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January 14, 2008 4:46 PM PST

Is Apple readying a wireless announcement? Maybe not

by Marguerite Reardon
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A banner at the Moscone Center in San Francisco where Apple will host its annual Macworld conference has many in the technology sector buzzing about a possible wireless announcement coming from CEO Steve Jobs' keynote on Tuesday.

The banner that reads "There's something in the Air" has prompted much speculation that Apple is readying itself for another big wireless announcement. The most persistent rumor is that Apple will include WiMax on Apple notebooks.

WiMax is a wireless broadband technology that will deliver faster download speeds than 3G wireless over longer distances than is possible with Wi-Fi, making it an intriguing next-generation technology. Intel has been pushing the technology aggressively over the past year and a half. And the company is about to include WiMax as an option in its next-generation processors set to hit the market in the next couple of years. Five laptop makers--Acer, Asus, Lenovo, Panasonic, and Toshiba--have all agreed to use the new WiMax enabled chips in their laptops.

For this reason, some people say that it makes sense for Apple to announce support for WiMax.

"WiMax is likely to be a hot feature in laptops this year," said Gemma Tedesco, senior analyst at InStat. "I expect all the big players to announce support for WiMax by the end of the year. So it might be worth Apple's while to announce support for it now."

While I can see why Tedesco might think this, my gut tells me that it's unlikely. The reasons are pretty simple. For one, there's no major WiMax network deployed today in the U.S. Sprint Nextel is currently building a network, but its right now it's only testing service in three markets: Chicago, Baltimore, and Washington, D.C. It plans to roll out service more widely later this year. But Sprint's plans could change. In October, the company ousted its CEO. In December it hired a new one, but now there's talk that cutbacks are coming and that Sprint may scale back its deployment.

It seems highly unlikely to me that Apple would spend much energy touting a technology that may never get off the ground. Some experts agree.

"I don't see a WiMax announcement as very likely," said Charles Golvin, an analyst with Forrester Research. "With the exception of the iPhone and AppleTV, Jobs announces products that can ship today. And WiMax won't be available until the Sprint network is built out."

What about other possible wireless announcements? Some people wonder if Apple might be announcing support for ultra wide band or 3G cellular technology in its notebooks. Perhaps Apple is going to unveil new iPods with Wi-Fi support. Or maybe the company is going to announce a new 3G-enabled iPhone.

I suppose any of these could be possible. But when you analyze each one more closely, they all seem rather unlikely.

Let's take ultra wide band support for Apple notebooks. Ultra wide band is a technology that has been kicking around for a while. It provides high-bandwidth wireless transfers over short distances. And while I don't argue that this could be useful for file transferring or moving video wirelessly over short distances, I don't see it as a big enough upgrade or change to Apple's products to warrant much hoopla.

Adding 3G cellular technology to Apple's notebooks also makes sense, especially considering Apple has a relationship with AT&T. Many laptop companies, such as Dell, already provide 3G as an option. But again this doesn't seem like an announcement that Apple would spend much marketing energy on. While embedded 3G is a nice thing to have for business travelers, the feature hasn't exactly been a hit among other laptop makers. The main problem is cost. Embedding 3G into laptops can jack up the price about $50 or $60. And then users have to sign up for a service that will cost another $60 a month. And because wireless operators don't use the same technology and they strictly control which devices use their networks, laptop owners are locked into a single operator for their service.

Wi-Fi on iPods could be a nice addition to the product line. After all, the iPod Touch and the iPhone both have Wi-Fi. But again this isn't likely to be announced at this Macworld, since Apple refreshed this product line in September. And while it's almost a no-brainer that a 3G iPhone is on the way, it probably won't be announced until the second half of the year.

So what could Apple mean with its "There's something in the air" banner?

Perhaps the company isn't referring to wireless at all. Rumors have also been flying around that Apple will announce a new ultra-portable notebook that is being called the "MacBook Air" because it is so thin and light. Rumor has it that this mini MacBook is about 50 percent thinner and lighter than the current MacBook Pro, the largest notebook in Apple's portfolio.

Stay tuned for real-time coverage on the Steve Jobs' keynote to find out details on any and all announcements. My colleague Tom Krazit will be live-blogging the event from San Francisco starting at 9 a.m. PST.

Marguerite Reardon has been a CNET News reporter since 2004, covering cell phone services, broadband, citywide Wi-Fi, the Net neutrality debate, as well as the ongoing consolidation of the phone companies. E-mail Maggie.
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It's Job's early morning Burrito
by Ed Hoarse January 14, 2008 5:52 PM PST
Hopefully it's not an wireless AppleTV box, and Asus already came out with the EEEpc for ultra portable, diskless, quick start up. Let me guess another glossy fully not functional overpriced product with lots of bugs. Yes I own an ipod but I also have a Zune for better sound quality.
Reply to this comment
What is an Asus?
by Lee in San Diego January 14, 2008 6:13 PM PST
Your post is the first time I ever heard of them or their EEEpc, I had
to Google them to find out more.

So for what are you using your iPod if you prefer the sound out of
the Zune?
Interesting
by GGGlen January 14, 2008 6:13 PM PST
The EEEpc can't run a single piece of software that I own, while my
17' Glossy MacBook Pro (I no longer use the matte screened one,
can't stand the display) runs virtually every software title on the
planet.

Also, and based on your comment, I visited Dell.com, where I found
out that a similarly spec'd laptop was WAY MORE EXPENSIVE than my
MacBook, even though it was thicker AND heavier AND ran FAR less
software.

The bit about being "not functional" is especially amusing, as every
single component in my laptop is indeed "fully functional", and gets
used nearly every day.

Lastly, you can't find a review on the planet that thinks Microsoft's
proprietary audio CODEC sounds better than the open and royalty
free MP4 format (also known as AAC), so you might consider just
swapping out the iPod's included earbuds for a decent set of
earpieces.

So... tell me again why I should take anything you've written seriously?

You seem to believe that laptops that run less software, yet cost more
when configured identically are better... so maybe you've just had a
bad day at work?

Anywayzzzz...

:-)
View reply
MacBook Air
by Riquez-001 January 14, 2008 8:56 PM PST
WiMax alone isnt anywhere near exciting enough to be the
subject of the banner "Something in the Air"
Last year Macworld announced the iPhone, so this year
announcing a new type of wifi is pretty boring in comparison.
Macworld has the reputation of announcing some fairly big &
exciting products & since the 8-core Mac Pro was sneaked in
quietly last week I'm willing to wager it has to be a lot more
impressive than that ...& that's quite impressive.

My bet is on MacBook Air being the main announcement,
however I don't believe that "light as air" is the reason for the
name - it may incorporate wimax, or some other funky wireless
tech. Since its likely that this ultra portable will be sans optical
drive, I like to see some clever wireless or online way of
compensating.

Just guessing here, as everyone else is, but I think 3G for the
iPhone might be on its way. Apple have said that the iPhone will
come to Japan in spring? 2008 & so the iPhone HAS to be 3G for
that - this could be it, "Something in the Air" being a 3G iPhone
and pushing the movie/TV downloads angle.
Reply to this comment
Must be P2P wireless
by MrStuckless January 15, 2008 6:13 AM PST
I think they may have worked out their wirless systems (for iPhone, iTouch, MacBook etc) to transmit and receive wifi from each other (like bluetooth but larger range and larger ammounts of data transfer). This could be quite useful.
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