July 31, 2009 12:13 PM PDT

Firefox: 1 billion downloads only part of the story

by Stephen Shankland
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At about 8 a.m. PDT Friday, Firefox crossed the billion-download threshold--a notably large number for Mozilla's open-source Web browser but one that doesn't tell the whole story.

Firefox fans love their statistical milestones, and Mozilla enjoys fanning the flames by providing plenty of opportunities for self-congratulation. In 2008 was the Firefox Download Day, with more than 8 million downloads in 24 hours. Next came the Firefox 3.5 debut and its download tracker.

Mozilla boasted that Firefox downloads surpassed 1 billion on Friday.

Mozilla boasted that Firefox downloads surpassed 1 billion on Friday.

(Credit: Screenshot by Stephen Shankland/CNET)

And now we have the billion-download figure on the Spread Firefox site. That includes updates people have fetched deliberately, not automatic updates, Mozilla said. To maximize the marketing potential, Mozilla also is touting the 1,000,000,000 + you site.

That site probably could be named better. Firefox director Mike Belztner said in June that Mozilla estimates there are 300 million Firefox users, up from 175 million a year earlier, so don't go thinking there are a billion people using it. Indeed, I find the total user population a much more interesting statistic than downloads.

Firefox has truly achieved real success, eating steadily into Microsoft Internet Explorer's dominant market share to become the second-most used browser. The newest version is downloaded between 40 and 60 times a second worldwide at present.

IE 8 downloads surpass 200 million
But lest Firefox fans get too carried away with their success, there's another number that shows what Mozilla is up against. According to a source familiar with Microsoft's statistics, IE 8 has been downloaded more than 200 million times in the last four months since its release.

That's a fifth of the way to what Firefox achieved since Firefox 1.0 was released nearly five years ago. And Microsoft hasn't even begun pushing IE 8 through update in earnest yet. Microsoft's 200 million statistic doesn't include updates such as bug patches and security fixes.

So let's face it: being installed along with the world's most widely used operating system remains a huge advantage for IE's use, antitrust concerns notwithstanding. Microsoft declined to comment on its download statistics.

(Credit: Mozilla)

So what do all these numbers really show besides browser makers' urges to thump their chests about their popularity? This: the world of browsers is in serious flux.

Next-gen Web en route
That's because after years of near-dormancy after IE crushed Netscape in the 1990s, the browser wars are back in full swing. The growing migration of personal and professional activity to Web applications, the growing adoption of broadband Internet connections, and the growing adoption of truly Web-capable mobile phones are combining to make Web browsers a strategic asset in the computing industry. Apple, Microsoft, Mozilla, Google, Opera Software, and others all want to be the gateway to the world's most vibrant medium, the Internet.

Even the fifth-ranked browser can claim notable success. Opera's desktop browser has been downloaded more than 270 million times from the company's own servers since 2003, and the daily download rate has jumped from 30,000 to 40,000 back then to about 200,000 today, the company said. Throwing Opera Mini for mobile phones into the mix increases the total to about 500 million.

The download rates show that there's a powerful movement afoot to "upgrade the Web," as Mozilla's marketing catchphrase would have it.

It's a gradual change, with plenty of laggards such as corporate users who can't upgrade from IE 6 or cybercafes with locked-down PCs. And there's plenty of turmoil about next-generation Web standards. But the herd is gradually moving to more sophisticated browsers that collectively enable a more sophisticated Web.

Stephen Shankland writes about a wide range of technology and products, but has a particular focus on browsers and digital photography. He joined CNET News in 1998 and since then also has covered Google, Yahoo, servers, supercomputing, Linux and open-source software, and science. E-mail Stephen, or follow him on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/stshank.
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) Showing 1 of 3 pages (89 Comments)
by shycelticwitch July 31, 2009 12:19 PM PDT
Tried it, thought is was rudimentary at best. Just got Safari 4 today... WOW! Instantaneous page loading and VERY advanced user interface. Makes IE and the rest look like a first grade reading book.
Reply to this comment
by goatsrkids2 July 31, 2009 12:59 PM PDT
I'm guessing you couldn't figure out how to install an addon on your mac so you kept using safari, even though Chrome is faster and Firefox's UI can be tweaked to match any other browsers.
by Random_Walk July 31, 2009 1:13 PM PDT
I like both. I can get a facsimile of the neat-o Safari multi-page show fearute with the FoxTab add-on, and I use FF more often than not (esp. at home) for consistency reasons across platforms (OTOH, since I have to test things @ work, I also have to use IE6,7,and 8 on occasion).
by Vegaman_Dan July 31, 2009 2:04 PM PDT
I prefer FF over Safari on my Macbook. I do wish FF on the Mac would resemble and work more like FF does on Ubuntu and Windows though. It always feels stunted or held back on the Mac. Don't know why that is.
by Mac OS XP July 31, 2009 5:30 PM PDT
Ok the post may be a bit out of place, but why the heck do you guys have to keep bashing someone just because they like Macs?

