its workforce and no one would notice in terms of the company's relevance and productivity since the only innovation that Microsoft has introduced that is essential to its operation is the boot loader provisions in its contract with PC manufacturers. Even if the company actually needed to develop another new OS, the best thing they can do is bring in an outside team like the company did with David Culter and the DEC crew. Anyone who leaves MSFT quickly comes to their senses and realizes what a horrifically abusive and psychopathic institution it is and thanks goodness that they were somehow thrown clear of it or left it.
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by ian.waring December 25, 2008 10:14 AM PST
I thought Ray Ozzie had David Cutler back at work. I remember his work from his DEC days - prolific output of the highest quality in everything he did...
by holyhope December 28, 2008 1:30 PM PST
I couldnt agree more. This company has done more to hold back the progress of personal computers than any other entity. Its first windows programs relying on a brain damaged intel processor, in comparison to the then motorola 68000, was like reigning in sluggish slow mediocre memory management that still needs shut off and restarted with new programs. Business liked it for its semi-safe protocols, and gates miserable crony capitalist money grubbing robbing of others work is capitalism in full bloom. Hopefully it will be completely forgotten 50 years hence, as computers become what they should have when microsoft took over.
by CDubber December 25, 2008 10:19 AM PST
With Apple doing all of Microsoft's R&D, Microsoft can certainly handle some downsizing...
Reply to this comment
by coryschulz December 25, 2008 10:52 AM PST
Agreed. Cutting funding in R&D is probably the best thing MS could do. It's all going to waste anyways. Nothing good is becoming of it. Microsoft isn't a terrible company. It's just run by a bunch of idiots. I think Windows 7 will be their saving grace for the time being. But I won't be paying for it. I'll just torrent it and run it in a VM on my Mac.
by spacydog December 25, 2008 11:44 AM PST
Where do you think all the improvements in security in Vista and Win7 are coming from, the fairy god mother? Definitely not Apple and their "cool" design R&D.
by MSSlayer December 25, 2008 12:59 PM PST
The "improvements" in security that MS made could come from any freshman CS student. They are that bad. Very amateurish, and every single one of them has been broken rendering it as unsecure as XP.
by toosday December 25, 2008 3:18 PM PST
So, let me get this straight: You're encouraging the loss of a thousand or so jobs?


Stay classy!
by daimajinbuu December 25, 2008 11:27 AM PST
Big deal, as a truckdriver laid off since dec 9th 2007, let 'em eat poo. Crappy OS.
Reply to this comment
by asdf125895 December 25, 2008 8:27 PM PST
Bad career choice. Good luck with things though.
by supadupa712 December 25, 2008 8:59 PM PST
some points on your comments:
1. if you don't like the OS there are alternatives like Mac OS X or Linux, which is free
2. who do you recommend we "stand up and fight"?
3. one of the problems with our country is labor unions (like the Teamsters) that have driven our cost-of-goods to a point that now the jobs aren't necessary because no one can afford to buy what they used to. Have the Teamsters done anything for you in the year that you have been laid off? the auto industry is the most obvious example, but face it, unions have served their purpose (which was vital 50 years ago) but now they are a big part of the problem. $40 per hour to drive a truck??? It took me 4 years of college (and $40K in student loans) plus ANOTHER 2 years of busting tail for some critical certifications to get to that level. Sorry, but driving a truck is not that specialized. Good luck finding a job.
by daimajinbuu December 25, 2008 11:33 AM PST
This country is going to **** and all anyone has to do about it is BLOG. What will that get you? NOTHING! STAND UP AND FIGHT. IT WAS GOOD ENOUGH FOR OUR COUNTRYS FOUNDERS, IT'S GOOD ENOUGH FOR RIGHT NOW!
Reply to this comment
by daimajinbuu December 25, 2008 11:39 AM PST
But you all won't , you're too afraid to speak your minds. I'm not.
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by Rants&Raves December 25, 2008 1:39 PM PST
Why are you angry and disrespectful with everyone here ? What has anyone here done to you ? You speak a lot about fighting: what's you big plan ?
by gsmiller88 December 25, 2008 11:39 AM PST
That's funny considering Bill Gates is worth tens of billions.
Reply to this comment
by daimajinbuu December 25, 2008 11:42 AM PST
Bill Gates? Look out for yourself. This country is going down the tubes, and you're thinking of Gates!

