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March 16, 2009 2:50 PM PDT

From bad to worse: The state of the media in 2009

by Charles Cooper

You can reduce the conclusions from the sixth annual report on the state of the U.S. news media to a couple of words: Infinitely bleak.

And that's taking the optimistic view.

The 180,000-word report by he Project for Excellence in Journalism comes against a backdrop of newspaper closings and staff reductions around the country. It just so happens that this week also marks the Seattle Post-Intelligencer's farewell as a print publication. After that, the newspaper will be offered solely in digital form. But as the report makes clear, the transition from dead trees to the Web may not be enough to reverse the decline in U.S. newspapers.

Here are the highlights:

•  Newspaper ad revenues fell 23 percent in the last two years.
•  Nearly one of every five journalists working for newspapers in 2001 is now gone from that line of work.
•  2009 may be the worst year yet for newspapers.
•  Local television news revenue fell by 7 percent (even in an election year).

The only bright spot on the news horizon was in cable , though the report finds that some of the ratings gains evaporated after the election.

All the while, the accelerating migration to the Internet continued apace. In the last year, Web traffic at the top 50 Internet news sites rose 27 percent. The irony is that this stunning shift in reading preference isn't likely to work to the benefit of the newspaper establishment. To wit:

"Yet it is now all but settled that advertising revenue--the model that financed journalism for the last century--will be inadequate to do so in this one. Growing by a third annually just two years ago, online ad revenue to news websites now appears to be flattening; in newspapers it is declining."

The recession came at a particularly bad time for an industry struggling to remain afloat. But even if the economy had not gone south, the report makes clear that the industry would still be facing a fight for survival.

"Imagine someone about to begin physical therapy following a stroke, suddenly contracting a debilitating secondary illness. Journalism, deluded by its profitability and fearful of technology, let others outside the industry steal chance after chance online. By 2008, the industry had finally begun to get serious. Now the global recession has made that harder."

The one piece of good news in the report is that "audience gains at sites offering legacy news were far larger than those for new media." In other words, readers still find value in what the report terms "the old norms of traditional journalism." But there's a bigger challenge facing the profession.

"The problem facing American journalism is not fundamentally an audience problem or a credibility problem. It is a revenue problem--the decoupling, as we have described it before, of advertising from news. That makes the situation better than it might have been. But audiences now consume news in new ways. They hunt and gather what they want when they want it, use search to comb among destinations and share what they find through a growing network of social media."

And the report is blunt about the news industry's often feckless efforts to monetize an increasingly active online audience. It notes, for instance, that about half of all classified advertising revenue has disappeared--"a good deal of that to operations that newspapers could have developed for themselves." But wait. It gets worse.

"Insiders now expect that classified revenue could be zero in five years--or sooner. When newspaper executives met this winter to talk about how to create a way for consumers to design their own ads, the discussion focused on doing so for print editions, not online. 'They still don't get it,' one irritated executive told us on background."

At this rate, you have to wonder whether the kicker to next year's edition will be "Last one out the door, turn out the lights."

Charles Cooper has covered technology and business for more than 25 years. Before joining CNET News, he worked at the Associated Press, Computer & Software News, Computer Shopper, PC Week, and ZDNet. E-mail Charlie.
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by stuxstu March 16, 2009 3:24 PM PDT
Guess we will be stuck with the other biased news sources like CNET..... I do wonder how much of this is caused by all the yellow journalism?
Reply to this comment
by Vurk March 19, 2009 11:39 AM PDT
You realize dont you, that "yellow journalism" is like "activist judges", a phrase that indicates not its original meaning but rather "anything I dont like or disagree with, regardless of factual basis".