And shycelticwitch might not use a Mac anyhow... Safari has more market share on Windows than Opera does and it's not so bad. Everyone's entitled to an opinion. I like Firefox best, but I can definitely see how someone might prefer Safari. It's not without its advantages.
by Kornbeef August 2, 2009 5:29 PM PDT
BTW, safari 4 is faster than chrome

http://blogs.zdnet.com/hardware/?p=3636

One of many testing sites that confirm.
by Random_Walk August 2, 2009 8:08 PM PDT
Err, only one person was bashing him.
by AppleSuxLeo July 31, 2009 12:25 PM PDT
My home-built loads pages instantly with IE , FF , OR even Chrome.
IE8 is most likely to display pages correctly , as web devs code to IE more than any other.
Reply to this comment
by pcdude2143 July 31, 2009 1:11 PM PDT
If that is true, and for a few devs it is, those devs are not very smart. Firefox takes up over 20% of the pie, and Gecko based browser in general probably take up much more. Anyone who doesn't code with all browsers in mind is probably not using their head.
by ddesy July 31, 2009 1:16 PM PDT
Do you really thing that web devs still code to IE so much? Based on what I've seen these days, I see them coding more to standards. I know I do!
by Random_Walk July 31, 2009 1:21 PM PDT
Actually, it doesn't, at least IMO.

But - don't accept mere anecdotal evidence - Here's how you can test it:

Go to http://www.renderosity.com (a 3d artists' site) in each browser. In FF and Safari, the page loads quickly and correctly. In IE 8 (in Windows 7 RC), the page loads with out-of-whack formatting, then (eventually) shoves its elements back into their correct places once Compatibility Mode kicks in. I find this to be common with a lot of websites that have to put in scripts to accomodate IE's quirks, and won't really change anytime soon.

Same thing happens here on CNET, come to think of it.

Also, playing a game on Facebook or MySpace acts differently in IE8... in FF/Safari, clicking --on, say, a player name-- spawns a new tab with the character's page and such. Doing the same on IE8 (with defaults) opens a new window, forcing the user to sit and wait until that page loads, or they have to shove the new window out of the way. You can change this behavior in IE8, but you have to hunt down and do that, whereas the others just do it by default.
by tip_brand July 31, 2009 1:51 PM PDT
That is not true. Web programmers do not code to a single browser. At leas none that I know of do.
by Vegaman_Dan July 31, 2009 2:07 PM PDT
@Random_Walk:

I tried your test and didn't experience the issues you brought up. I made sure compatability mode in IE was disabled and had no trouble at all. Perhaps you have something set up in your system that is causing this sort of behavior?

Both IE and FF rendered the site fine (Might want to mention that it's NSFW, BTW). Safari loaded very fast, but had issues with some of the elements. Chrome was fast as well.

Meh, use whatever works for you. For me, that's FireFox.
by Random_Walk July 31, 2009 3:43 PM PDT
I promise it isn't NSFW; no nudity is allowed (it comes close at times, but never makes it - trust me, the admins there are complete prudes when it comes to even artistic nudity).
by El_Segfaulto July 31, 2009 7:13 PM PDT
I wonder though... Whenever I install SP3 for XP on one of my corporate machines IE8 gets installed as well. Anybody else think that Microsoft is counting those as intentional downloads as well?
by jake3373 August 1, 2009 10:03 AM PDT
I am a web dev and I code for browsers that follow standards (FF, Chrome, Safari, Opera).
I saw what Random_Walk was saying: IE starts rendering the page full-width, then snaps to the page's set width.
This probably takes a slower connection to notice the difference (I'm on WiFi and pretty far away from the router while my computer is backing up to network)
by AppleSuxLeo August 1, 2009 9:48 PM PDT
Note: Page 2 of the comments for this article DO NOT display on a fully updated FF.
But...they display PERFECTLY on IE.
by Maclover1 August 2, 2009 5:22 PM PDT
IE8 is most likely to display pages correctly???????? Hahahahhahahhahah!!!!!!!

I tried to download a Hotfix from support.microsoft.com. You have to basically fill out a web form, with your email etc and MS will email you a download link with a password. I input all my info, and click continue....and it tells me that my browser (IE8) is not supported. That is what you call irony.