[Edited to remove personal attack.]
Reply to this comment
by drummer51689 December 25, 2008 12:43 PM PST
Daimajinbuu: Hey man. you don't need to talk like that here.... especially when you don't know what your talking about to begin with.

oh and maybe truck driving wasn't your strong suit.. so get a better job. :) It will make you feel better!!

drummer
Reply to this comment
by Vegaman_Dan December 25, 2008 6:21 PM PST
I used to drive a truck too. I still have my CDL and keep it updated. But I'm working at the Microsoft site now and that means one more truck driving job made available for Daimajinbuu thanks to Microsoft.
by asdf125895 December 25, 2008 8:49 PM PST
Hey daimajinbuu - On the internet everyone is 6'8". I'm 7'0" though.

The whole country is laying off workers. But the answer isn't to scoff at Microsoft workers if they do get laid off. We need to work through this so everyone, including you, can work at a job that lets them use their skills.
by Dennis_in_Alaska December 25, 2008 12:51 PM PST
What a backhanded comment.

Yes it is terrible when anyone loses their job. The country is sliding into a depression, and it seems there's nothing we can do about it.

At the same time, no software or hardware manufacturer has done more for computing in the entire world than Microsoft. Remember what it was like before Microsoft? Everything priority-based?

The endless attacks against Microsoft are ridiculous.
Reply to this comment
by t8 December 25, 2008 3:36 PM PST
What are you talking about?
IBM opened up the PC and innovation was built on top. Microsoft have never been anything but proprietary. Where have you been for the last 20 years?
by alegr December 25, 2008 7:25 PM PST
t8,

IBM simply wasn't able to keep PC closed. They tried once, with MCA bus. MCA failed miserably. Just like Token Ring.
by MSSlayer December 26, 2008 3:31 PM PST
I think you meant to say that no other company has damaged computing more than Microsoft, because what you wrote is 100% BS.
by daimajinbuu December 25, 2008 1:46 PM PST
What, are you jack of all trades? Try truckdriving, takes 1 out of 100 to do it....RIGHT. I have driven over 2 million miles with not one accident, and am forced out of of my job because of this crappy economy.

[Edited to remove personal attack.]
Reply to this comment
by daimajinbuu December 25, 2008 2:07 PM PST
To the ... mentioning fighting. Yes, you should FIGHT now. If not, mabey you own a BMW and a $500,000 home. In which case, you feel comfortable. This will end. Prepare.