Fox News is practicing the original Hearst-inspired yellow journalism: "You supply the pictures; I'll supply the war."
Or, in more modern terms "You supply the WMD rumors; we'll supply the support for endless war."
by Mr. Dee March 16, 2009 3:26 PM PDT
This doom and gloom scares me. Why can't the print media simply evolve and conform with the times by building on the Internet? Social Networks would be such an amazing way to interact with users and build new empires since they are the ones creating the news. The need to realize, delivering ads need to be innovative, delivering content needs to be innovative: Wiki's, Blogs, My Space, Facebook, Twitter - Mobile Devices. Your content needs to be fresh, it needs to be first with the news, accurate, constantly updated. I can't be reading old news from half an hour ago, I need the latest. Please, can you deliver?
Reply to this comment
by Vurk March 19, 2009 11:47 AM PDT
You dont seem to realize that 'news' is a collection of things that have already happened that are different (new) from one time period to the next. 'The Nighly News', 'The Morning/Afternoon/Evening News'.

News organizations are not Harry Potter, they dont have magic teleportation; When something happens, it has to be considered worth the time and money to send a person to the place something is happening and report back.

Unlike citizen reporters, professional reporters are paid to make sense of the news; how, when, where, why, who, what and to write it down in an intelligent, sensible and readable fashion.
Professional reporters cannot do that in 30 minutes unless you are willing to pay for lolcat speech.

Haz u gt tim fur de newz?
by dbargen March 16, 2009 3:39 PM PDT
My 2¢: Part of this stems from two failures:
1. Failure to adapt- Sorry but the same old revenue streams don't convert to them web where information is next-to-free in the vast majority of cases.
2. Pandering biased agenda- it was pretty poor for the half-dozen years, but with the previous election cycle, bias was on full display and most literary commentary, be it on politics, tech, human interest, etc. offered no real substance that the public feels is worth the read. It also doesn't help that everyone picks up the AP newslines, using the SAME PHRASES, and runs it as their own, be it in publications or cable networks. Sounds a bit like marching orders...

Readership and revenue is down because information and opinions come much more cheaply. The information monopolies of previous decades have all-but dissolved You're going to have to have some valuable, specialized info to pull eyeballs these days. Large publications often have a hard time moving from using token pieces to targeting specific reader groups.

Perhaps an iTunes model would save magazines- very inexpensive content, and high sales volumes. That would take a lot less work than the research for target market groups...
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by SamuraiArtGuy March 16, 2009 9:22 PM PDT
I will still on occasion visit the New York Times, exclusively online. But after the horrifying excesses of the Bush years, and the utter pandering in search of ratings by the corporate mainstream media, and the lip service paid to ubiased reporting, I an utterly FINISHED with American Network News. In fact for the recent Presidential Election, some of the better reporting was on the COMEDY CHANNEL, second to BBC America, which still practices something resembling journalism. Yep, Not Made Here. Gee, what a surprise.

There is a reason why both Dan Rather and Ted Koppel, two of the last trustworth voices on the air, LEFT the networks. Traditional investigative journalism doesn't fit with the model of "entertainment news"
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by SactoGuy018 March 17, 2009 11:12 AM PDT
Here's the biggest problem with traditional news networks: they assume that people will tune into the news only once a day. Problem is, with the modern public Internet and 24-hour cable news channels, they can catch up on the news any time of the day; they don't need to wait for newspaper deliveries in the early morning or watching the network newscasts at the end of the day.

Alvin Toffler warned about this exactly 30 years ago in his famous book THE THIRD WAVE; it appears the traditional news organizations ignored that fact, much to their loss. Newspapers are particularly vulnerable because sites like Craigslist and eBay have effectively taken away all the classified advertising revenue that newspapers used to depend on.
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by kingtrae79 March 17, 2009 1:45 PM PDT
I believe that all of this could be summed up in a few words- you snooze, you loose. This didn't happen overnight, they tried to fight it at every turn, and this is the natural process that occurs when an entity cannot or refuses to evolve with "The Times" funny that many papers used to call themselves that! they might as well have been distributing on stone tablets.
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by Len Bullard March 18, 2009 11:49 AM PDT
News news everywhere and not a truth to think.

Clouds aren't restricted to angels.
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About Coop's Corner

Charles Cooper has covered technology and business for more than 25 years. A graduate of Queens College and Columbia University, Cooper received the Excellence in Journalism award from the Northern California branch of the Society for Professional Journalists for column writing.

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