It was another strong year for green transportation, but a lot of potential pitfalls in the industry became more apparent.
Just ask ethanol producers for the evidence. In 2005 and 2006, investors flocked to traditional ethanol makers, allowing companies like VeraSun Energy to go public. The high prices for the fuel, combined with the relatively low price of feedstocks it's made from, made the industry look attractive.
Then the price of corn shot up, budding profits turned to losses, and ethanol makers started to merge.
GreenFuel Technologies, meanwhile, had problems of a different kind. The company wants to capture carbon dioxide, feed it to algae, and then turn the algae into biodiesel. A pilot plant in Arizona proved adept at capturing carbon dioxide and growing algae. The problem was that it grew more algae than it could handle, and scientists are still trying to figure out ways to economically convert the green slime into fuel.
Makers of electric cars didn't have it as rough, but the story was similar. Consumers and investors got intrigued by the category in 2006. In 2007, though, Tesla Motors, Think, and Phoenix Motorcars had to push back the release of their cars until 2008. Tesla also changed CEOs and postponed its battery business.
But let's look at the bright side of the green-car business. Biodiesel refiners, both large and small, began construction on large-scale plants. Biodiesel still requires subsidies to stay competitive in the U.S., but larger plants and new feedstocks will help eliminate the price gap over time. Scientists and venture investors also continued to collaborate on concocting cellulosic ethanol start-ups.
And the auto industry saw a wave of new entrants on the manufacturing side, including Venture Vehicles, Fisker Automotive, and Miles Automotive. More importantly, large, established manufactures like Nissan and Mitsubishi announced plans for eco-friendly cars. If history is a guide, the eco car market could follow the path of the PC market. Although most will fail, a few of the start-ups and some of the established manufacturers will make it and transform an industry.
Here's a handy guide to the major players in the alternative fuel world.
Photos: Fuels of the future
Diesel's not just for truckers anymore. Converting cars with notoriously bad mileage can make them eco-friendly without compromising performance.![]()
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Photos: Muscle cars with a conscience
Video: Souped-up Impala outraces Lamborghini
Venture Vehicles, yet another entry in the alternative-car market, plans a motorcycle-car crossbreed to market in 2009.![]()
Photos: Rollin' with a three-wheeler
Zero's electric bike takes some getting used to. The benefits? Forty miles on a single charge and no stopping at the pumps.![]()
Photos: Motorbikes go green
images The X Prize Foundation's newest challenge won't be announced until early next year, but dozens of teams have already signed up and started work on their fuel-efficient cars.
First, electric cars go upscale with Tesla. Now Fisker Automotive takes plug-in hybrids upstream.
Your second car will run on electricity, says the automaker. Ethanol and biodiesel just don't have that cost/benefit equation going for them.
Hot battery maker in deal to get battery installer.
Algae is great, but where do you grow it?
Honda expects to bring a clean-diesel Accord to the U.S. by 2010.
Tesla CEO steps down as possible delays loom
Just how many green car start-ups are there?
The plot behind killing electric cars
Zap to make electric sedan based on its sports car
Buy a house, get the electric car thrown in
Transonic's goal: A car that gets 100 miles a gallon
Wrightspeed: Sports cars first, then electric pick up trucks
Of course, they are doing the right thing, but what matters is whether this green tech boom may involve some types of Hobson's choice. The dot.com boom was the direct reason for the dot.com bubble, which we got out of by now. But the dotcom bubble caused a great wave of industrial shakeouts. Just because a group of new hitech startup has a good green tech idea should not mean that scattered rainshowers of money should follow them. Before rumors about possible green tech bubbles loom on the horizon, we should ask them if they are well aware that energy-saving projects should go before green tech projects. Hope they are not chasing after two birds in the bush, letting a bird in hand fly away.