[Edited to remove personal attack.]
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by nfrengle December 25, 2008 2:27 PM PST
The things that I really hate about Microsoft are the things that will be made much worse by layoffs:
*Lack of deep knowledge in certain product lines (ie telephony and videoconferencing knowledge in their OCS team)
*Promises thrown out by their salespeople (ie the "no it doesn't do that now, but just wait for the next version) but then not executed by their software teams
*Arrogance. Pure and simple, knowing what I do of the Microsoft mentality, layoffs will simply confirm to those left that they are an elite bunch, and sorry, not everyone can work for Microsoft. Google has this mentality, too, to such an extent that certain IT support functions' job descriptions would basically require the applicant to have written the RFC document or similar. Microsoft doesn't believe in RFC documents, and so their source of arrogance is somewhat less quantifiable than Google's, but is still awesome.
Most workforces are under-resourced already. There have generally, in almost every industry, been so many rounds of layoffs, hiring freezes, and so on, that there is very little fat in most companies. I don't know about MS, but the kneejerk reaction that firing people is the answer when you have bad news for shareholders has outlived its usefulness. Why not go at it the way it should be done: "We have had a really good look at our overall strategy, and decided to sell these parts of our business which don't make sense to us right now in this market. There are good people working in those businesses, and we are hopeful that they continue to be successful under new owners, and expect to sell the business with promises to treat our people as we would treat them." Or alternatively, and more brutally, "we have looked long and hard at the numbers of this certain business, and it is losing money." We are no longer happy to lose money, and don't believe that we will be able to sell this business line, though we will try to give it away to another company if they think they can make a go of it. That would in all likelihood lead to layoffs, but we need to give whichever company acquires those assetts a free hand to turn the business around."
Rather than layoff's being a side-effect of a shift in strategy, layoffs too often become the strategy. Sure, it is a good thing to make sure people continue to strive, and to stay motivated. And if you can't do that, to find a way for them to get that somewhere else (and on somone else's dollar). A lot of that does happen in the process of layoffs, but because of the mass nature of them, it is a clumsy tool for getting rid of old wood, and too often leads to your good people, who know they can find a job elsewhere, and are tempted by severence packages to move on.
And the irony: Because they haven't made hard strategic choices, instead relying on doing all the same things they were doing before, only with fewer people, most company's make a complete hash of layoffs, needing to hire back many of the people they just let go, often at a higher cost, as contractors.
I hate the mentaility of layoffs in non-manufacturing industries. It leaves too few people to do the same work properly, and in the end costs a company as much or more than it saves. Stupid.
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by t8 December 25, 2008 3:32 PM PST
I think 9000 people working for the Web is better than 9000 working for Windows. This will be good news if it happens and good for consumers who may see some great innovations for the Web in the future.
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by Penguinisto December 25, 2008 4:20 PM PST
Layoffs suck no matter who does it.

OTOH, I doubt this'll bite the permanent employees too hard - MSFT will likely can their 10% out of the contractors.
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by Vegaman_Dan December 25, 2008 6:24 PM PST
MSFT has been moving away from the contractor model for quite a while now. It's actually very hard to even find an A- at MSFT these days. Typically they use vendors like Volt, Aquantive, Hyperion and others to do the screening and hire on those they want to keep. It gives them the chance to pick and choose who they want *after* they have proven themselves worth it.

Now if they cut 10% of their vendors, that would be a significant change.
by December 25, 2008 5:29 PM PST
9100 jobs.... Only if they are the out sourced ones! Otherwise it's time for Gates & Ballmer to open up their wallets and invest more back into the company and their country.
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by dhavleak December 26, 2008 3:32 AM PST
1. MS sells its software all over the world -- what's wrong with it employing people all over the world?

2. Microsoft / Bill Gates / Steve Ballmer have done more for their country than you ever will - so stop being a ******. For proof of that, consider:
- The revenue MS brings into this country through international sales *far* outweigh the payroll to employees outside the US - probably in the region of quarter of a trillion dollars by now.
- Indirectly throug the gates foundation (it has many US-specific programs - http://www.gatesfoundation.org/united-states/Pages/program-overview.aspx) working diectly with United Way, etc.

Lastly -- stop being a ****** in general. People are people all over the world. We have easy lives. Why are you ok with 9100 people losing jobs in the rest of the world but not in the US? If you have to wish for something can't you just wish that 9100 people don't lose their jobs -- here or anywhere else?
by drummer51689 December 25, 2008 5:56 PM PST
Hey CNET. You need to get daimajinbuu booted off of this website seriously. He's messing up the blogs and he is starting to threaten people. Please get him off of here. :)

btw... the auto companies(GM, Chrysler, and Ford) screwed themselves over by sticking with gas guzzling cars and not switching to electric cars like Toyota and other auto companies.

