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February 27, 2009 6:10 AM PST

Novell chief rues first-quarter Linux performance

by Larry Dignan
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This was originally published in ZDNet's Between the Lines.

Novell's fiscal first-quarter results were a mixed bag, and Linux invoices fell sharply as the company failed to sign big deals.

For the first quarter, ended Jan. 31, Novell reported non-GAAP earnings of $24 million, or 7 cents a share, on revenue of $215 million. Those results were a penny better than Wall Street estimates. Net income for the first quarter was $11 million, or 3 cents a share.

On the surface, Novell's quarter told a familiar tale. Open platform sales, which are dominated by Linux offerings, were $35 million, up 24 percent from a year ago. Other units had a mixed performance. Novell CEO Ron Hovsepian said that "invoicing was below our expectations in this weak economy."

Hovsepian elaborated on Novell's earnings conference call. Linux, viewed as Novell's growth engine, sputtered in the quarter. Hovsepian said:

Our Q1 Linux performance did not meet our expectations as our pipeline coverage and conversion was overly reliant on direct sales and sales cycles lengthened. Going forward, we are focused on building our pipeline with and through partners and we will be aggressive on pricing to gain market share.

Novell CFO Dana Russell noted:

Linux invoicing was $23 million, down 42%. As we have stated before, our Linux business is dependent on large deals which may result in some fluctuations of our quarterly invoicing. This quarter we did not sign any large deals, many of which have been historically fulfilled by Microsoft certificates. Today we have invoiced $199 million or 83% of our original $240 million agreement.

Add it up and it appears that the Microsoft reselling agreement that put Novell's Linux business on the map has played itself out. Meanwhile, an aggressive pricing strategy-for services attached to free software-can't be good for profit margins going forward.

On the bright side, Novell said it is rolling out Suse Linux Enterprise 11 later in the quarter. That rollout may improve Novell's Linux invoicing fortunes.

Needless to say the Microsoft agreement gravy train was the big topic among analysts covering Novell. A few nuggets gleaned from Novell executives:

• Russell said that "customers certainly are price-sensitive" and Novell expects that the prices for Microsoft-Novell Linux certificates are not going to hold.

• Demand generation for Novell's Linux business is the company's responsibility-not Microsoft's. The big problem was that Novell was relying on big deals that failed to materialize.

• Invoicing for Novell's Linux certificates appear to be moving back to historical norms, said Russell. If that's the case then the first quarter hiccup will be an aberration.

Larry Dignan is editor in chief of ZDNet and editorial director of CNET's TechRepublic. He has covered the technology and financial-services industries since 1995.
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by hutwarmer February 27, 2009 7:54 AM PST
I think it's time for Novell to give up.
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by codynews February 27, 2009 9:02 AM PST
Most people use or switch to Linux because it's free. Selling Linux doesn't seem to be a strong business model.

Then again people sell bottled water so...
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by pentest February 27, 2009 10:45 AM PST
Tell that to Red Hat.
by pentest February 27, 2009 10:46 AM PST
If Novell got a divorce from the abusive spouse and ditched mono, they would see their fortunes turn around very quickly.

Both SLED and open suse are the best Linux distros, by far.
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by Vegaman_Dan February 27, 2009 11:54 AM PST
I think all of the industry is in a slump with companies being very careful with their spending. I do not believe it has much to do with the OS involved, as this article might be trying to suggest. I don't think Linux is at fault, it's the economy.
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by MMC Racing February 27, 2009 2:28 PM PST
I never hear about companies switching to GroupWise for mail. GW to Exchange. Notes to Exchange. Sometimes Exchange to Notes, but GroupWise isn't even on the radar. With all the cloud competitors lining up and the traditional players, I think it may be time to throw in the towel.
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by interoperate February 27, 2009 3:51 PM PST
Novell ran into the arms of Microsoft to be embraced. What Novell should have known is that Microsoft's embrace of its competitors inevitably leads to their extinguishing.

Of all the companies that should have learnt from Microsoft's historical anti-competitive behavior, it was always surprising that Novell should be so gullible.

As we have yet again seen in the last week from the Microsoft vs Tom Tom allegations, Microsoft's claims that it has changed its spots is a huge deception.

Microsoft is as intent as ever to extinguish Linux. Novell, how could you be so blind?
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by MMC Racing February 28, 2009 7:45 AM PST
What you forget is Novell was probably done without Microsoft money. So they delayed their demise in hopes of coming up with some new products or strategy to survive.
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