I used Safari 4 to get the hotfix.
See more comment replies
by Jackjack505 July 31, 2009 12:45 PM PDT
Firefox is LAME GO FLOCK!!!!
Reply to this comment
by unknown unknown July 31, 2009 6:30 PM PDT
I would but I don't like all the social networking garbage.
by pithenumber August 1, 2009 3:37 PM PDT
Flock is LAME GO FIREFOX!!!
by Mergatroid Mania August 1, 2009 5:27 PM PDT
Go Flock yourself!
by myles taylor July 31, 2009 12:48 PM PDT
Flame wars erupt.....now.

I use two browsers: Firefox and Safari. They have their pros and cons but really, it's personal choice. With the exception of IE 6 and 7, the differences aren't great enough for the end user to notice and if you aren't an avid fan of one camp or the other, any of them will probably serve you well.
Reply to this comment
by SIGHUP July 31, 2009 12:50 PM PDT
We do not need a flame war. dano10000 a few comments up summed it up nicely.
by Random_Walk July 31, 2009 1:29 PM PDT
Agreed. I'm just glad to see that there's real choice (and actual innovation) at play again.
by ddesy July 31, 2009 1:13 PM PDT
Don't forget that IE 8 is downloaded automatically to many Windows systems. Firefox is not. When you look at it that way, 200 million isn't that many.

The same goes for Safari on the Mac. If you run OS X, Safari versions are updated by default.
Reply to this comment
by tazphil July 31, 2009 1:41 PM PDT
I think the article specifically stated that the numbers did not include updates
by LaraineMae August 1, 2009 2:33 PM PDT
I set up Microsoft updates so that I am notified only, no automatic downloads (although each time, Microsoft tries to get me to switch to auto). The first time I was asked to down load IE8 (and IE7), I de-selected the item and checked the box 'do not show me this upgrade again.' Ditto for FF, there is a setting for automatic updates that can be be toggled on or off. I think most people know this.
by grerickson July 31, 2009 1:17 PM PDT
Microsoft has a distinct advantage. They force IE8 through automatic updates. This is like when Apple was boasting about their Safari downloads, even though they forced it on unsuspecting users through the iTunes update process. Firefox downloads are all manual, making it much more impressive. Go Chrome, though :)
Reply to this comment
by El_Segfaulto July 31, 2009 7:16 PM PDT
I'm with ya, I do like Chrome a lot and use it in conjunction with Gears on my netbook. But until I get AdBlock, FlashBlock, and NoScript on it Firefox is still going to be my browser of choice.
by Hokulea July 31, 2009 10:11 PM PDT
I downloaded and installed IE8 manually on three of my computers. Can't say that I was forced to do so. I think running IE8 in protected mode on Vista is more secure than Firefox. IE8 is also available in 64 bit but there is no version of Flash for it yet.

I use Firefox as my primary browser mostly because of Adblock Plus and Flashblock. There are just too many obnoxious adverts on most web pages.
by grerickson July 31, 2009 1:17 PM PDT
Oh, ddesy beat me to it!
Reply to this comment
by sszukala July 31, 2009 1:23 PM PDT
Fire Fox is doing great!
Reply to this comment
by AllBrown July 31, 2009 1:27 PM PDT
IE is the worst thing that ever happened to the web. At this point anyone using IE should just sign off the web permanently.
Reply to this comment
by tazphil July 31, 2009 1:42 PM PDT
people like with such comments should not sign on to the web...this is sheer ignorance
by tektaktyks July 31, 2009 2:14 PM PDT
AllBrown is right
by Lennron July 31, 2009 2:42 PM PDT
More like AllBrown doesn't begin to know what he's talking about. He probably sucks his thumb during the "I'm a Mac" commercials and smiles stupidly whenever pages don't load correctly in alternative browsers.
by gabeheim August 2, 2009 10:41 PM PDT
From an "uninformed" standpoint, AllBrown sums it up pretty well, at least as far as worst thing to happen to the web. Signing off, however, is a little too drastic.

Lennron, more like incorrect websites (yup, because they are coded to a proprietary and broken implementation of web protocols that are like the horrendous grammar you find on some manuals or the worst slang, look up "boo got shot for an example") are unparseable and unrepresentable in standards compliant browsers. Sorry, don't blame correct web browsers for not understanding and rendering the web equivalent of "All your base are belong to us.", rather than "We have taken over all of your bases."
by JoshuaIssac August 18, 2009 1:18 PM PDT
IE is the reason you can download Firefox for free instead of paying for Netscape. If the worst thing that has ever happened to the web (IE) had not happened, you would not have signed on to the web.
by daves_done July 31, 2009 1:29 PM PDT
"That's a fifth of the way to what Firefox achieved since Firefox 1.0 was released nearly five years ago. And Microsoft hasn't even begun pushing IE 8 through update in earnest yet. Microsoft's 200 million statistic doesn't include updates such as bug patches and security fixes."

