December 10, 2007 4:54 PM PST

Is the 'god box' finally real?

by Jon Oltsik
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The term "god box" has its own definition in the technology industry. For those unfamiliar with the phrase, a "god box" is a single system packed with ridiculous amounts of functionality. Think of an all-in-one television, cable box, TiVo, and home entertainment speaker system and you get the idea. One "god box" always replaces numerous more pedestrian systems.

In the past, it was not unusual for some new company to come to me--an analyst--and spin its new proprietary "god box." But I always remained skeptical. Why? I assumed that a "god box" would fall victim to either technology or economic limitations. That is to say, "god boxes" were always either underpowered or overpriced. Additionally, you could usually get better software functionality from specialists; "god boxes" were more of a software aggregation than a quality play.

Times have changed. No, we aren't quite yet at a point where the industry can produce Scott McNealy's visionary, "big honkin' Web switch," but we are getting closer. "God boxes" are more real than ever because of:

• Multicore processors. In the past, there was no getting around the need for multiple expensive physical processors. As a result, phat Hewlett-Packard, IBM, and Sun Microsystems servers were kings of the system hill, but they were usually reserved for back-office transaction processing or high-performance computing. Enter commodity multicore processors and, voila, big horsepower/low price. I can now do fancy processing algorithms on a modestly priced box.

• Hardware commodification. Hardware essentials such as memory, Ethernet ports, FPGAs (field-programmable gate arrays), or fixed-function processors are all readily available for a few hundred bucks at most. To continue to compete, hardware widget makers constantly increase the functionality of their own wares, thus accelerating the entire intelligent system (aka "god box") cycle.

• Software critical mass. Four things have happened on the software front: 1. Design software quality is up, making entry-level programs "good enough" for lots of tasks. 2. Open source frees developers to outsource software "plumbing" and focus on value-added features. 3. Component software speeds incremental innovation. 4. The army of global programming talent available for hire today is much larger than it was. Server virtualization from Citrix, Microsoft, and VMware will also fuel this fire.

These advances change the playing field and make the "god box" concept increasingly real. Small start-up hardware jocks like A10 Networks deliver lightning fast multifunction systems. Cisco Systems keeps adding new blade-based functionality to its Catalyst Ethernet switches, Juniper continues to enhance its JUNOS operating system with advanced packet processing, and SonicWall can deliver an all-in-one networking/security appliance in a small form factor. These are just a few examples.

Over the next few years, what we know today as routers, switches, and Unified Threat Management (UTM) appliances may all become multifunctional "god boxes" that combine the best operating systems with advanced hardware to deliver integrated functionality that boggles the mind. This will take place at the high and low end of the market. What's more, I expect to see these "god boxes" start to include industry-specific functionality. For example, networking equipment for manufacturers and logistics companies will ship with integrated radio frequency identification readers, XML rule sets, and integration into production databases.

It is worth noting that "god boxes" really favor the networking crowd. The more intelligence they can pack into the network, the less smarts you need elsewhere.

I was a skeptic, now I'm a believer. Welcome to the "god box" era. Expect to see some really big systems and really cool stuff soon.

Jon Oltsik is a senior analyst at the Enterprise Strategy Group. He is not an employee of CNET.
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Meh.
by Urza9814 December 10, 2007 6:23 PM PST
When computers were new, they _were_ a god box. Hell, by your definition an all-in-one printer would have been a god box. Boomboxes may have been considered a kind of god box in their day. The modern electronic keyboard is most certainly a god box.

New technology takes existing things and combines them. It's nothing new. What we consider a god box will be a basic item used as a building block in the god boxes of tomorrow.
Reply to this comment
Meaning...
by msimoens December 10, 2007 7:18 PM PST
Yes, the iPhone is an example of combining things. However, I'd
like a TiVo, a great receiver, DVD player, etc all in one with one
remote that comes from the factory. Sure, you can get a computer
to do all of this but it is actually complicated
The "God Box" is a phone.
by Maccess December 10, 2007 8:16 PM PST
It will connect to a full size keyboard via bluetooth, to a full size monitor or hdtv wirelessly. It will store files internally or on a memory card. It will hook up to a wireless USB hub, and it will fit in your pocket.

All these technologies already exist. Give it a year or two and the "God Box" will fit in your pocket.
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I got a pimped-out Blackberry on black friday
by Wookiee-1138 December 10, 2007 9:56 PM PST
..and it certainly fits the description. With a media card installed, it can even double as a small MP3 player in lieu of a iphone.
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what idiots do you know that uses the term "god box"?
by krosavcheg December 10, 2007 11:16 PM PST
"god box" is a stupid term that some niche idiots use.
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Console Stereo Systems and Silly Valley
by Len Bullard December 11, 2007 7:03 AM PST
Right. We once called these console stereos (stereo, TV, radio). Starting as separate units, economics and costs made them attractive to sell as combos, then they bifurcate again as technical advantages increased costs and specialty markets reemerged. Eventually, they split again and now that seems permanent but this is really just longer cycle time.

The computer is already functionally a combo box, mobile split it, and now mobile is recombining.

No one I know calls these a 'god box'. More Silly Valley hubris. SV is the only location I know where a technical conference begins with a guy standing on stage shouting with fireworks and big lighting displays behind him. The combination of entertainment and huckster technology is why the term "Silly Valley" actually IS ubiquitous.
ha
by menotbug December 11, 2007 7:31 AM PST
hey let's run around insulting everybody! whee

but the term "god box" taken literally would be the ultimate
oxymoron - how could you put God in a box? I don't think you
could make him stay in there.
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It's a solar powered toaster...
by RainCaster December 11, 2007 1:16 PM PST
...with a 16 way neural network of 256 bit custom Playstation processors. It plays BluRay disks, connects to GSM or WiFi networks for VOIP, and can cook dinner while scrubbing the hot tub filter. With the special Ultimate Upgrade package, it can keep your home computer secure, clean out the garage and check your prostate health as well.

What a bunch of hooey- people have been trying to sell the "Ultimate Product" since women first got into business. This is just the latest hype in that line of thinking.
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Can't happen
by ebackhus December 13, 2007 11:59 AM PST
If I can't even walk out of a door to a retail store without my new toy becoming instantly obsoete then the "God Box" can't last more than 5 minutes. Tops.
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