Thanks,

drummer
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by Vegaman_Dan December 25, 2008 6:19 PM PST
Considering Microsoft is adding more than a dozen large buildings to their Redmond campus with space for an additional 30,000 employees, I don't think they are going to be laying off anyone anytime soon. I could be wrong though- they could be spending billions in new real estate just to keep it empty. Again, not likely.

Then there are all the data centers going online, as well as their whole new business model with services over OS's.

It's an interesting speculation, but unfounded and just that- speculation.
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by holyhope December 28, 2008 1:54 PM PST
If microsoft is changing business strategies from software to services, I pity what will happen to the net. It will mean more pay to look sites and less inovation and entreprenurial products and interesting net sources. I would pay for pirates to raid their information warehouses instead of a free flow of ideas and freedom of information on the net. Hopefully during the coming depression bill gates will go broke.
by December 25, 2008 8:48 PM PST
For years, Microsoft has been crying about not being able to locate enough qualified workers available in the U.S, in justifying the massive offshoring they've done. That excuse can no longer be used, as qualified software engineers are being laid off coast-to-coast.

Perhaps they should consider downsizing their offshore workforce and concentrate on building up their onshore workforce, to take advantage of this opportunity. The more likely scenario is that they'll lay off U.S. workers and build up their offshore staffs, in order to pay low wages. Maybe they'll be looking for a bail-out from the taxpayers next, and use the money hire more offshore workers.
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by dhavleak December 26, 2008 3:49 AM PST
More anonymous FUD.

1. Matt Asay's generated a FUD-storm. Microsoft *has not* announced layoffs. This is speculation by Matt Asay. He has motive to speculate. The guy works for companies that directly compete with Microsoft, and constantly writes high-visibility anti-MS FUD. Unethical if you ask me.

2. Your reasining is flawed. If say, Yahoo lays off 1000 people -- MSFT cannot hire 1000 of them (or even 100 of them) unless they have that many openings in their online services division. Do you think that someone working on web technologies at Yahoo (or any other comany with massive layoffs) would be a good fit in say the teams that build office/visual studio/windows/xbox? Talk sense man!

3. MS has a huge positive cashflow, and cash reserves. They won't be looking for a bailout from taxpayers anytime soon. Stop this silly FUD right now, please.

4. Just because the company is healthy now, does not mean they should not try to anticipate future threats and prepare for them accordingly. If Detroit had done that we might not be in the current mess we are in. If Bush had done that, he would not have sent 4000 of our finest to their death in Iraq over a meaningless invasion. If wall street had done that, perhaps we would not be looking at record levels of foreclosures right now. Don't take your anger at these things out on MS.

5. The mentality that all employees are the same is a complete logical fallacy. You say MS should lay off foreign workes and hire in the US. MS will die if it does that. To continue to be in the upper echelon of software makers they will need the best people (same for Apple/Google/Cisco/Anybody). In their business they can't afford to consider nationality. If they do that, soon some Chinese/Swedish/whatever company will do to them what Nokia/HTC did to Motorola (make them an endangered species).

Bottom line -- look beyond the knee-jerk reactions, and think for a second. nd especially, be wary of conflicts of interest when somebody like Matt Asay writes an article.
by MSSlayer December 26, 2008 3:34 PM PST
Most "software engineers" are not qualified.

They either read .net for retards or are proud of their 2.1 GPA from some out of touch CS program in a regional university.

MS does have some excellent people, but most are of the type described above. Hopefully, they won't find work in this field because they are not qualified.
by vamman December 25, 2008 9:21 PM PST
Microsoft laying people off? The American economy is in some bad way. The top industries are failing miserably. Its like every major company all of a sudden can't deal with a bad market.
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About The Open Road

Matt Asay brings a decade of in-the-trenches open-source business and legal experience to the Open Road, with an emphasis on emerging open-source business strategies and opportunities. Matt is general manager of the Americas division and vice president of business development at Alfresco, a company that develops open-source software for content management. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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