Say what!?!?!?

My my parents', my in-laws and just about everyone else I know has called me b/c they suddenly had some sort of issue (mainly printing) with IE. It turns out that it was IE8. It installs through automatic updates as a high priority update. Even if XP users go to http://www.windowsupdate.com, click "Custom" so it doesn't download and install automatically and you'll see right there as a "High Priority" update. I just re-checked on my work machine and it's now telling me that I've hidden important updates and that I should really un-hide them and install them. I'm sure that easily scares the unsuspecting user into downloading and installing IE8.

I work in the IT dept in a small company and we had the same issue as well.
Reply to this comment
by daves_done July 31, 2009 1:32 PM PDT
Oops, guess I'm a little late with this. However it appears that I'm the only one to call Mr. Shankland out on this though. He is saying the exact opposite of what it appears many users are experiencing.
by tektaktyks July 31, 2009 2:16 PM PDT
yup thats correct,they r lying
by ds1644 July 31, 2009 1:43 PM PDT
I think you should use the 200,000,000 statistic for IE8 as a negative because it is showing that the great majority are blocking the automatic download. This is a completely different statistic than how many are choosing a download. Should MS be worried that there are only 200,000,000 forced downloads?

Hey, I might have missed blocking IE8 automatically on one of the computers...not sure, I don't like IEx. Which means, I could be one of the 200,000,000 forced downloads because I did not block it. Again, this is way different than choosing it.
Reply to this comment
by monkeyfun14 July 31, 2009 1:59 PM PDT
Hey troll if you read the article correctly you would realize IE8 isn't in automatic updates yet.
by unknown unknown July 31, 2009 6:36 PM PDT
@ monkeyfun14 It showed up in mine as a recommended update. I canceled out of the installation and now it's relegated to optional updates section.
by Mergatroid Mania August 1, 2009 5:35 PM PDT
@ monkeyfun14
Dude, the article doesn't decide what is downloaded. Read all the replies from people saying they are getting the forced downloads, and how MS has set it to high priority. I think the author got it wrong.
Of course, I've shut off all the auto update crap from MS anyway. I'll be the one to decide what gets downloaded, not MS thank you very much.
I go here for my updates: http://windizupdate.com/ because I don't have to use IE. Try it, it works great.
by smiileysa July 31, 2009 1:57 PM PDT
i don't doubt the download numbers are high for firefox. since i have had to download all versions many, many times trying to fix problems. especially 3.5. it is still my favorite browser, but i am losing faith in it. many sites load very slow. i can close it, open chrome or ie8 and those same sites open quickly. many times it won't close properly and can't close it with task manager so have to reboot. i am hopeful now though as it hasn't done this for a day and a half after uninstalling, totally cleaning out and reinstalling five times. but even with all that, firefox is still best when it works properly.
Reply to this comment
by techgeekdude July 31, 2009 2:05 PM PDT
I'm not losing faith in Firefox, but you're right, the pages open slow over it. It actually happens on a regular basis either at work or on my home system. Personally, I made the switch after the ongoing security fiascos with IE, and just didn't want to deal with it anymore.
by Vegaman_Dan July 31, 2009 2:09 PM PDT
I remember the big install firefox day last year. I also remember seeing the geeks all bragging how they were installing FF onto servers and other headless units in labs and server data farms to increase the install count... even though these installations wouldn't actually, in fact, be used.

I think the real number to go by is what browser is used the most on a machine one year after installation. With so many geeks being fickle and installing everything, even those numbers are suspect and unreliable. Usage is the main determination.
Reply to this comment
by JoeF2 July 31, 2009 3:23 PM PDT
Ahh. So that's why Microsoft bundles IE with the OS, so that it can be on every Windows server machine, where it is never used, and MS can boast of high install numbers, and with automatic updates, high download numbers of IE8 and future versions.
Thanks for confirming what we all suspected, MS fanboy.
by Random_Walk July 31, 2009 3:44 PM PDT
Funny, but every copy of Windows Server already has IE in it, headless or not. ;)

Same-same, then?
by FF2009 July 31, 2009 2:44 PM PDT
congratulations to Mozilla for making an awesome browser and making my life much easier.

and you Mac fanboys dont respond with "my browser is better than yours" because all browsers do the same thing..and this days almost all of them have the same features...but Firefox has the upper hand with add-ons none others browsers have.


