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I think we were reasonably strategic in making the choices of where we were going to invest. Then there's the question of adoption by older companies. Our philosophy is that you need to have people who are always looking at the future, but you don't get so enamored with that future that it colors the things you have to do today. You need to make some bets out there that are going to be important for your company to move forward. People who sit back and wait generally don't get the capability to see how those technologies can be integrated into their company and pay dividends to employees, shareholders and customers.
Let me give you an example of one of those. At the 25-year anniversary of the bar code that was held at the Smithsonian Institute, Procter & Gamble and the Uniform Code Council announced the establishment of the Auto-ID Center at MIT. The purpose of the center was to put together the technologies necessary to replace the UPC (Universal Product Code) with a low-cost chip that will go on every package. The reason we need that is there is a much greater need for information associated with each package.
In the store we felt there was going to be a need for things to talk to other things. In a wireless environment they will talk to one another. Practically speaking, a retailing outlet could do instantaneous inventories in their stores. We could do things for anti-counterfeiting. We could do things for theft protection. But most importantly, we can start to work on the supply chain by knowing where the product is in the supply chain. We started working on that.
What have been the most important technology choices you've made for P&G? We have Oracle databases, but most of our information sits in five global reference databases. These are materials, formulas, customers, employees and suppliers. SAP sits over the top of those global databases, and then we're able to manage, look at and help project our business in the future versus some of our competitors that operate either on a country level or a region level. We believe SAP and Oracle and others have provided us the tools that allow us to stitch together the information we need to operate effectively as a global company.
In terms of tracking inventory, we are indeed attempting to reinvent our supply chain. People take some raw materials and then transform them into products and then go out and sell them. The basis for that supply chain is to buy the raw materials at the best possible price you can and keep your manufacturing costs low, then offer a good value, and hopefully you get the lion's share of the business. There's nothing wrong with that. And we're certainly not going to change emphasis on that.
What is your vision for P&G's supply chain? One of the things that our industry is not necessarily doing a great job with is the consumer at the store. (Running out of merchandise in the store) is a really bad problem with the industry. For the top-2,000-selling items, grocery stores have anywhere from a 12 to 15 percent out-of-stock rate in the United States and an 8 to 10 percent out-of-stock rate in Europe. We need to look at the supply chain through the consumer's eyes. That means asking, "How do we ensure that we have the right product, at the right place, at the right time, at the right price?"
The vision is that when someone buys a roll of Bounty paper towels, we can see that transaction in the supply system and someone in Canada knows to cut down a tree for the back-end supply...To do that, we need the Web. I'll tell you honestly, we can't live without the Web.
(The Internet) is the transforming technology for us, but with one caveat: We need standards. We need data transmission standards. We need XML standards. We need some business process standards. We've got to work with people like the Uniform Code Council, who put bar codes and their counterpart outside the U.S., to get these standards and then adopt these standards--and do it much quicker than we have in the past. The bar code is now almost 30 years old. The adoption of the bar code has only taken place in the last 20 years. It took 10 years to get to first base. We can't afford to wait that long again.
When deciding on buying a technology, how do you measure the return on investment? About 18 months ago, IT rolled out a set of tools that help us better measure our IT projects...For the first time in a long time we really have something a business unit can look at and decide what they are going to get from an IT project and how it relates to other types of things they can do. When they make a choice, then there is a poll from the business unit because they are counting on that IT project to deliver that NPV (Net Present Value), and it becomes part of their operating goals or objectives. We've really tried to infuse good financial-tracking programs and NPV into our IT managers' capability so we can compete for capital and can compete for the projects that can help the business units be even more successful.
What three technologies do you think will matter most in the future? What will P&G be investing in? The broadest heading is wireless. When you think that there is going to be hundreds of trillions of these cheap chips on individual packages and the infrastructure needed...it's going to have to be by its very nature a wireless environment.
In our space, I'm very interested in biometrics. This is in combination with some of the genomic work that goes on in our pharmaceutical organization. This is hopefully going to make a material impact on the health and well-being of people around the world. Our ability as an IT organization to be able to deal with all types of genetic information on the scale and the amount of information available is going to be critical. So we're spending a lot of time and effort and money in the genomic and biometrics field.
Then I guess the third one is virtual reality. The visual simulation of processes is going to be more important, and I think that will slowly morph its way into virtual-reality tools. The car manufacturers have been using these for quite a while. How do you get inside an engine and really understand how to make an engine run more effectively? We're using (visual simulation) on packing lines and our manufacturing processes, but we're also starting in-store applications. We've always done simulations, but 10 years ago when you ran a simulation it all came out on hard copy, and you had your "ah-ha!" moment on Page 287. You said, "Oh, that's what is happening." The simulation tools will give us that discovery much faster and cheaper.
Are these technologies already developed, or do they have some ways to go before they can help you out? I think there are some industries a little further along than others. I think wireless capabilities are going to explode. I just look at my home today. I've got a 2.4-gig phone system. I've got a wireless network, and every once and awhile my wireless network turns on my microwave because it's also a 2.4-gigahertz thing. We're going to have to work out how the home environment and how the retail environment work synergistically. But I think the payout in terms of productivity enhancement and consumer value is going to be terrific.
How much do you plan to spend on IT this year, and is it more or less than last year? Well, we don't give out our numbers. But I'm going to answer the second part of your question in two ways. The actual budgets are going to be roughly the same, but the internals of those will be shifting dramatically. We have pretty much built out our (enterprise resource planning) systems, so we're moving from development in our back-end ERP systems to maintenance.
The Web service technologies are going to be growing dramatically. We're looking through a portfolio analysis of all of our IT projects and asking, "How do we get more bang for our buck?" And then, "How do we take and shift our spending to areas that are going to impact our business units to achieve their goals better?" So in total, we're going to spend the same as in the past, but the internals are going to seem a lot different.
You've talked about global Net exchanges before. How have they changed your business, and will they change it in the future?
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