The data in this Goldman Sachs report is dated (2003) [PDF], but it provides an interesting historical look at what we thought Linux would do back in 2003, and what it actually has done. The good news: the data is off. Goldman Sachs underestimated just how prevalent Linux would become in just four short years. For example, Goldman Sachs' survey revealed that only 39% of enterprise IT respondents were using Linux, but today that number is ~100%. Open source does quite well when the customer gets to vote.
It's going to be a long decade for Microsoft and the UNIX vendors especially because, as PJ at Groklaw notes, the widespread adoption in enterprise IT is only one instance of Linux's growing dominance. Significant, but it's the global tidal wave that should be of more concern to the proprietary vendors. Perhaps this is one reason for Microsoft's patent noise?
Linux-on-Intel appears likely to emerge as the dominant platform in corporate data centers....… Read more