Give me Adblock and Noscript and I'll use your Safari or Chrome. until then, be quiet.
Reply to this comment
by kieranmullen August 3, 2009 12:04 AM PDT
Facebook Sanitizer Grease Monkey script too (Blocks stupid apps on facebook from showing)
by FF2009 July 31, 2009 2:53 PM PDT
"That's a fifth of the way to what Firefox achieved since Firefox 1.0 was released nearly five years ago. And Microsoft hasn't even begun pushing IE 8 through update in earnest yet. Microsoft's 200 million statistic doesn't include updates such as bug patches and security fixes."



What, are you kidding me? M$ started pushing IE8 with updates since last year when the browser was in beta status. I remember this because i had to install XP on my friend and first thing M$ did on its updates, asked me to install IE8. lol
Reply to this comment
by monkeyfun14 July 31, 2009 3:06 PM PDT
Nice ******** you got there
by aztecwarrior25 July 31, 2009 3:06 PM PDT
Forget the downloads, once all the Linux repositories get updated, the millions of Linux boxes, will also have FF 3.5, also I guess the author underestimates how many people install Mozilla firefox offline. Many software utility packages provide firefox in CD or DVD. If they Mozilla is more aggressive it should put firefox on every pen drive sold as a freebie, that would also increase their installs.

Though IE may be #1 in installs that does not count the usage of IE. Because firefox users are heavy internet users. We should count the number of times any HTTP get is done via Firefox as agent, that would truly indicate the popularity. who cares if IE is just installed and never used :D
Reply to this comment
by jake3373 August 1, 2009 10:09 AM PDT
Although that may slow down the browser on older computers and many people would not like this feature.
by JoshuaIssac August 18, 2009 1:39 PM PDT
"who cares if IE is just installed and never used "
That's funny. I installed Firefox four years ago but only started using it 6 months ago. Your point is also applicable to Firefox's '1 billion downloads' figure.
by lazycat202 July 31, 2009 3:12 PM PDT
the only thing i'm staying with FF is Roboform extension. I'll be moving to Chrome in the next 2 month :P
FF is acting up on my computers. crash 5 times a day. Don't really know what cause it and i don't want to format my HD again. Chrome is running just fine.
Reply to this comment
by kieranmullen August 3, 2009 12:05 AM PDT
Adblock Extension? Facbook Puriuty Script? Must check those out. Older versions of Firefox had memory leaks. Newer ones operat much better now.
by JoshuaIssac August 18, 2009 1:40 PM PDT
Get rid of all but 2 or 3 extensions and you should be fine.
by jscott418 July 31, 2009 4:37 PM PDT
I think the browser statistics tell a better picture. As with Safari which has been coming up on Apple's update program on Windows machines with Apple software like iTunes on it. Sure, you can get the browser on a computer, but will someone use it? I think the browser statistics tell this to some degree.
Firefox has been gaining ground but probably at a slower pace recently. Other browser such as Safari 4 for Windows and Google's Chrome have also entered the fray. The question is will a dominate browser become one of these? I really would like to go back to one browser that just works! As of now I cannot say anyone impresses me enough to say that. I seem o have to have a fall back browser. That of course is IE 8. I am just not sure that we need all these browser's. It could be doing more harm then good because web site have to code for all these different rendering engines. Maybe it would be better to have one rendering engine as open source and allow customizing? Is that not what Linux is all about?
Reply to this comment
by rylee_ann July 31, 2009 5:02 PM PDT
the only reason ie has so many is that its an 'update' the little yellow sheild with the extement mark popped up on my laptop, and started telling me i had updates. i installed them, then when i got to a site where it asked for activex controls, i loaded ie, and it said welcome to ie8! and i was like what the hell? i pressed cancel. boo ie!!!
Reply to this comment
by wilsonalmeida July 31, 2009 5:38 PM PDT
Maybe the reason they had so many downloads is because they are infested with the worse cookies on the net. I explain. I loved my Firefox 3.5 something, best browser ever, highly customizable and was very organic for me... but in the past 2 weeks it got infected with all these well know spyware (known for those who came from PC, i'm w/ a Mac. now) and i couldn't delete it by any means. I had to clean up my computer from all things mozila to get rid of them. Then after many attempts, i decided to go for an older version; it worked great w/ all addons, for a day, then all the nasty cookies came back and and, same thing again, i had to delete all things mozila. ...now i was able to customize a bit Webkit, doesn't look as cool, but i never seen anything so fast.
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